Market · 4 of 13 outcomes
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:36 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hereticprayers0x4ecb…514c | No | 600 | 77.0¢ | $599 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x0240…78f2 | No | 480 | 98.9¢ | $478 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 1,402 bets |
| 0xe76a…37c4 | No | 390 | 98.9¢ | $389 | — |
| rehdegd0xa871…d991 | No | 350 | 97.0¢ | $349 | — |
| dtghtfhd0x5a25…be32 | No | 320 | 97.0¢ | $319 | New4 settled bets |
| drbhdg0x2e8d…789f | No | 300 | 97.0¢ | $299 | New3 settled bets |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 115,646 | 2.5¢ | $289 | New95 settled bets |
| srfgdrgdrth0xf37d…c90a | No | 280 | 97.0¢ | $279 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 264 | 96.8¢ | $263 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| tdfhjfdtgdg0xf80f…8baa | No | 250 | 97.0¢ | $249 | — |
| peenman0x40d8…9fda | No | 249 | 98.5¢ | $248 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 5,373 bets |
| Odysseus.0x60ab…3206 | Yes | 96,146 | 11.0¢ | $240 | New7 settled bets |
| Jane850xbdef…fa87 | Yes | 85,628 | 2.7¢ | $214 | — |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | No | 200 | 99.0¢ | $200 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 73,914 | 1.0¢ | $185 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| IronWarriors0x108d…38ba | No | 145 | 90.0¢ | $145 | New8 settled bets |
| probablywronglol0xd5d3…a77b | No | 128 | 78.0¢ | $128 | — |
| 0x6cf1…1e12 | No | 107 | 99.3¢ | $107 | New32 settled bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 42,348 | 10.3¢ | $106 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| 323Gon0xf96a…afae | No | 103 | 97.3¢ | $103 | — |
| PabloEstancia0x3df9…71d8 | No | 103 | 97.6¢ | $102 | Proven+$15.75 per $100 · 879 bets |
| 0x8de9…bd37 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x9900…89b1 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xa772…0471 | No | 100 | 50.0¢ | $100 | — |
| vwuw0xc41d…e8fe | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x3164…02ba | Yes | 37,753 | 0.1¢ | $94 | New93 settled bets |
| 0x8f91…971a | No | 92 | 50.0¢ | $92 | — |
| shark190xea92…f8b6 | No | 90 | 91.0¢ | $90 | — |
| 14ls0xad86…b77b | No | 90 | 97.2¢ | $90 | — |
| 0x5d0b…ff96 | No | 81 | 50.0¢ | $81 | New14 settled bets |
| 0xd7a1…2a3d | Yes | 31,699 | 0.7¢ | $79 | — |
| 0xc4f8…8a4a | Yes | 29,632 | 4.3¢ | $74 | New21 settled bets |
| 27Fran0x0f47…38c7 | No | 72 | 97.7¢ | $72 | New52 settled bets |
| 0x2545…c6cb | No | 71 | 89.0¢ | $71 | New6 settled bets |
| amazingfrog0x5927…672b | No | 70 | 75.0¢ | $70 | Proven+$7.71 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x2460…9edf | Yes | 23,384 | 1.7¢ | $58 | New1 settled bet |
| FluxCapacitor880xb5a0…60c3 | Yes | 23,044 | 0.6¢ | $58 | — |
| 0xe4e9…28c9 | No | 57 | 50.0¢ | $57 | — |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 22,613 | 0.0¢ | $57 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 22,422 | 0.9¢ | $56 | New11 settled bets |
| snoozer0x36f4…ab1e | Yes | 21,718 | 0.5¢ | $54 | Proven+$31.65 per $100 · 122 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 21,033 | 0.4¢ | $53 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | No | 50 | 98.3¢ | $50 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 19,792 | 27.2¢ | $49 | New77 settled bets |
| sakii0x00d0…5846 | No | 45 | 98.1¢ | $45 | New31 settled bets |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | Yes | 16,572 | 2.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
| 0xbe1a…03a9 | No | 41 | 98.9¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x55cc…1ac6 | No | 40 | 99.8¢ | $40 | New20 settled bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 40 | 89.7¢ | $40 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 15,758 | 1.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$7.53 per $100 · 269,589+ bets · updating |
| 0x58b8…2e7c | No | 39 | 99.7¢ | $39 | New19 settled bets |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 14,796 | 1.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| wiawa0xaf35…3fc6 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| 0xa87f…b686 | No | 35 | 99.7¢ | $35 | — |
| Fifi5858580x5f76…f897 | No | 35 | 86.0¢ | $35 | New9 settled bets |
| Butschi0x3abe…ccbd | No | 33 | 92.0¢ | $33 | New2 settled bets |
| lafinal0x3d64…8e4a | No | 31 | 97.1¢ | $31 | New27 settled bets |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 30 | 99.7¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| vitordeng3580xbd7e…875d | Yes | 10,430 | 0.1¢ | $26 | — |
| kanqingshijie0x2cee…1b52 | Yes | 9,366 | 1.2¢ | $23 | New4 settled bets |
| hzyletsgo0x7537…663c | No | 23 | 99.6¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 140 bets |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 9,201 | 0.9¢ | $23 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| etyutuyti0x0dab…a6a1 | No | 23 | 99.1¢ | $23 | New39 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 9,122 | 7.7¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x5093…672e | No | 22 | 88.0¢ | $22 | New17 settled bets |
| Noah59990x971b…d36a | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| Xiyai0x2b35…2ec5 | Yes | 8,534 | 1.2¢ | $21 | New83 settled bets |
| sylv130x9bcc…39eb | Yes | 8,344 | 18.0¢ | $21 | — |
| pricer0x4277…276c | No | 21 | 96.9¢ | $21 | New20 settled bets |
| rsabahor0xfb74…ae29 | No | 21 | 96.9¢ | $21 | — |
| TeriMauricel0x85f4…8548 | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $21 | — |
| bibito0x82c6…0979 | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $21 | — |
| Gref0x3d29…9a83 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 7,012 | 3.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| REEFA0x5a68…00b3 | Yes | 6,957 | 12.0¢ | $17 | New9 settled bets |
| Cutesesi69690x638e…2540 | Yes | 6,418 | 1.2¢ | $16 | New20 settled bets |
| 0x523f…77ac | Yes | 6,284 | 3.3¢ | $16 | New9 settled bets |
| BetAndRegreTT0xb6c1…0a4c | Yes | 6,000 | 9.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 5,272 | 2.8¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| polardr0id0xc862…0a52 | Yes | 5,211 | 6.6¢ | $13 | — |
| CiscoMLSDM0xe952…a415 | Yes | 5,048 | 1.8¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,727 | 7.9¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 4,439 | 0.9¢ | $11 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 4,386 | 3.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| hualvlv0x3abc…4a92 | Yes | 4,225 | 0.9¢ | $11 | New34 settled bets |
| 0x2712…3c3d | Yes | 4,058 | 0.8¢ | $10 | New7 settled bets |
| A-Task170xd5e2…6078 | Yes | 4,000 | 0.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 10KWarrior0x8188…0667 | Yes | 4,000 | 1.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 674 bets |
| Parsons0x31fc…fbcc | Yes | 4,000 | 24.5¢ | $10 | New5 settled bets |
| QuickSand670xe086…cd36 | Yes | 3,638 | 8.1¢ | $9 | — |
| kroko0xf8cc…028a | Yes | 3,574 | 0.2¢ | $9 | Positive+$45.56 per $100 · 6,989 bets |
| Soothsayer0x4cd0…5e51 | Yes | 3,500 | 6.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$15.33 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 3,364 | 2.2¢ | $8 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 3,259 | 0.6¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,001 | 2.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$6.67 per $100 · 2,990 bets |
| 0x59fe…05ea | Yes | 3,000 | 1.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$15.87 per $100 · 159 bets |
| butterB0T0xae5c…53dd | Yes | 2,930 | 27.5¢ | $7 | — |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 2,866 | 0.2¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| 0x5105…3978 | Yes | 2,552 | 0.8¢ | $6 | New0 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.