Market · 3 of 13 outcomes
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xef81…ac8c | No | 2,119 | 99.2¢ | $2.1K | — |
| nada0xf4f3…330d | No | 1,500 | 83.0¢ | $1.49K | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 197,397 | 4.4¢ | $1.38K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x5bc8…567d | No | 1,313 | 99.3¢ | $1.3K | — |
| newnewuser0x1dd1…a156 | No | 1,150 | 96.4¢ | $1.14K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 737 bets |
| 0x4b73…c6d6 | No | 1,142 | 99.1¢ | $1.13K | — |
| 0x3a5d…ac50 | No | 1,027 | 99.2¢ | $1.02K | — |
| 0xc9ee…45c9 | No | 884 | 98.7¢ | $878 | — |
| 0x8b81…fa9b | No | 820 | 99.3¢ | $814 | — |
| 0x1748…4d79 | No | 811 | 99.1¢ | $805 | — |
| chickengambler0xebc0…5aaf | No | 782 | 82.0¢ | $776 | New79 settled bets |
| 0xa5b5…ddc0 | No | 780 | 99.0¢ | $774 | — |
| d1k210x71ed…d9eb | No | 772 | 96.6¢ | $766 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 3,200 bets |
| 0x5b83…388f | No | 768 | 99.1¢ | $763 | — |
| 0x5195…fce5 | No | 675 | 99.4¢ | $671 | — |
| 0x47c4…b0db | No | 661 | 99.3¢ | $656 | — |
| 0x40f8…562c | No | 657 | 96.3¢ | $653 | — |
| 0x3bd3…087b | No | 630 | 99.6¢ | $626 | — |
| 0x760a…2a85 | No | 622 | 97.3¢ | $618 | — |
| 0xd7f6…99fc | No | 600 | 94.8¢ | $595 | — |
| 0xab88…ce9e | No | 578 | 96.0¢ | $574 | — |
| 0xd98f…782a | No | 575 | 95.6¢ | $570 | — |
| 0xa622…2170 | No | 555 | 97.0¢ | $552 | — |
| 0xeb86…780e | No | 553 | 96.7¢ | $549 | — |
| 0xcde9…528d | No | 552 | 96.4¢ | $548 | — |
| 0x7652…144c | No | 534 | 99.3¢ | $530 | — |
| 0xdd63…85ca | No | 519 | 99.2¢ | $516 | — |
| 0x66c5…e503 | No | 510 | 96.3¢ | $507 | — |
| 0x2e0f…9bf9 | No | 501 | 83.0¢ | $497 | — |
| 0x871e…dea0 | No | 500 | 99.4¢ | $497 | — |
| 0x35c2…82e4 | No | 476 | 95.3¢ | $472 | — |
| 0xd680…4114 | No | 466 | 97.4¢ | $462 | — |
| 0xc872…8c24 | No | 409 | 97.0¢ | $407 | — |
| 0xd4b1…aef2 | No | 409 | 96.3¢ | $406 | — |
| 0x0c71…4797 | No | 366 | 96.7¢ | $363 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x0c21…2a53 | Yes | 51,700 | 5.8¢ | $362 | — |
| snoozer0x36f4…ab1e | Yes | 50,870 | 2.8¢ | $356 | — |
| 0xcc5d…a25e | No | 333 | 96.3¢ | $331 | — |
| 0x5297…5efb | No | 332 | 95.7¢ | $330 | — |
| 0x2dc3…62f9 | No | 315 | 94.3¢ | $313 | New3 settled bets |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 43,658 | 1.0¢ | $306 | Positive+$6.53 per $100 · 7,295 bets |
| goog-ly-1-30x73be…136f | No | 300 | 96.2¢ | $298 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 300 | 96.3¢ | $298 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| 0xebd7…f51d | No | 273 | 95.8¢ | $271 | — |
| 0x332f…d7cd | No | 272 | 95.3¢ | $270 | — |
| -ojoker-0x0c7e…437f | Yes | 37,428 | 2.4¢ | $262 | — |
| 0xe941…dc91 | No | 264 | 84.0¢ | $262 | — |
| 0xc4f8…8a4a | Yes | 36,000 | 8.8¢ | $252 | New21 settled bets |
| kil260x65a8…8e78 | Yes | 35,615 | 2.5¢ | $249 | — |
| 0x57f4…e695 | No | 244 | 82.0¢ | $243 | — |
| 0xd8c8…dcf6 | No | 235 | 96.7¢ | $234 | — |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | Yes | 33,336 | 25.0¢ | $233 | New77 settled bets |
| 0xe258…a723 | No | 213 | 94.0¢ | $212 | — |
| 0xdaf1…2d8d | No | 207 | 97.1¢ | $206 | — |
| goog-ly-2-50x25bd…a568 | No | 200 | 96.2¢ | $199 | — |
| Magestictrader0x709b…0a0a | Yes | 27,765 | 4.6¢ | $194 | — |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 25,080 | 2.3¢ | $176 | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| 0x7f4b…3688 | No | 163 | 96.5¢ | $162 | — |
| poluser20260x40a7…91c9 | Yes | 20,879 | 3.3¢ | $146 | — |
| Aluluba0x0921…4aaf | Yes | 20,235 | 4.0¢ | $142 | — |
| Election20240x1958…310b | Yes | 19,678 | 4.2¢ | $138 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 18,281 | 18.4¢ | $128 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| MeiZzzi0x02f0…1a03 | Yes | 15,988 | 0.6¢ | $112 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 14,147 | 3.3¢ | $99 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 13,531 | 0.0¢ | $95 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 771 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 12,379 | 7.4¢ | $87 | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0x3164…02ba | Yes | 12,340 | 0.4¢ | $86 | — |
| 0x2460…9edf | Yes | 12,089 | 2.4¢ | $85 | — |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 10,676 | 12.6¢ | $75 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 10,176 | 1.6¢ | $71 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Ferwhere0x152f…a549 | Yes | 9,760 | 4.3¢ | $68 | Positive+$68.55 per $100 · 157 bets |
| 0xd4f7…73bb | Yes | 7,000 | 2.9¢ | $49 | Proven+$9.54 per $100 · 121 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 6,833 | 2.6¢ | $48 | Losing−$5.17 per $100 · 30,004+ bets · updating |
| 0xd7a1…2a3d | Yes | 6,200 | 4.2¢ | $43 | — |
| Cutesesi69690x638e…2540 | Yes | 5,469 | 3.3¢ | $38 | — |
| oboss0xeb73…292c | Yes | 5,264 | 24.0¢ | $37 | — |
| onepingonly0x950e…f8e5 | Yes | 5,007 | 19.8¢ | $35 | New11 settled bets |
| ongyee0xbb91…b15e | Yes | 4,673 | 2.9¢ | $33 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 4,479 | 3.6¢ | $31 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| 0x32fe…e4d2 | Yes | 4,321 | 7.3¢ | $30 | — |
| Soothsayer0x4cd0…5e51 | Yes | 4,190 | 8.6¢ | $29 | — |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 4,135 | 2.5¢ | $29 | — |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | 4,000 | 3.5¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | Yes | 3,950 | 21.0¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| CiscoMLSDM0xe952…a415 | Yes | 3,761 | 5.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 3,529 | 3.7¢ | $25 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0x57c2…4450 | Yes | 3,490 | 22.1¢ | $24 | — |
| tttzzzccc0xea87…a86d | Yes | 3,469 | 3.0¢ | $24 | New15 settled bets |
| teamflywheel0xafe2…b686 | Yes | 3,416 | 11.6¢ | $24 | — |
| A-Task170xd5e2…6078 | Yes | 3,369 | 4.2¢ | $24 | — |
| Wiilku0xbc4d…5271 | Yes | 3,299 | 3.0¢ | $23 | — |
| Peremiriya0xf3a5…5f3c | Yes | 3,200 | 9.8¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x523f…77ac | Yes | 3,188 | 8.4¢ | $22 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 3,179 | 1.8¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| cookie960xfb41…1fff | Yes | 3,081 | 2.4¢ | $22 | — |
| 0x5293…4b34 | Yes | 2,994 | 19.7¢ | $21 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 188 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 2,961 | 4.7¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| REEFA0x5a68…00b3 | Yes | 2,927 | 20.0¢ | $20 | — |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | Yes | 1,105 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| 0xf485…c9cc | Yes | 314 | 0.6¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.