Market · 8 of 13 outcomes
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| orchard0xb12a…1dc2 | No | 206 | 99.8¢ | $206 | — |
| FluxCapacitor880xb5a0…60c3 | Yes | 272,652 | 0.2¢ | $136 | — |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | No | 112 | 97.5¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 108,678 | 0.3¢ | $54 | New11 settled bets |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 102,396 | 0.5¢ | $51 | New95 settled bets |
| WolfCharge0x78dc…b46d | Yes | 83,288 | 0.2¢ | $42 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 62,684 | 0.6¢ | $31 | Positive+$6.42 per $100 · 7,367 bets |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,001 | 1.1¢ | $23 | — |
| QuickSand670xe086…cd36 | Yes | 43,002 | 0.9¢ | $22 | — |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 37,017 | 0.9¢ | $19 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 33,500 | 0.3¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | Yes | 24,891 | 2.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$8.48 per $100 · 188 bets |
| YIFULINEH0xd440…f7df | No | 12 | 96.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Penelope75510x32df…610d | No | 12 | 99.9¢ | $12 | — |
| breeed0x80c1…b6a3 | No | 11 | 99.6¢ | $11 | — |
| aidemolizhuanquanquan0x1834…c4b4 | No | 10 | 96.8¢ | $10 | — |
| victoryPP90x24de…c2f0 | No | 10 | 96.5¢ | $10 | — |
| t1nywinnie60x862f…0575 | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| commi0xf3f6…fb00 | Yes | 18,386 | 1.6¢ | $9 | — |
| hgua9videanbov0x3bf6…333e | No | 8 | 96.5¢ | $8 | — |
| Luxemboss0xff96…9cfe | No | 8 | 98.5¢ | $8 | — |
| ChrisShow0x8769…5734 | No | 8 | 99.0¢ | $8 | — |
| jonnythanh1140x5006…fdfe | No | 8 | 99.9¢ | $8 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 14,999 | 0.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| pooroo0x8d7f…c9de | No | 7 | 96.4¢ | $7 | — |
| dugu9sword0x6309…c4f1 | No | 7 | 96.5¢ | $7 | — |
| KendilResto0x306d…fd58 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| MdEmoN206783680xbc2c…3486 | No | 7 | 99.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xd0cd…02ff | No | 7 | 97.6¢ | $7 | — |
| Oduoke0x0ff2…4daf | No | 7 | 96.4¢ | $7 | — |
| Tinazzz0xb77a…a992 | No | 6 | 96.4¢ | $6 | — |
| NicholasMcGee7100x0733…111e | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,076 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| Faker-mid0xb631…dbaf | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| freedomjijin0xfac1…4915 | Yes | 10,679 | 0.2¢ | $5 | — |
| CarolynBlake9050xd4a0…3b4a | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Hany230xa09f…f686 | No | 5 | 99.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Ecsasy0xffb8…d346 | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | — |
| imf1110x2c5e…7c2a | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| abppp6660x62f2…1c78 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| deca40x6e0e…4d94 | No | 5 | 99.5¢ | $5 | — |
| arryyyyyyyyy110xc6f6…6b10 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Minitest0xf9c3…3d81 | No | 5 | 98.4¢ | $5 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 5 | 99.4¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AnastasiaMoore9510x8da0…b3d2 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| Pxtr0x0457…a72f | Yes | 8,321 | 1.2¢ | $4 | — |
| LaurenMcGee3100x9e6e…82e7 | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| Mai533220160x8257…1e8e | No | 4 | 99.8¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xef80…a07f | Yes | 7,305 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 7,220 | 0.7¢ | $4 | — |
| kanyesigyekatheryn0x91d7…5f2e | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| RitaWilliams110xdfb0…67a6 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 3 | 98.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x99c2…9df9 | Yes | 4,817 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4,440 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| uniceff0x2bae…1854 | No | 2 | 96.5¢ | $2 | — |
| duckp0x384b…c2d6 | No | 2 | 98.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb9ef…410b | Yes | 4,077 | 1.2¢ | $2 | — |
| dengyu10xbdfe…e39e | No | 2 | 98.3¢ | $2 | — |
| wwe410x5446…fca3 | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| hddtr0xe42c…6dc6 | No | 2 | 99.7¢ | $2 | — |
| wenyu8888880x6b2c…5341 | Yes | 4,000 | 2.1¢ | $2 | — |
| asfdt130x1611…79c4 | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 3,909 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,593 bets |
| GeraldFowler5910x518c…b0af | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 3,592 | 7.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| ViVeViSfy0xa9c7…9450 | Yes | 3,552 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 3,333 | 0.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| Donna17720xef9d…0adf | No | 2 | 99.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,079 | 1.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| ddftt60x282d…25fa | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,897 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| Elijah85960x31a7…d805 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Lingo660x105b…b213 | Yes | 2,781 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| subzero0x0d8f…178b | Yes | 2,740 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xeb68…e362 | Yes | 2,498 | 1.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rovim0xb71c…dd68 | Yes | 2,468 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Wolla0x1898…99ee | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x05b2…c70d | No | 1 | 100.4¢ | $1 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 2,183 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,056 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| moon-k58-lad0xc800…4117 | Yes | 2,048 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2,010 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,061 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 1,934 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 1,905 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 1,816 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| nofreelunch0x19f8…fa4d | Yes | 1,667 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 1,648 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,484 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| simplystupid1880x682c…17ae | Yes | 1,429 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,502 bets |
| Priadka0xe64d…0ea0 | Yes | 1,404 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 1,257 | 1.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 1,250 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,220 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | Yes | 1,195 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| lifehack0xf17a…7b1f | Yes | 1,194 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xde76…215d | Yes | 1,180 | 0.8¢ | $1 | — |
| cryptoatma0xa172…b716 | Yes | 1,118 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 279 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 61 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| dasdawdq0x0d7f…b15b | Yes | 1 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.