Market · 6 of 13 outcomes
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mangol0xa411…c627 | No | 2,422 | 99.9¢ | $2.42K | — |
| 0x5293…4b34 | No | 1,000 | 90.0¢ | $999 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 188 bets |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 157,002 | 0.8¢ | $236 | New95 settled bets |
| GabrielMangoFierro0xb3cd…e864 | No | 202 | 99.0¢ | $202 | — |
| eeferw0xabae…1468 | No | 200 | 99.2¢ | $200 | — |
| WolfCharge0x78dc…b46d | Yes | 111,204 | 0.2¢ | $167 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | No | 148 | 97.1¢ | $148 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 87,493 | 1.2¢ | $131 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| FluxCapacitor880xb5a0…60c3 | Yes | 87,255 | 0.4¢ | $131 | — |
| 0xbc8f…5aa8 | No | 100 | 98.9¢ | $100 | — |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 66,335 | 0.3¢ | $100 | — |
| gsrwrwrew0x034c…b3e4 | No | 90 | 99.1¢ | $90 | — |
| adegf0x9000…b533 | No | 88 | 98.9¢ | $88 | — |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 54,488 | 0.3¢ | $82 | New11 settled bets |
| 0x1fd2…3a2a | No | 80 | 99.1¢ | $80 | — |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,001 | 3.0¢ | $68 | — |
| 0xc4f8…8a4a | Yes | 43,332 | 1.3¢ | $65 | New21 settled bets |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 36,378 | 0.3¢ | $55 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 33,500 | 0.3¢ | $50 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x3b49…d413 | No | 48 | 99.8¢ | $48 | — |
| ntrjthhrd0xa571…d179 | No | 42 | 99.8¢ | $42 | — |
| PMBMC0x1033…9db9 | No | 41 | 98.8¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.66 per $100 · 725 bets |
| fbdhy0x752f…a6f8 | No | 38 | 99.8¢ | $38 | — |
| tdudjj0x04cf…8bef | No | 37 | 99.8¢ | $36 | — |
| hedidknow0xc4f9…4ad4 | Yes | 20,672 | 4.8¢ | $31 | — |
| augustine3140x672d…0252 | Yes | 18,573 | 2.6¢ | $28 | — |
| onabreak0xa8b5…ca92 | No | 24 | 91.5¢ | $24 | — |
| metameta0x742f…6ce0 | No | 23 | 95.0¢ | $23 | — |
| what-would-hayek-20x15a1…1ffb | No | 20 | 99.8¢ | $20 | — |
| tiyujignshen0x4b80…a7f0 | No | 20 | 95.0¢ | $20 | — |
| freedomjijin0xfac1…4915 | Yes | 12,879 | 0.4¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xef80…a07f | Yes | 12,540 | 9.0¢ | $19 | — |
| QuickSand670xe086…cd36 | Yes | 11,457 | 2.5¢ | $17 | — |
| COWberys0x2e4b…e511 | No | 17 | 96.0¢ | $17 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 10,733 | 7.7¢ | $16 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,289 bets |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 10,650 | 1.5¢ | $16 | — |
| commi0xf3f6…fb00 | Yes | 10,614 | 3.8¢ | $16 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | Yes | 10,000 | 6.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| cdhack5210x1d9f…1471 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | New83 settled bets |
| fwed330x1461…30a1 | No | 15 | 97.3¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.44 per $100 · 1,900 bets |
| kekelibao0x658d…2332 | No | 15 | 95.0¢ | $15 | — |
| DualDelta0x1543…baaf | Yes | 9,545 | 5.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$9.93 per $100 · 326 bets |
| M05BT0x9012…b6aa | No | 13 | 99.7¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x328a…30c9 | Yes | 8,084 | 7.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$11.75 per $100 · 192 bets |
| asiamajor60x7689…2779 | Yes | 8,076 | 1.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Agent010xe557…98c7 | No | 11 | 95.0¢ | $11 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 7,000 | 0.5¢ | $10 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| kevinhuan0x385f…bcd5 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Matthew1390x107b…7cb0 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| scottylee0xd7d8…19e6 | Yes | 6,439 | 3.3¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x99c2…9df9 | Yes | 6,158 | 3.1¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x41c7…1514 | No | 9 | 98.9¢ | $9 | — |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | Yes | 5,555 | 0.5¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 5,062 | 1.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 5,001 | 1.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| AmonMultipleTroops0x2244…b9c2 | No | 6 | 95.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.33 per $100 · 890 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 4,181 | 1.9¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| limit20xcf8d…e45b | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $6 | — |
| hjjkj0x1ddd…2233 | No | 6 | 98.6¢ | $6 | — |
| HopeFields6830x5a3f…3d1f | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | New44 settled bets |
| rgsh810xd706…fac2 | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,500 | 1.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| KeithBates6070x498d…22d2 | No | 5 | 99.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Monstredu380xcba1…b4e2 | Yes | 3,471 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| DestroyLonley0x53f2…1530 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Jamica0x9d87…7cb8 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Elvill0x3fb6…ad9d | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| aitrades2220x0191…ca54 | Yes | 3,381 | 4.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9bda…afb2 | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 6541220xacf0…b39c | No | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| yaoyaolingee0x06f1…11fb | No | 5 | 95.0¢ | $5 | — |
| kenzo10x87e4…ac0d | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 5 | 98.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Soothsayer0x4cd0…5e51 | Yes | 3,000 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$15.33 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Hornyland0xfaf1…1f96 | No | 4 | 95.0¢ | $4 | — |
| RubenPearson33670x1dfd…946b | No | 4 | 90.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Logan7180x2f5a…5827 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ViVeViSfy0xa9c7…9450 | Yes | 2,590 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 2,529 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 2,526 | 0.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 2,500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| gordonr0x6a55…5abb | No | 4 | 97.0¢ | $4 | — |
| literroom0xba7c…bdcc | No | 3 | 87.0¢ | $3 | — |
| EDCvfr41qaz0xc2ff…ce1c | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,279 bets |
| echo0213010x5a9c…c336 | Yes | 2,071 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Bobby68770x0d44…4376 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,056 | 0.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| helecton0xfd0c…c519 | Yes | 2,028 | 1.4¢ | $3 | — |
| butterB0T0xae5c…53dd | Yes | 2,000 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 1,905 | 2.3¢ | $3 | — |
| cryptoatma0xa172…b716 | Yes | 1,586 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.21 per $100 · 279 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 1,562 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 1,505 | 6.3¢ | $2 | — |
| lunae200xb0f6…451c | Yes | 1,500 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| investmax0xe096…c7fb | Yes | 1,500 | 5.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Zachattack5000x4cf2…e31c | Yes | 1,488 | 2.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 391 bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,485 | 4.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 430 | 1.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 82 | 7.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.