Market · 30 of 30 outcomes
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:04 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x50ea…010f | Yes | 18,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| hjgtgg0xe82a…9edc | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| comj0x59fb…24cf | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xwhaleshark0x2179…bedb | Yes | 6,385 | 0.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$26.70 per $100 · 964 bets |
| 0xd989…b395 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 5,715 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 5,472 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 5,430 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Kent7770x1463…ce78 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 242 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,197 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| Trtr20260x0527…20b1 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| darksoul2380x3f2d…7bc6 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 863 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 764 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 525 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| Vhykar0x3e8f…f86b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| WatermelonFelon0x6085…5e3e | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x65d4…491b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x688b…49f5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| TopNotch0xd765…4b8c | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| kamtheman0xed1a…6c60 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| NyetRisk0xc03c…50af | Yes | 352 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$22.95 per $100 · 234 bets |
| Palladin0xdcd9…35d4 | Yes | 333 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 236 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 205 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| Poory0x8257…da02 | Yes | 200 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 184 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 150 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| 0x733f…4e20 | Yes | 133 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| HiroshiTana0xa78d…6b41 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| IamLobster0x6cbd…575f | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| partyiieu0xe822…8ad9 | Yes | 120 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 109 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 105 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| Claw60x155e…dec6 | Yes | 100 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| mrtrump0xc3bf…e70f | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.70 per $100 · 2,379 bets |
| DG-NEW0x3c80…249a | Yes | 94 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 93 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 75 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
| gazzadk19810xda59…30db | Yes | 67 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 60 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 55 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| rocky420160x8d88…1e28 | Yes | 44 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 11,002 bets |
| 3j2ei23098ui0x24ca…5829 | Yes | 34 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 30 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 26 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| Tysha0x9be9…c030 | Yes | 25 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | Yes | 23 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| geminix0xd61a…c7f1 | Yes | 20 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 18 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.