Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 20:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 20,560 | 47.4¢ | $14.6K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 7,591 | 19.4¢ | $5.39K | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| GoldmanSachs0x71dd…d61c | Yes | 6,117 | 27.8¢ | $4.34K | Proven+$12.50 per $100 · 534 bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | Yes | 6,000 | 60.6¢ | $4.26K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 4,696 | 22.1¢ | $3.33K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,525 | 60.4¢ | $1.08K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 1,493 | 23.8¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$9.44 per $100 · 906 bets |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | No | 3,597 | 44.0¢ | $1.04K | New6 settled bets |
| ASBets0xe95d…b2a1 | Yes | 1,249 | 61.3¢ | $886 | — |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 926 | 49.0¢ | $657 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| lil.b0x86b7…7d35 | Yes | 921 | 57.0¢ | $654 | — |
| Champions260xf91e…4f48 | No | 2,150 | 54.2¢ | $624 | Proven+$6.90 per $100 · 902 bets |
| Deadheadbucky0x68d9…00ed | Yes | 847 | 17.6¢ | $602 | — |
| electionplayer0x5fe7…44a2 | Yes | 757 | 27.4¢ | $537 | — |
| Cbs7100x700a…a239 | Yes | 621 | 49.6¢ | $441 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 1,331 | 40.4¢ | $386 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 493 | 50.6¢ | $350 | — |
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 1,190 | 80.8¢ | $345 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,007 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 466 | 36.8¢ | $331 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,907 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 1,000 | 73.5¢ | $290 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| S550x7124…70c1 | Yes | 353 | 54.0¢ | $250 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| 0x62ea…2695 | Yes | 341 | 61.2¢ | $242 | — |
| 050050x9afe…062a | Yes | 299 | 43.2¢ | $212 | — |
| Lukito230xf629…f4cc | Yes | 283 | 54.2¢ | $201 | — |
| Buhta0x27b5…9650 | No | 643 | 40.1¢ | $186 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 262 | 62.7¢ | $186 | — |
| LukeZ0xd8d4…494d | Yes | 261 | 60.0¢ | $186 | — |
| oral.kite56330x6d6f…0f95 | Yes | 254 | 69.8¢ | $180 | New7 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 616 | 34.0¢ | $179 | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 86,515+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 213 | 26.6¢ | $151 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Hugopari0x7804…2d8e | Yes | 200 | 56.0¢ | $142 | — |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | No | 460 | 43.9¢ | $133 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,742 bets |
| 0xed47…9d90 | Yes | 180 | 28.8¢ | $128 | — |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | No | 427 | 50.6¢ | $124 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 162 | 16.7¢ | $115 | Positive+$3.97 per $100 · 85,752+ bets · updating |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 391 | 47.5¢ | $113 | — |
| karenchengckll0x3f64…d478 | Yes | 154 | 66.2¢ | $109 | — |
| 0xe6f0…a7a4 | Yes | 148 | 68.8¢ | $105 | — |
| appbank.eth0x4b15…10c7 | Yes | 147 | 69.0¢ | $105 | — |
| xiaoaojiang0x5195…44eb | Yes | 120 | 19.3¢ | $85 | — |
| buyHighSell-Low0x16c6…19e2 | Yes | 113 | 62.5¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x27e9…39b2 | Yes | 107 | 38.7¢ | $76 | — |
| dexter.chow0xf72e…8b51 | Yes | 100 | 56.1¢ | $71 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | 100 | 66.0¢ | $71 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Orange.gold0x0cb5…4e68 | No | 243 | 39.0¢ | $71 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 98 | 20.5¢ | $70 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| ykh10x03d6…81c3 | Yes | 93 | 57.8¢ | $66 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 89 | 36.7¢ | $63 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | No | 212 | 39.0¢ | $62 | — |
| predictgeek0x21ff…5e2a | No | 203 | 61.3¢ | $59 | — |
| PapiTrump0x7dce…981e | Yes | 80 | 62.5¢ | $57 | — |
| Saiku1060xf2b5…b21e | Yes | 80 | 63.7¢ | $57 | — |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | Yes | 80 | 56.6¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| alwaysture0xc3d0…9bed | Yes | 72 | 70.1¢ | $51 | — |
| lemonmina0x1ee7…4ea8 | Yes | 70 | 57.2¢ | $50 | — |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | No | 164 | 51.0¢ | $48 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| Sunbreon0xf26c…ebe5 | No | 160 | 59.7¢ | $46 | — |
| 0xb8a6…ee83 | Yes | 65 | 58.8¢ | $46 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 65 | 17.1¢ | $46 | — |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 62 | 49.9¢ | $44 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | No | 140 | 42.3¢ | $40 | — |
| 0x2a5f…6c92 | No | 135 | 38.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$3.02 per $100 · 114 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 51 | 22.0¢ | $36 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 50 | 20.0¢ | $36 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 122 | 54.8¢ | $35 | — |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 117 | 79.8¢ | $34 | — |
| Fruktfisk0x44d0…4c68 | Yes | 45 | 59.0¢ | $32 | — |
| LokiBoojie0x9dfb…820a | Yes | 45 | 46.2¢ | $32 | — |
| pizdi.bolyu0x27b9…90d0 | No | 102 | 37.5¢ | $30 | — |
| Donaldtrumpp0x7e96…f109 | No | 100 | 81.8¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 97 | 35.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 83 | 33.3¢ | $24 | Losing−$5.64 per $100 · 56,263+ bets · updating |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No | 80 | 36.6¢ | $23 | — |
| AAA11100x0c01…797d | No | 73 | 38.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$41.13 per $100 · 168 bets |
| 0xf22b…7eab | No | 64 | 48.2¢ | $19 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 57 | 30.2¢ | $16 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 6,486 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 40 | 31.0¢ | $12 | — |
| sentientsnake0x105c…b786 | No | 40 | 87.5¢ | $12 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 35 | 46.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x96ff…9310 | No | 29 | 36.1¢ | $8 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 25 | 55.0¢ | $7 | — |
| MonkMode0xf2c8…da0e | No | 25 | 80.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Lightwood0xa4ef…08ff | No | 24 | 43.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xcc08…7e4f | No | 19 | 36.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 15 | 35.1¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| lindac8750xbbd8…60b5 | No | 13 | 75.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Josephinequinn0xce28…3e51 | No | 10 | 50.2¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 47.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | No | 10 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 39.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 10 | 31.1¢ | $3 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 10 | 37.9¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| DontBeScared50xdf3b…880a | No | 9 | 56.2¢ | $3 | — |
| democracy0x216c…5a7f | No | 7 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 6 | 47.2¢ | $2 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 5 | 69.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 57.0¢ | $1 | — |
| thomas9810x2f43…07a0 | No | 5 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 17 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.