Market · 12 of 13 outcomes
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 17:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 13 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avrtshjf0x13ce…51cc | No | 149 | 99.8¢ | $149 | — |
| JustCrazy0xc21e…0215 | Yes | 287,887 | 0.1¢ | $144 | Positive+$6.92 per $100 · 1,769 bets |
| erewreqq0x1048…d2e1 | No | 78 | 99.8¢ | $78 | — |
| tddddy0x6d44…c281 | No | 76 | 99.8¢ | $76 | — |
| LumenThrenodyO0xce0a…09e2 | No | 76 | 99.8¢ | $76 | — |
| WhisperOfTheFadingAurora0x1587…373d | No | 75 | 99.8¢ | $75 | — |
| sauyahshsss0xc25e…b0f5 | No | 75 | 99.8¢ | $75 | — |
| sdswfwesf0x5812…90a9 | No | 73 | 99.8¢ | $73 | — |
| YasZoso0x442e…53d1 | Yes | 144,805 | 0.2¢ | $72 | — |
| SERfgawe4frweD0x5cc0…95a5 | No | 71 | 99.8¢ | $71 | — |
| sjdfvjs0x9b5d…fc3d | No | 70 | 99.8¢ | $70 | — |
| Rubyzlli0xe7d2…30ae | No | 62 | 99.8¢ | $62 | — |
| jsdyvgfjuyewsf0x2acb…b682 | No | 59 | 99.8¢ | $59 | — |
| ewfuwekfw0xe5c5…71a0 | No | 55 | 99.8¢ | $55 | — |
| sdedeee0x2c74…43b0 | No | 52 | 99.8¢ | $52 | — |
| gtsdefewrf0xbe69…0a6d | No | 51 | 99.8¢ | $51 | — |
| sakuedfgkuas0xe891…70e5 | No | 48 | 99.8¢ | $48 | — |
| yefduewfdew0xdbac…6d90 | No | 47 | 99.8¢ | $47 | — |
| udwhkw0x1d94…3907 | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $43 | — |
| ereeeerrt0xe139…6e05 | No | 43 | 99.8¢ | $43 | — |
| baosan0xe536…266d | No | 40 | 99.5¢ | $40 | — |
| swedfawerf0x2e13…055d | No | 36 | 99.8¢ | $36 | — |
| fjhrtjr8880xeed8…5815 | No | 35 | 99.2¢ | $35 | — |
| facaije8880x4c85…8f79 | No | 35 | 99.5¢ | $35 | — |
| SFRDgvergsdvf0x73a4…4bd6 | No | 35 | 99.8¢ | $35 | — |
| kongzhong0x16e8…1434 | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| wangjingjing0x5a8e…0d37 | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| chenwencong0xc870…a004 | No | 33 | 99.5¢ | $33 | — |
| bullgeli0x5445…fe53 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| franker60xa381…5bb0 | No | 30 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 59,101 | 7.7¢ | $30 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| zhoushouzi0x5d3c…5726 | No | 28 | 99.1¢ | $28 | — |
| se1lx1juxwgd87u0xea9c…becd | No | 27 | 99.9¢ | $27 | — |
| peiqi0xb3db…0b6a | No | 26 | 99.6¢ | $26 | — |
| Sterlink0x95d2…fbfd | No | 25 | 99.8¢ | $25 | — |
| musk6680x7381…2a6e | No | 25 | 99.6¢ | $25 | — |
| kaers0xeb27…5991 | No | 25 | 99.6¢ | $25 | — |
| jiajingwen0xce85…8f0d | No | 23 | 99.6¢ | $23 | — |
| Joebama0xb9cf…75d1 | Yes | 45,000 | 0.7¢ | $23 | — |
| baiduge60x988b…b4f4 | No | 22 | 99.6¢ | $22 | — |
| twiich0x3f9b…9a1a | No | 22 | 99.9¢ | $22 | — |
| betterfasterstronger0x13fa…954c | Yes | 40,527 | 7.7¢ | $20 | Positive+$48.49 per $100 · 1,444 bets |
| ruyidong0x194d…b7d2 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| mocahmeimei0x3ccd…39fa | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x5728…d689 | No | 20 | 99.4¢ | $20 | — |
| shaolin0xafd6…77ad | No | 18 | 99.8¢ | $18 | — |
| QuantumWitch0x8975…57f6 | No | 16 | 99.8¢ | $16 | — |
| uihtgrfde0x64e9…ec86 | No | 15 | 99.9¢ | $15 | — |
| xvsp0x20a3…29db | Yes | 29,368 | 0.5¢ | $15 | — |
| Boonk0x7004…50d2 | No | 13 | 98.5¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x5ddd…0014 | Yes | 25,883 | 0.3¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 257 bets |
| zenosnl110xd0ae…2c92 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.3¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x3164…02ba | Yes | 24,620 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xbe9d…a829 | Yes | 23,875 | 0.3¢ | $12 | — |
| yu0290x4f4f…c6ed | No | 12 | 99.8¢ | $12 | — |
| deeposs0x6d18…2d4b | No | 12 | 99.5¢ | $12 | — |
| Irik0x2627…6210 | No | 11 | 99.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 54670x348c…c85c | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | — |
| chalice10x2ab8…75fd | No | 10 | 99.8¢ | $10 | — |
| jpmpower0x31ae…4b60 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 19,057 | 7.7¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 191,746 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 15,869 | 1.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.97 per $100 · 10,606 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 15,799 | 6.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.68 per $100 · 14,155 bets |
| zdenek10x6f8f…722b | Yes | 15,500 | 0.1¢ | $8 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 14,059 | 7.7¢ | $7 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| zenosnl0xb557…2a07 | Yes | 11,793 | 0.3¢ | $6 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 11,542 | 7.7¢ | $6 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 86,775 bets |
| bluescluez0x19f2…94b7 | Yes | 11,259 | 2.9¢ | $6 | — |
| tmyk0x04e8…a0bf | Yes | 10,017 | 0.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaee6…16f1 | Yes | 8,591 | 0.9¢ | $4 | — |
| hqzxbktmrawplhncxfgdjyvsoeuikmtb0x0111…60f7 | Yes | 8,334 | 2.3¢ | $4 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,513 | 7.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.58 per $100 · 30,054+ bets · updating |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 6,449 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.08 per $100 · 29,939+ bets · updating |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 5,380 | 7.7¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 4,540 | 6.6¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,440 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| ColorRabbit0x5259…2973 | Yes | 3,667 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,644 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| subzero0x0d8f…178b | Yes | 3,468 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| nofreelunch0x19f8…fa4d | Yes | 3,333 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Lingo660x105b…b213 | Yes | 3,300 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 3,135 | 7.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$28.53 per $100 · 4,038 bets |
| 0x805b…be54 | Yes | 2,943 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,897 | 1.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.60 per $100 · 29,951+ bets · updating |
| WolfCharge0x78dc…b46d | Yes | 2,887 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| xlefgerx0x94e4…534a | Yes | 2,700 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$12.65 per $100 · 450 bets |
| houseru0xa91e…4e7f | Yes | 2,593 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 2,383 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.27 per $100 · 29,929+ bets · updating |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,359 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,056 | 0.7¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Priadka0xe64d…0ea0 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 1,995 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| haruk0980x77da…1d7d | Yes | 1,905 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| aenews10x4f11…be8d | Yes | 1,763 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| gogouno0x83d9…fc14 | Yes | 1,667 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 1,582 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| kneelbeforetheking0xeb34…7268 | Yes | 1,500 | 7.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$64.56 per $100 · 592 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 1,500 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.