Market · 5 of 13 outcomes
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fuelsiege0x67b6…568e | No | 1,165 | 84.0¢ | $1.16K | — |
| fwed330x1461…30a1 | No | 535 | 95.4¢ | $534 | Losing−$8.44 per $100 · 1,900 bets |
| 0x2d50…affd | No | 250 | 98.2¢ | $250 | — |
| 0xd98f…4273 | No | 203 | 98.4¢ | $203 | — |
| GonzaloMally0xf6c8…a184 | No | 203 | 98.5¢ | $203 | — |
| fafaer234230x2f67…f76d | No | 200 | 98.6¢ | $200 | — |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 108,847 | 1.2¢ | $163 | New95 settled bets |
| freedomjijin0xfac1…4915 | Yes | 100,191 | 0.3¢ | $150 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 97,816 | 0.5¢ | $147 | Positive+$6.45 per $100 · 7,363 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 143 | 86.0¢ | $143 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| Donjon0x3a0b…2ee9 | No | 131 | 99.8¢ | $131 | — |
| FluxCapacitor880xb5a0…60c3 | Yes | 86,439 | 0.4¢ | $130 | — |
| 0x15a2…de34 | No | 118 | 99.8¢ | $118 | — |
| Arnels0x6696…0dac | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $112 | — |
| rewqrq0xcfe7…bcc0 | No | 110 | 99.0¢ | $110 | — |
| kjmko300x154d…a748 | No | 102 | 98.4¢ | $102 | — |
| cyberTrump0x15fe…a0dd | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xc4f8…8a4a | Yes | 56,195 | 2.6¢ | $84 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x5b0b…5888 | No | 72 | 50.0¢ | $72 | — |
| 0x1dfd…3750 | No | 71 | 94.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,001 | 4.8¢ | $68 | — |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 37,835 | 0.5¢ | $57 | — |
| BoldMaster84850xfa40…2f43 | No | 56 | 99.7¢ | $56 | — |
| KeenBull36010x4873…b27a | No | 56 | 99.7¢ | $56 | — |
| Jua3400x8de7…f96d | No | 56 | 98.2¢ | $56 | — |
| UltraPhoenix83260x2fbb…cdcb | No | 56 | 99.7¢ | $56 | — |
| Goopah0xceec…4ad9 | Yes | 36,593 | 6.3¢ | $55 | — |
| quidy0x8538…ee29 | No | 52 | 95.4¢ | $52 | — |
| SantiagoTangoCorazon0xa09e…adc9 | No | 51 | 98.2¢ | $51 | — |
| Littlelittle0xe7a2…c08a | Yes | 31,994 | 1.4¢ | $48 | — |
| fdfhdh0x6533…5934 | No | 43 | 99.9¢ | $43 | — |
| ErnestineRicharv0x307e…edef | No | 40 | 99.0¢ | $40 | — |
| gdfgtddb0x682e…a794 | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x7a7a…8520 | No | 40 | 95.5¢ | $40 | — |
| TristanJedo0xe405…7007 | No | 39 | 99.0¢ | $39 | — |
| BenjaminBlack90430xe1cb…933e | No | 38 | 88.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 24,992 | 0.4¢ | $37 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| tdhtdrg0x364d…649b | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | $36 | — |
| iyfhshft0x786f…6712 | No | 36 | 99.9¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x5721…5d62 | No | 36 | 83.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 105630x6593…6059 | No | 36 | 99.8¢ | $36 | — |
| Jelak0xcab9…ac68 | No | 36 | 97.0¢ | $36 | — |
| fsgtrtd0x8f3c…9b36 | No | 35 | 99.9¢ | $35 | — |
| HelenMoirap0x26be…bd4a | No | 35 | 99.0¢ | $35 | — |
| nhtjy657320x5f81…d3c0 | No | 34 | 99.8¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x9cd3…3af6 | No | 33 | 93.7¢ | $33 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 27 | 95.2¢ | $27 | — |
| lingyang0xbeaf…3066 | No | 27 | 99.7¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x5b06…9076 | No | 27 | 79.0¢ | $27 | — |
| sadvc0x5427…0fef | No | 26 | 98.3¢ | $26 | — |
| avemvp0x96a4…ed03 | No | 26 | 99.9¢ | $26 | — |
| KaraLeticiai0x3b6e…c4b4 | No | 25 | 99.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 16,141 | 0.5¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x3fb2…1572 | No | 24 | 95.7¢ | $24 | — |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 15,836 | 1.8¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x8d20…1c0a | No | 23 | 94.8¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xcdff…7b53 | No | 23 | 94.6¢ | $23 | — |
| WolfCharge0x78dc…b46d | Yes | 15,105 | 0.2¢ | $23 | — |
| rgsh810xd706…fac2 | No | 22 | 89.0¢ | $22 | — |
| FoxTheodore0x44a5…1b00 | No | 21 | 99.0¢ | $21 | — |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | Yes | 14,176 | 0.7¢ | $21 | Positive+$68.55 per $100 · 157 bets |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 13,729 | 0.2¢ | $21 | — |
| SorrowfulLucy0x22d0…4efc | No | 21 | 99.0¢ | $21 | — |
| kinghu0x4f95…16af | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 12,000 | 0.5¢ | $18 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| 0x7dd5…9e0e | Yes | 11,275 | 23.1¢ | $17 | — |
| QuickSand670xe086…cd36 | Yes | 10,660 | 3.9¢ | $16 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 10,548 | 0.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 10,139 | 5.3¢ | $15 | — |
| tnl0xb619…5068 | Yes | 10,000 | 11.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.97 per $100 · 1,243 bets |
| -67-0xa6f2…1255 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x6c1c…baf1 | Yes | 9,841 | 5.1¢ | $15 | — |
| augustine3140x672d…0252 | Yes | 9,749 | 8.4¢ | $15 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,743 | 7.7¢ | $15 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| BobbyBlanco0xa4fd…6cc0 | Yes | 8,603 | 18.2¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x99c2…9df9 | Yes | 6,960 | 5.8¢ | $10 | — |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 6,500 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 6,251 | 19.2¢ | $9 | New77 settled bets |
| takeshikovacs20x2955…b736 | Yes | 5,932 | 0.6¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 4,987 | 2.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| commi0xf3f6…fb00 | Yes | 4,839 | 6.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,404 | 7.5¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 4,317 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 3,845 | 1.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| xiaozhuzhu1230x287b…5002 | Yes | 3,700 | 5.2¢ | $6 | — |
| polardr0id0xc862…0a52 | Yes | 3,522 | 2.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,500 | 1.3¢ | $5 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 3,479 | 8.3¢ | $5 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| 0x523f…77ac | Yes | 3,380 | 1.6¢ | $5 | — |
| Soothsayer0x4cd0…5e51 | Yes | 3,000 | 4.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 3,000 | 4.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| Cryptostradamus0x6553…35e2 | Yes | 2,900 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| trucketh0x5cda…1ed1 | Yes | 2,847 | 5.3¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf779…d36f | Yes | 2,739 | 7.9¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x6930…6eac | Yes | 2,731 | 3.8¢ | $4 | — |
| ViVeViSfy0xa9c7…9450 | Yes | 2,680 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 2,550 | 2.6¢ | $4 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 2,465 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| snoozer0x36f4…ab1e | Yes | 2,358 | 0.5¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.