Market · 6 of 20 outcomes
Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 20 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 399 | 63.1¢ | $398 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 200 | 83.5¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,036 bets |
| 0x476c…ce52 | No | 33 | 68.0¢ | $33 | Proven+$6.90 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| webb500080xa245…bf9e | No | 25 | 98.5¢ | $25 | — |
| fa590xb956…47af | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 155461560x038d…8b2d | No | 3 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| e5d30x72f2…f739 | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 2 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 7,253 bets |
| 0xcec4…9258 | No | 1 | 58.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 301 | 5.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 241 | 29.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 31,283 bets |
| bnzo1vnnc1lv0x8a6e…8fe0 | Yes | 233 | 42.9¢ | $0 | — |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 230 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 13klklas0x52b3…3a58 | No | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 172 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.55 per $100 · 22,315 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 112 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 112 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,355 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 106 | 39.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 2kparabellum0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 99 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 49.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| pestanimal0x7bbf…7ce5 | Yes | 75 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 54 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| flopyfloy0x03a9…ec2a | Yes | 50 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| brayannbegu0x211b…1872 | No | 0 | 56.1¢ | $0 | — |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 40 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 37 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 36 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 36 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | 30 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1PercentBetterT20xc662…0927 | Yes | 28 | 40.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoNameMeme0xa22f…e194 | Yes | 24 | 42.7¢ | $0 | — |
| bober25250xb902…31e2 | Yes | 22 | 30.5¢ | $0 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 20 | 37.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| Trabajador20x30b8…fbf3 | Yes | 20 | 17.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ROOKIE0xa58b…ef84 | Yes | 20 | 43.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd7e3…8327 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 19 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,699 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 14 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | 14 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc10b…96d5 | No | 0 | 59.0¢ | $0 | — |
| naahh0xc147…6700 | No | 0 | 89.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Itlliccaa0x395c…ee8d | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.17 per $100 · 8,352 bets |
| Cronnozzz0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Owwwnn0xd281…d750 | Yes | 8 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Hypurrrrrr0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | 7 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.92 per $100 · 8,453 bets |
| Avvnnnn0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 11,375 bets |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Blaorra0xa652…6f8f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 11,384 bets |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 5 | 35.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| 0x3e3c…e1d6 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| egrsafvafvaer0x81ad…36a2 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| makePace670xc413…2ca4 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 5 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TraderProMax0x9474…5091 | Yes | 1 | 1.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 14gjhgjk0x3f1f…feae | Yes | 0 | 46.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 8,319 bets |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | Yes | 0 | 32.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 13,222 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.