Market · 13 of 13 outcomes
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xiaolicha0xeec2…f266 | No | 700 | 99.7¢ | $700 | — |
| opencode0x9d0a…b74c | No | 307 | 97.8¢ | $307 | New12 settled bets |
| rencaige0xb60f…1ab0 | No | 275 | 99.7¢ | $275 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 197 | 95.4¢ | $197 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| fwed330x1461…30a1 | No | 195 | 97.9¢ | $195 | Losing−$8.44 per $100 · 1,900 bets |
| zommarb0x1683…6906 | No | 120 | 94.9¢ | $120 | Losing−$2.82 per $100 · 1,779 bets |
| ictnj0x084d…48b0 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| ppsyt0x0c2b…ba36 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| fargom0x42a9…6e67 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| George13420x5035…8576 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| kunm0x602a…3ff2 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| czbb10x6344…cf39 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| mntsy0x7878…5775 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| Beyond200x82a4…c29c | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| cmpcy0xb4ea…9ce6 | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| px890xced1…034d | No | 100 | 99.6¢ | $100 | — |
| operatord0x52f6…a3f4 | No | 80 | 94.2¢ | $80 | — |
| ObsidianNocturne7x0xa517…36a8 | No | 80 | 99.0¢ | $80 | — |
| sEDFqWEFRDWEA0x7bcc…35a5 | No | 79 | 98.5¢ | $79 | — |
| uasydgvjyaesd0xd725…c9eb | No | 77 | 99.3¢ | $76 | — |
| ddggweww0xc7e3…fce1 | No | 76 | 98.4¢ | $76 | — |
| luminae0x9f3e…1edf | No | 74 | 99.5¢ | $74 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 146,093 | 0.1¢ | $73 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,770 bets |
| xssssssa0x54f6…2aef | No | 73 | 98.9¢ | $73 | — |
| asdwaswew0x6064…17a8 | No | 73 | 99.0¢ | $73 | — |
| CoolGirlMystery0xd197…3008 | No | 70 | 99.1¢ | $70 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 138,725 | 0.6¢ | $69 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| asderfgrefrrr0x47d1…61b1 | No | 68 | 99.0¢ | $68 | — |
| sadefesw0x4281…be3b | No | 67 | 99.3¢ | $67 | — |
| Sfsrfs0xc782…82b4 | No | 65 | 99.2¢ | $64 | — |
| dfsassw0x00ed…451f | No | 63 | 99.3¢ | $63 | — |
| aergergase0xdb04…561b | No | 62 | 99.3¢ | $62 | — |
| AnneBrooks32750xcfda…5709 | No | 56 | 96.2¢ | $56 | — |
| ASWerfwef0x56d3…ef59 | No | 55 | 99.2¢ | $55 | — |
| dszfrgverfgsf0x2062…cd58 | No | 54 | 99.2¢ | $54 | — |
| dalinme0x2c72…7fe7 | No | 52 | 99.5¢ | $52 | — |
| strkairdrop0xe74d…a769 | No | 50 | 99.7¢ | $50 | — |
| health20250x1d43…bc88 | No | 50 | 99.8¢ | $50 | — |
| ssd8t0xbf9e…7272 | No | 50 | 99.0¢ | $50 | — |
| yoyo1230xd66c…aa61 | Yes | 99,235 | 0.3¢ | $50 | — |
| asrfvarefa0x3ac1…6bae | No | 47 | 99.2¢ | $47 | — |
| dfghsrt0x451c…8a4c | No | 46 | 99.2¢ | $46 | — |
| KathyLawson73010x33e2…e1ba | No | 45 | 98.0¢ | $45 | — |
| erfgreerfgs0xc3a7…e987 | No | 44 | 99.3¢ | $44 | — |
| Misterxqt0x70f5…61ca | Yes | 88,320 | 1.9¢ | $44 | — |
| aerdgfare0xfd2d…4af9 | No | 41 | 99.2¢ | $41 | — |
| werwwww0x576b…c6e2 | No | 38 | 99.2¢ | $38 | — |
| hhuuaa0xbdb5…9b56 | No | 35 | 99.1¢ | $35 | — |
| DolMer63j0x64e3…5ce6 | No | 33 | 99.2¢ | $33 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 55,895 | 0.9¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0xaa06…1e0f | Yes | 52,734 | 0.5¢ | $26 | Proven+$2.25 per $100 · 1,046 bets |
| Ideal0x240b…f5ef | Yes | 50,750 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Losing−$3.14 per $100 · 185 bets |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,000 | 3.3¢ | $23 | — |
| Falima0x57cc…6bef | No | 22 | 99.5¢ | $22 | — |
| Umekt0x85b0…86c0 | No | 20 | 99.1¢ | $20 | — |
| zenosnl110xd0ae…2c92 | Yes | 40,000 | 0.4¢ | $20 | — |
| bcgyu760x5016…9e46 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| tina9830x59f0…23f6 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Youngmi0xd5cd…5462 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 29,273 | 1.5¢ | $15 | — |
| augustine3140x672d…0252 | Yes | 18,981 | 2.6¢ | $9 | — |
| zenosnl0xb557…2a07 | Yes | 18,000 | 0.4¢ | $9 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 15,799 | 6.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| mafomo0xd179…2a2d | Yes | 12,926 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | Yes | 12,441 | 1.6¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,316 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0xbfa9…3bdf | Yes | 11,900 | 0.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x3164…02ba | Yes | 11,795 | 0.8¢ | $6 | — |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 11,722 | 0.7¢ | $6 | — |
| NOMOREDlCK0x04d7…0001 | Yes | 10,132 | 4.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Cryptostradamus0x6553…35e2 | Yes | 7,050 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 6,121 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,903 bets |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 5,727 | 0.6¢ | $3 | — |
| JupSon0xa1ee…3b6c | Yes | 5,303 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| saiwang20260x025d…5b22 | Yes | 4,610 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 4,183 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,108 | 7.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 3,825 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| subzero0x0d8f…178b | Yes | 3,813 | 1.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Lingo660x105b…b213 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,932 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 2,512 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,500 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$43.18 per $100 · 2,767 bets |
| miraandika230xb461…4717 | Yes | 2,219 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 2,080 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,872 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,056 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Phant0M0x240d…bfd2 | Yes | 2,033 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| rewrewrewrwe0x1682…26ca | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 386 bets |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 1,905 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| ViVeViSfy0xa9c7…9450 | Yes | 1,750 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 1,702 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| .0.0x6cf8…042f | Yes | 1,690 | 3.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$14.61 per $100 · 149 bets |
| TechZX0x14dc…3933 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 1,617 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 1,582 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 1,575 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 1,500 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 1,500 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 1,485 | 4.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.