Market · 18 of 23 outcomes
Will Ahmad Vahidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 17:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 1,601 | 94.8¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 454 | 89.9¢ | $437 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 252 | 94.5¢ | $243 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 5,708 bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | No | 91 | 75.3¢ | $87 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 872 bets |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 46 | 79.8¢ | $44 | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| 0xd8c2…105e | No | 40 | 95.1¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,000 | 12.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,087 bets |
| 0x45d3…eda0 | No | 20 | 89.8¢ | $19 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 368 | 4.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 125,093+ bets · updating |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 250 | 5.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 215 | 5.1¢ | $8 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 203 | 3.5¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 180 | 9.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | No | 5 | 95.9¢ | $5 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 4 | 97.2¢ | $4 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 100 | 5.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| 0xb443…1090 | No | 3 | 95.5¢ | $3 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 6.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| iamnotwhoiwas0x2035…dc1c | No | 2 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 7.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.98 per $100 · 4,402 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 29 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 22 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x06da…af33 | Yes | 20 | 9.9¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 17 | 5.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 10 | 11.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | Yes | 1 | 17.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.44 per $100 · 18,514 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 50 shares each side · Show
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