Market · 8 of 16 outcomes
Will A.J. Hinch win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x38d5…063c | No | 143 | 96.8¢ | $143 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 3,185 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 203 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 165 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 151 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| rx8549o8675490x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | 132 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| CosmicCedar0xdacf…3c74 | Yes | 105 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$875.31 per $100 · 26,627 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 96 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 65 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4edd…d5c9 | Yes | 60 | 2.5¢ | $0 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 52 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 25 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.52 per $100 · 87,945 bets |
| pengu-n0x55ab…4f88 | Yes | 18 | 8.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 13,734 bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 15 | 0.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb0e7…39d2 | Yes | 14 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.02 per $100 · 23,770 bets |
| YouSayUpISayDown0xf6f6…0e74 | Yes | 12 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 11 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.14 per $100 · 12,955 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 10 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.91 per $100 · 159,858 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 10 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 8 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.40 per $100 · 4,590 bets |
| Monstredu380xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | 5 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| coldhot0x6854…67d0 | Yes | 4 | 4.8¢ | $0 | — |
| haveagoodday0xae2a…384d | Yes | 2 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 12,696 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 1 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| aHjCz0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 57,792+ bets · updating |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 0 | 4.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.