Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
16 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | No | 4,904 | 68.5¢ | $3.56K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 4,755 | 69.4¢ | $3.45K | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| 0x1fb5…cabd | No | 4,558 | 66.5¢ | $3.3K | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 282 bets |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 3,484 | 65.1¢ | $2.53K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| OldZz0x298b…f406 | Yes | 6,588 | 47.5¢ | $1.81K | Losing−$8.55 per $100 · 232 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 6,293 | 27.0¢ | $1.73K | Proven+$5.21 per $100 · 2,232 bets |
| Saltyballs0xd46b…5dab | No | 2,302 | 69.0¢ | $1.67K | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 920 bets |
| 0xb3d6…dd72 | No | 2,025 | 67.8¢ | $1.47K | New25 settled bets |
| Rafael880x720b…37f6 | No | 1,984 | 65.2¢ | $1.44K | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 1,501 | 71.9¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,421 | 51.5¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | Yes | 3,672 | 37.1¢ | $1.01K | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 871 bets |
| fivegoldenrings0xcaf9…72cd | Yes | 3,546 | 35.0¢ | $975 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 1,065 | 58.6¢ | $772 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 1,000 | 64.6¢ | $725 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 953 | 64.6¢ | $691 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 2,000 | 43.0¢ | $550 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| filthymudeok0xbbe3…5b92 | No | 758 | 63.4¢ | $550 | Losing−$11.70 per $100 · 325 bets |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | No | 750 | 62.8¢ | $544 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 1,954 | 39.4¢ | $537 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| SDODNDPD0x3458…b5a7 | No | 725 | 69.0¢ | $525 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 708 | 53.2¢ | $513 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| Akke222240x5aed…e7bb | No | 700 | 61.0¢ | $508 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 394 bets |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | No | 700 | 55.0¢ | $507 | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| Coldonn1010xe6fd…8bc3 | No | 682 | 56.0¢ | $494 | — |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 613 | 50.0¢ | $444 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Analista.0x92d0…269e | Yes | 1,500 | 35.0¢ | $412 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,329 | 32.3¢ | $365 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| 0xae56…a727 | No | 501 | 66.0¢ | $363 | — |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 1,319 | 44.9¢ | $363 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| CHIKI330xff52…4546 | No | 500 | 50.0¢ | $363 | — |
| totti820x5f83…5dc1 | No | 500 | 65.0¢ | $362 | Positive+$3.96 per $100 · 132 bets |
| 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | 500 | 62.4¢ | $362 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 990 bets |
| noib0x187f…5fee | Yes | 1,303 | 24.6¢ | $358 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| IbnKhaldun0xa4bc…026c | No | 400 | 64.0¢ | $290 | Positive+$2.23 per $100 · 341 bets |
| 0xec20…79c3 | Yes | 1,025 | 33.6¢ | $282 | — |
| xt00x7828…e558 | No | 380 | 67.0¢ | $275 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 482 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 1,000 | 31.0¢ | $275 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks0x1262…056f | Yes | 1,000 | 36.0¢ | $275 | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 5,479 bets |
| wisechinaman0xdec2…b015 | Yes | 1,000 | 36.5¢ | $275 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,312 bets |
| Dynamit30x1626…9992 | No | 374 | 73.4¢ | $271 | — |
| 0x4756…a006 | No | 322 | 56.0¢ | $233 | New12 settled bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 309 | 64.6¢ | $224 | — |
| radek440x153b…65d8 | No | 304 | 66.1¢ | $220 | Losing−$2.78 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu0x392a…262d | No | 300 | 65.0¢ | $218 | Losing−$1.59 per $100 · 306 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 300 | 64.0¢ | $218 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| 0x2dd3…9b09 | No | 299 | 67.0¢ | $216 | New0 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 776 | 32.4¢ | $213 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,307 bets |
| ynadinsky0x2ff6…7c7b | No | 286 | 70.0¢ | $207 | New51 settled bets |
| Andreic120x1e4e…9e0a | No | 272 | 60.2¢ | $197 | New7 settled bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 639 | 32.7¢ | $176 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| seehi0x4451…fcbe | Yes | 600 | 39.0¢ | $165 | Losing−$7.92 per $100 · 360 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 220 | 70.0¢ | $160 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 219 | 75.4¢ | $159 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 571 | 40.8¢ | $157 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| T3tK1ng0x8781…19c0 | No | 211 | 64.0¢ | $153 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 205 | 64.1¢ | $148 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| 0x91c7…b576 | No | 200 | 74.0¢ | $145 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| eugenewp0xb1fe…467f | No | 200 | 52.0¢ | $145 | — |
| stupid220x8afa…adb6 | Yes | 500 | 44.0¢ | $138 | Break-even−$0.83 per $100 · 918 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 500 | 33.0¢ | $137 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 450 | 30.3¢ | $124 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| retrogeci.w0xe7dd…a02a | No | 159 | 64.0¢ | $115 | Proven+$4.51 per $100 · 212 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 400 | 35.0¢ | $110 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | No | 150 | 64.0¢ | $109 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 395 | 35.4¢ | $109 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| TheSwedishWolf0x0faf…d0d9 | Yes | 395 | 44.0¢ | $109 | Break-even−$0.87 per $100 · 811 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 391 | 27.0¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | No | 143 | 70.0¢ | $104 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| medosea0x2ed0…e25f | No | 137 | 76.1¢ | $99 | New11 settled bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | Yes | 357 | 32.4¢ | $98 | Losing−$12.60 per $100 · 4,915 bets |
| FEAROFWHAT0x3437…f8f3 | Yes | 300 | 37.0¢ | $83 | Proven+$2.61 per $100 · 624 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 300 | 24.0¢ | $83 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| Andry090xd104…7c02 | No | 111 | 66.0¢ | $80 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | Yes | 284 | 29.3¢ | $78 | New32 settled bets |
| Dettl4ff0x5de7…540c | No | 100 | 68.0¢ | $72 | Losing−$4.57 per $100 · 872 bets |
| X-Rabbit.Sezu0xc326…1db1 | Yes | 250 | 26.6¢ | $69 | — |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 94 | 67.5¢ | $68 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| timmaxt0xa882…e517 | No | 92 | 65.0¢ | $67 | — |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 232 | 25.1¢ | $64 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 227 | 26.0¢ | $62 | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| 0x8b5a…b95d | Yes | 226 | 35.0¢ | $62 | Losing−$24.53 per $100 · 517 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 225 | 32.7¢ | $62 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| old-six60xd584…8107 | Yes | 223 | 44.9¢ | $61 | — |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | Yes | 210 | 34.3¢ | $58 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,310 bets |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | Yes | 205 | 28.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 200 | 29.0¢ | $55 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 160 | 34.3¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,989 bets |
| 0xb675…3d65 | Yes | 156 | 48.2¢ | $43 | — |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 114 | 33.3¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 28.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | Yes | 100 | 27.0¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| 0x7623…6cb6 | Yes | 100 | 43.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$7.98 per $100 · 182 bets |
| 0x7130…5387 | Yes | 97 | 32.2¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 620 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 93 | 40.7¢ | $26 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| PMProf0xcb69…361e | Yes | 92 | 26.0¢ | $25 | — |
| telloier0x795b…623a | Yes | 90 | 26.0¢ | $25 | New9 settled bets |
| VenomTrade0x27ab…1f86 | Yes | 75 | 33.0¢ | $21 | New55 settled bets |
| 0x57e7…84e9 | Yes | 74 | 33.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 10,325 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.