Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lemeon0xbfa2…18af | No | 11,282 | 87.0¢ | $9.7K | — |
| subjec0x8aeb…0337 | No | 11,279 | 87.0¢ | $9.7K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 10,249 |
| 87.0¢ |
| $8.81K |
| — |
| pnunt0xadc1…53a6 | No | 9,744 | 87.0¢ | $8.38K | — |
| sushan0x7d6d…261b | Yes | 45,571 | 13.1¢ | $6.38K | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 7,043 | 90.4¢ | $6.06K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,109 bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 3,545 | 84.2¢ | $3.05K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| nvwa0xdd16…242c | No | 3,017 | 86.0¢ | $2.59K | — |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 1,772 | 85.0¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 1,500 | 84.3¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 8,809 | 10.6¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,042 | 89.6¢ | $896 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 5,701 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 666 | 73.0¢ | $573 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,979 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 3,616 | 27.9¢ | $506 | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 586 | 74.2¢ | $504 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Performance0x17c1…3799 | No | 515 | 82.5¢ | $443 | New22 settled bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 497 | 78.6¢ | $428 | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | No | 400 | 86.5¢ | $344 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | No | 336 | 86.5¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 265 | 79.3¢ | $228 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 200 | 89.0¢ | $172 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 147 | 68.0¢ | $126 | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 306 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 139 | 66.2¢ | $119 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 800 | 29.0¢ | $112 | Positive+$2.97 per $100 · 1,259 bets |
| Cswensga10x31c2…44c6 | Yes | 718 | 26.5¢ | $101 | — |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $97 | New0 settled bets |
| lighter3000x5b8d…a1ae | No | 110 | 72.3¢ | $95 | — |
| Barcide0xd04d…3dda | No | 110 | 85.0¢ | $94 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 777 bets |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 101 | 89.9¢ | $87 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| HardZix0xf30a…3583 | No | 100 | 69.0¢ | $86 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 12.2¢ | $84 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 572 | 14.0¢ | $80 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 564 | 36.9¢ | $79 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 81 | 85.8¢ | $69 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 73 | 86.0¢ | $62 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 432 | 12.0¢ | $60 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 429 | 39.3¢ | $60 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 69 | 76.9¢ | $59 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 400 | 17.0¢ | $56 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| geonb0x7558…970a | No | 57 | 86.6¢ | $49 | New42 settled bets |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 338 | 9.5¢ | $47 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 327 | 11.3¢ | $46 | Positive+$11.83 per $100 · 5,351 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 28.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| minguo0x5614…4893 | No | 45 | 68.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 44 | 77.5¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | No | 39 | 71.4¢ | $34 | — |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 227 | 10.2¢ | $32 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 224 | 31.0¢ | $31 | Proven+$7.57 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| weiluz0x0f9f…f77b | No | 35 | 66.0¢ | $30 | — |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | 200 | 13.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$6.72 per $100 · 6,699 bets |
| tywed0xc8e3…6fb0 | No | 32 | 67.0¢ | $27 | — |
| cabbag0x2af1…d858 | No | 30 | 86.0¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 274 bets |
| deewo0xb070…a204 | Yes | 170 | 34.0¢ | $24 | — |
| shumei0x42d4…0cbe | No | 27 | 68.0¢ | $23 | — |
| AmericaFirst10x154c…658e | No | 26 | 92.0¢ | $22 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 6,634 bets |
| guazir0x95b7…0901 | No | 25 | 68.0¢ | $21 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 146 | 13.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$13.87 per $100 · 121 bets |
| chikens0x3d98…0a43 | No | 23 | 66.0¢ | $20 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| tony7780xd286…d55d | No | 20 | 85.5¢ | $17 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 524 bets |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 116 | 13.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 9,048 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 111 | 29.0¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 13,990 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 103 | 14.7¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| BenjaminNetAnYahoo0xfb46…f68b | Yes | 94 | 32.0¢ | $13 | — |
| zhonghu0xd753…3783 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $13 | — |
| ljkilian0xe6b5…d5c6 | No | 15 | 84.2¢ | $13 | — |
| low-prob-test-1-kes0xa6e5…28a0 | Yes | 85 | 15.0¢ | $12 | — |
| Abladollosac0x3e98…5389 | No | 13 | 81.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$25.39 per $100 · 101 bets |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | No | 10 | 69.0¢ | $8 | — |
| PolyEGG0x60a8…7d37 | No | 10 | 72.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.30 per $100 · 1,645 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 59 | 16.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$6.89 per $100 · 1,588 bets |
| 0xb4f6…eada | Yes | 50 | 30.0¢ | $7 | — |
| leCommissaire0x9238…b73e | Yes | 50 | 30.5¢ | $7 | Proven+$12.28 per $100 · 3,035 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 47 | 37.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 46 | 17.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 34gh0x7234…4c92 | Yes | 40 | 52.5¢ | $6 | — |
| asterley0xe762…064b | Yes | 35 | 31.0¢ | $5 | — |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 35 | 13.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.94 per $100 · 537 bets |
| guladdin0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 53.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8144…8472 | Yes | 20 | 25.0¢ | $3 | — |
| joennis0xd85d…3700 | Yes | 20 | 35.3¢ | $3 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 17 | 27.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 61,151 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 17 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 15 | 9.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.31 per $100 · 539 bets |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 15 | 32.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$22.90 per $100 · 365 bets |
| wJhraCcPrd46Tjla0x0b2e…bb34 | Yes | 14 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | Yes | 13 | 28.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xaf15…3b51 | Yes | 12 | 46.0¢ | $2 | — |
| fresh0xd064…c4d1 | Yes | 10 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Anonnnn24090x9b22…3a92 | Yes | 10 | 30.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5911…4db7 | Yes | 7 | 33.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9586…7f2e | Yes | 6 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0b07…757b | Yes | 6 | 16.1¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 365 shares each side · Show
|