Market · 10 of 16 outcomes
Will A.J. Ellis be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 16 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 97 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 50 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 42 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 24 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| cwc9090x8db4…9c07 | Yes | 20 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
4 more outcomes in this event.
These 16 outcomes add up to 95.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.