Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| amame0x2ad9…0eae | No | 402 | 88.2¢ | $202 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 1,682 bets |
| 0xf201…527e | Yes | 200 | 5.0¢ | $100 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 3,740 bets |
| moxiaochen0x4aa4…767c | Yes | 160 | 8.6¢ | $80 | — |
| Ironguardian130x54a8…ce51 | Yes | 90 | 18.3¢ | $45 | — |
| asakku0xa750…0d0f | No | 72 | 94.1¢ | $36 | — |
| nowhereInParticular0x132a…9e1a | No | 50 | 92.4¢ | $25 | New31 settled bets |
| RunThePMarket0x182d…73e9 | Yes | 30 | 16.3¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 5,085 bets |
| 0x7b84…a108 | No | 20 | 22.5¢ | $10 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 78.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| nahte100xab57…e05f | Yes | 20 | 51.4¢ | $10 | — |
| asdgflo0x5153…6441 | Yes | 12 | 17.0¢ | $6 | — |
| orbitalcoins20x285b…f3d3 | Yes | 7 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| SheepToken0xff72…cdaa | Yes | 5 | 6.6¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 591 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | No | 3 | 65.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 13,990 bets |
| PoorStamfordian0x7f8d…4a45 | Yes | 3 | 6.8¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.