Market · 7 of 30 outcomes
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 500 | 99.2¢ | $498 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,249 bets |
| neoBEST0xa040…b13b | No | 151 | 99.3¢ | $151 | — |
| chethyg0xe531…1808 | No | 100 | 99.7¢ | $100 | — |
| 787630x878d…1a9b | No | 80 | 93.6¢ | $80 | — |
| xique0x24d8…5403 | No | 28 | 99.6¢ | $28 | — |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 7,511 | 1.9¢ | $26 | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,241 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $19 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 4,833 | 0.3¢ | $17 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 4,088 | 1.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 681 bets |
| ernolst0x9b61…606f | Yes | 3,846 | 0.6¢ | $13 | — |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 3,580 | 0.0¢ | $13 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Eddan0x34ba…5d1e | Yes | 2,308 | 1.8¢ | $8 | — |
| Hannah23600xaafd…c525 | No | 8 | 99.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf227…e12b | No | 8 | 99.8¢ | $8 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,742 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| 0xPx1233210x2e94…69e6 | No | 6 | 99.1¢ | $6 | — |
| JHFGJ87670x1bc9…8310 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Frank78100x22a9…2d51 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| Victoria22460xda6b…7efb | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Wesman0x4353…6b02 | No | 5 | 97.3¢ | $5 | — |
| Betty30930xf87f…25c6 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | Yes | 1,450 | 1.2¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| Bobby53340xc237…a5dc | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,346 | 1.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 1,249 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$12.25 per $100 · 3,938 bets |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 1,237 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 0.6¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 1,058 | 0.5¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| 0x9204…5c05 | Yes | 1,010 | 5.0¢ | $4 | New84 settled bets |
| LordLazer0xe7dd…18f4 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.3¢ | $4 | New71 settled bets |
| nergnallh0x18b8…1a4c | Yes | 921 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Vondik0xf058…e173 | Yes | 903 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| AmagiBeires0x259c…7c55 | Yes | 819 | 1.2¢ | $3 | — |
| adrenvl220xade3…3b44 | Yes | 647 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| ClariseStarling0070xe55e…e1b8 | Yes | 628 | 0.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 609 | 0.9¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| 0x5e2e…a7b3 | Yes | 556 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Kathryn49710x8df3…6fab | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 500 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| tobimateu0x33ae…b13e | Yes | 500 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Chrisha0x5576…a696 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| nergdnal0x7841…7db6 | Yes | 496 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 434 | 1.8¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 0x530d…1a75 | Yes | 408 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| wilkegin0xb14c…7bdb | No | 1 | 97.4¢ | $1 | — |
| basile.muller0x133d…69ff | Yes | 356 | 2.7¢ | $1 | — |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 319 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 315 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Andrew36560x5189…39cb | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 12lddd0xf503…39e2 | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd217…a747 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf65f…4d5a | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| chillgay0xe353…a4e3 | No | 1 | 99.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa3f6…c142 | No | 1 | 98.2¢ | $1 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | Yes | 269 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 269 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| Lovekil690x4370…ee4f | Yes | 241 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 235 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Tankista0x21d2…245f | Yes | 196 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe813…7fdf | Yes | 170 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8679…510a | Yes | 161 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 154 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,079 bets |
| bubba20xcadc…1e3b | Yes | 153 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| AheadArbitrage0xb14e…fbf8 | Yes | 150 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 138 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| smith-dom0x8653…0d6b | Yes | 130 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| PeaceNWild0x7146…137c | Yes | 125 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 123 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 23 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Chegildek0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | 10 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 7i990rdq0x1588…99d7 | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 90qqgbbh0x1ec8…6938 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x243d…bd4d | No | 0 | 97.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1rihr3g60x2d21…0405 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f59…b012 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5853…5f90 | No | 0 | 97.4¢ | $0 | — |
| enn90lra0x7294…7309 | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a16…765a | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| r333qhsv0x8b33…b817 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9200…9c31 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x93ff…78a0 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9523…cbb2 | No | 0 | 100.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ifbdc30c0x9888…4858 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc3f4…b240 | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| qbwohm7g0xc976…2948 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| fh1xop9v0xcc92…faf0 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcddd…689e | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 4qfo69450xd09f…7ae2 | No | 0 | 97.3¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,976 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 0 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 18,446 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.