Market · 9 of 13 outcomes
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 400 | 94.6¢ | $400 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 200,000 | 0.2¢ | $100 | New11 settled bets |
| AnneBrooks32750xcfda…5709 | No | 55 | 96.3¢ | $55 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 108,371 | 0.1¢ | $54 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| -67-0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | 100,636 | 0.3¢ | $50 | — |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 56,800 | 0.4¢ | $28 | New95 settled bets |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,001 | 0.8¢ | $23 | — |
| WolfCharge0x78dc…b46d | Yes | 41,062 | 0.3¢ | $21 | — |
| mashangbaofu0x7256…f45e | No | 20 | 97.6¢ | $20 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 40,527 | 7.7¢ | $20 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 33,500 | 0.3¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| jr20260x9508…3f62 | Yes | 30,329 | 0.9¢ | $15 | — |
| augustine3140x672d…0252 | Yes | 24,960 | 1.2¢ | $12 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 23,000 | 0.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| breeed0x80c1…b6a3 | No | 11 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x328a…30c9 | Yes | 21,746 | 1.5¢ | $11 | Proven+$11.75 per $100 · 192 bets |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 21,132 | 0.9¢ | $11 | — |
| commi0xf3f6…fb00 | Yes | 20,844 | 1.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | Yes | 20,673 | 1.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| DGEWG0x3030…f819 | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| JosemariaC0x3ba3…a665 | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Minitest0xf9c3…3d81 | No | 10 | 98.9¢ | $10 | — |
| IreneMorrison580x79e9…34ab | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| NathanSimpson5230x34c0…4593 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xd0cd…02ff | No | 9 | 98.8¢ | $9 | — |
| gazhiwodadada0x9a52…6058 | No | 9 | 97.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Homontro0x3b7f…3d95 | No | 8 | 95.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Beryle0x5278…c528 | No | 8 | 97.7¢ | $8 | — |
| Gen.G-peaunt0xb166…9010 | No | 8 | 97.7¢ | $8 | — |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | No | 8 | 99.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| Brunomars0x6562…508e | No | 7 | 97.8¢ | $7 | — |
| FluxCapacitor880xb5a0…60c3 | Yes | 13,890 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 13,563 | 7.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| powerrrrr0x9ef0…043d | No | 6 | 97.3¢ | $6 | — |
| HeatherConner4540xf53c…6d7e | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x99c2…9df9 | Yes | 12,280 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| xcvfhjuy4570x8a1d…05e9 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| Terry45610x7215…7301 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| GrahamCunningham9810xb228…ad07 | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Hexymalist0x992e…245f | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| QuickSand670xe086…cd36 | Yes | 10,009 | 0.6¢ | $5 | — |
| hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvsoeuikmtb0x0111…60f7 | Yes | 10,000 | 4.6¢ | $5 | — |
| wefggwer0x3347…8505 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| pm7777770xaedd…150c | No | 4 | 98.9¢ | $4 | — |
| WrenGHley0x7c24…9fbb | No | 4 | 99.6¢ | $4 | — |
| Yellyboom0x06d7…2174 | No | 4 | 97.3¢ | $4 | — |
| sidharthkumarxd0x760d…654d | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| HelenWagner37590xcc80…7bd2 | No | 4 | 96.3¢ | $4 | — |
| MatthewChen62030x63c2…ca53 | No | 3 | 95.1¢ | $3 | — |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 6,797 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,135 | 0.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| tallboy0xace9…79d6 | No | 3 | 98.5¢ | $3 | — |
| LisaCross47410x809a…f315 | No | 3 | 98.4¢ | $3 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 5,725 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,319 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 3 | 98.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Pxtr0x0457…a72f | Yes | 5,404 | 0.9¢ | $3 | — |
| JohnShea82750x0caf…e065 | No | 3 | 96.3¢ | $3 | — |
| R21llsa0xb6a2…4b66 | Yes | 4,999 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4,947 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 4,343 | 6.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,608 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 4,021 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.76 per $100 · 71,370+ bets · updating |
| oNico550xb39c…60cc | No | 2 | 99.5¢ | $2 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 4,010 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| Priadka0xe64d…0ea0 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.7¢ | $2 | — |
| asfdt130x1611…79c4 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,668 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 3,454 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| Lingo660x105b…b213 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,241 | 7.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,897 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 0xab44…a5b9 | Yes | 2,590 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| subzero0x0d8f…178b | Yes | 2,575 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| ViVeViSfy0xa9c7…9450 | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 2,479 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x05f1…4dba | Yes | 2,475 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 2,372 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 2,350 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb9ef…410b | Yes | 2,313 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Shroud0xd404…d447 | No | 1 | 99.7¢ | $1 | — |
| SamanthaMiller60330x0b6f…6890 | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 2,086 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| SupersonicStrawberry0x2302…d402 | No | 1 | 96.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 1,359 bets |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 2,077 | 7.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,056 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Mitherandir0xd990…4349 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| dsffsdf0xaabb…6fe3 | No | 1 | 99.3¢ | $1 | — |
| flynn8880xc426…ac6e | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Sukkur0x3eb3…3750 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.34 per $100 · 141 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| nofreelunch0x19f8…fa4d | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| KennethMorgan71460x3e35…384f | No | 1 | 96.3¢ | $1 | — |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 1,905 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| dwWWWERG0xe98b…dc07 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| JoshuaShaw46720xe309…44c2 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x993f…35cb | No | 0 | 98.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 95 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.