Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x690b…bd2c | No | 17,725 | 93.5¢ | $16.1K | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 112 bets |
| XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…6712 | No | 5,270 | 76.9¢ | $4.79K | New57 settled bets |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 4,058 | 92.6¢ | $3.69K | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 4,000 | 77.1¢ | $3.64K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 2,201 | 91.3¢ | $2K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | Yes | 21,061 | 11.4¢ | $1.91K | New55 settled bets |
| 0xc6e1…3b95 | No | 1,700 | 82.4¢ | $1.55K | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 431 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 16,414 | 19.5¢ | $1.49K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | No | 1,300 | 61.0¢ | $1.18K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| MirAsifAhr0x9437…e75f | No | 1,090 | 89.1¢ | $991 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 552 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 10,078 | 6.4¢ | $912 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| S550x7124…70c1 | No | 900 | 86.6¢ | $819 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 6,761 | 4.0¢ | $612 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 613 | 67.1¢ | $557 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,710 bets |
| FMANTENNA0x9826…e7fe | No | 595 | 86.6¢ | $541 | Proven+$6.08 per $100 · 273 bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 4,586 | 20.6¢ | $415 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| Champions260xf91e…4f48 | Yes | 3,575 | 42.6¢ | $324 | Proven+$6.90 per $100 · 902 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 320 | 78.4¢ | $291 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| lihpare0x4fe2…87c5 | No | 266 | 83.0¢ | $242 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| trader2e10x335d…c9c3 | No | 250 | 80.5¢ | $227 | — |
| AnonTet0xca29…287f | Yes | 2,500 | 14.1¢ | $226 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 204 | 92.5¢ | $185 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| gooseknuckle0x833b…d4bb | No | 193 | 85.9¢ | $176 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 189 | 84.8¢ | $172 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,917 bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | 1,755 | 33.1¢ | $159 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 1,500 | 18.4¢ | $136 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| MellowWaters0x7f26…e5e8 | Yes | 1,462 | 24.9¢ | $132 | Losing−$5.83 per $100 · 147 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,427 | 9.0¢ | $129 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 66,068 bets |
| AMATEUR0x7286…559e | Yes | 1,360 | 17.5¢ | $123 | — |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 1,340 | 18.9¢ | $121 | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 1,265 | 29.4¢ | $114 | — |
| alijbee0x1874…594f | No | 125 | 90.4¢ | $114 | Proven+$3.99 per $100 · 260 bets |
| lyoo12100x1abe…f19f | No | 125 | 90.4¢ | $114 | Losing−$9.26 per $100 · 727 bets |
| 0xinOk10xeb6a…f15b | No | 122 | 80.7¢ | $111 | — |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | Yes | 1,187 | 19.0¢ | $107 | New6 settled bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 111 | 61.6¢ | $101 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,095 | 11.4¢ | $99 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Deadheadbucky0x68d9…00ed | Yes | 958 | 3.8¢ | $87 | — |
| plsnothackme0xc291…30ab | No | 92 | 90.4¢ | $84 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 303 bets |
| wrjzzz0x606d…4189 | No | 88 | 70.3¢ | $80 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 883 | 10.5¢ | $80 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| chacmool0xe215…a3d9 | Yes | 800 | 37.8¢ | $72 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 69 | 75.3¢ | $63 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 56 | 90.5¢ | $50 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| RyanU4bensi0x0afd…e79e | No | 54 | 94.0¢ | $49 | — |
| sigimundiasurya0x4582…689f | No | 53 | 94.1¢ | $48 | — |
| appbank.eth0x4b15…10c7 | Yes | 517 | 20.1¢ | $47 | — |
| nnss0x93ca…4472 | No | 51 | 78.8¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x0cd5…71a4 | Yes | 489 | 20.8¢ | $44 | — |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 472 | 7.5¢ | $43 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 439 | 7.9¢ | $40 | — |
| pp1010x7f33…914e | No | 43 | 73.3¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 2,166 bets |
| godson020x3103…ea70 | Yes | 428 | 17.6¢ | $39 | — |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | Yes | 411 | 24.0¢ | $37 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 410 | 13.3¢ | $37 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 405 | 20.5¢ | $37 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 360 | 19.1¢ | $33 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 743 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 355 | 11.9¢ | $32 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| kuasuo0x06dc…32b7 | No | 30 | 90.4¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 275 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 30 | 92.5¢ | $27 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| 0x50f9…2d88 | No | 30 | 78.1¢ | $27 | New77 settled bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 300 | 31.1¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| 0x71fd…5132 | No | 26 | 76.9¢ | $24 | Proven+$10.04 per $100 · 115 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 261 | 24.8¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 211 | 17.8¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 201 | 3.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 176 | 17.2¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| 0x4b80…88c6 | Yes | 158 | 12.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 150 | 13.6¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| arcjuice0x0ef9…8f58 | Yes | 127 | 17.7¢ | $12 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 124 | 22.8¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.35 per $100 · 2,438 bets |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 12 | 90.4¢ | $11 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
| superlemon0xf21f…fcb6 | No | 12 | 83.3¢ | $11 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 121 | 8.3¢ | $11 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| xiaoaojiang0x5195…44eb | Yes | 120 | 7.2¢ | $11 | — |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 11 | 63.3¢ | $10 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 114 | 23.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 11 | 92.8¢ | $10 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | Yes | 110 | 6.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 722 bets |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 104 | 28.0¢ | $9 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 70.4¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 83.2¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 3,507 bets |
| democracy0x216c…5a7f | No | 10 | 58.1¢ | $9 | — |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | No | 10 | 70.5¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 3,847 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 70.4¢ | $9 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| Timing-6160x8ebd…ec7d | No | 10 | 76.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 70.5¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xb8a6…ee83 | No | 10 | 57.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Sandro2311600x2fa0…6857 | Yes | 99 | 43.0¢ | $9 | — |
| no1body0xeefe…6c44 | Yes | 97 | 24.7¢ | $9 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 81.5¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| Jabotinsky0x7f96…a226 | Yes | 95 | 22.2¢ | $9 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 9 | 72.6¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| Merewald0xf379…ea83 | No | 8 | 60.5¢ | $8 | — |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | Yes | 84 | 12.8¢ | $8 | — |
| kxkxk0x12dd…db99 | Yes | 79 | 19.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x52d7…3849 | No | 7 | 75.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x765f…1508 | Yes | 62 | 25.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 2,565 bets |
| LonelyScissors0x460b…9894 | Yes | 56 | 16.9¢ | $5 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 5 | 86.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.