Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x36da…907b | Yes | 3,504 | 70.2¢ | $2.33K | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 394 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 6,520 | 29.8¢ | $2.18K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 2,703 | 71.3¢ | $1.8K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 1,500 | 70.7¢ | $997 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | Yes | 1,406 | 78.6¢ | $935 | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,310 | 72.0¢ | $871 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| PwnedUrChoice0x5b31…b2f0 | Yes | 1,295 | 77.2¢ | $861 | — |
| AMo0xf562…4099 | No | 1,793 | 22.3¢ | $601 | — |
| KnightianUncertainty0x58e1…f652 | No | 1,643 | 24.3¢ | $550 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | Yes | 718 | 67.8¢ | $478 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| catalanpaths0xc972…dcd9 | Yes | 668 | 73.6¢ | $444 | Proven+$26.21 per $100 · 1,778 bets |
| xt00x7828…e558 | No | 1,236 | 29.8¢ | $414 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 614 | 70.6¢ | $409 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 611 | 69.3¢ | $406 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 568 | 71.2¢ | $378 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 1,100 | 26.0¢ | $368 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | Yes | 526 | 78.0¢ | $350 | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| ferraracesare0x5aa0…c2d1 | Yes | 500 | 75.2¢ | $333 | — |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 985 | 30.4¢ | $330 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| dezlstrid0xe16e…da41 | No | 903 | 30.3¢ | $303 | New25 settled bets |
| SickandTired0x290d…dc40 | Yes | 402 | 76.2¢ | $267 | — |
| Legacy.crypto0x9dfb…e887 | Yes | 400 | 75.0¢ | $266 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 400 | 70.3¢ | $266 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 359 | 67.9¢ | $239 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| Mystik0010x1892…0743 | No | 710 | 29.1¢ | $238 | — |
| GodRama0x8b72…6dbe | Yes | 355 | 73.8¢ | $236 | Positive+$4.43 per $100 · 3,463 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 325 | 72.4¢ | $216 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 308 | 68.7¢ | $205 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | No | 583 | 28.9¢ | $195 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| 0xa53f…a163 | Yes | 240 | 74.1¢ | $159 | — |
| 0x0524…1479 | Yes | 220 | 78.0¢ | $146 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 427 | 32.9¢ | $143 | — |
| scorp02120x778b…4e2d | No | 400 | 21.0¢ | $134 | New67 settled bets |
| MarvelFan940x0978…00e6 | Yes | 200 | 70.0¢ | $133 | Break-even−$0.34 per $100 · 648 bets |
| lilili990xbc7c…c08e | Yes | 200 | 67.0¢ | $133 | — |
| noib0x187f…5fee | No | 393 | 23.4¢ | $132 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 373 | 30.0¢ | $125 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 367 | 27.2¢ | $123 | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 330 | 34.0¢ | $111 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| Naokifachin0xf7bb…184e | No | 329 | 30.4¢ | $110 | — |
| 0xe61a…ba89 | No | 314 | 31.9¢ | $105 | — |
| 0x91c7…b576 | Yes | 152 | 72.9¢ | $101 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 106 | 66.0¢ | $71 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| WhiteRiceHoldCo0xeb03…5d15 | No | 211 | 29.0¢ | $71 | — |
| eugenewp0xb1fe…467f | No | 200 | 26.5¢ | $67 | — |
| alternate010x5c4c…8131 | Yes | 100 | 77.0¢ | $67 | Losing−$4.59 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 100 | 78.0¢ | $67 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 190 | 28.4¢ | $64 | — |
| timmaxt0xa882…e517 | No | 186 | 32.2¢ | $62 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | No | 183 | 35.0¢ | $61 | — |
| Claytoner0x9516…4d0f | Yes | 91 | 64.0¢ | $60 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 179 | 24.1¢ | $60 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Miguel2621440x2df5…51ac | Yes | 88 | 71.5¢ | $59 | — |
| Coconuts890x42e5…5ade | Yes | 64 | 77.7¢ | $43 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 60 | 73.0¢ | $40 | Proven+$9.13 per $100 · 9,031 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | Yes | 55 | 73.9¢ | $37 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 52 | 68.6¢ | $34 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| ASECTRAK0x220d…3c65 | No | 97 | 30.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 46 | 64.0¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| NatiImBackToU0xc4c9…d2eb | No | 90 | 35.3¢ | $30 | Proven+$4.61 per $100 · 138 bets |
| OtterStew1230x48ae…1e10 | Yes | 42 | 72.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Tobbo0xe910…2dae | No | 81 | 24.6¢ | $27 | — |
| SnowRazer0x40c2…b2fc | Yes | 38 | 68.1¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 6,404 bets |
| 0x152e…9963 | No | 70 | 29.0¢ | $23 | — |
| keoen0xac99…1380 | No | 70 | 21.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | 30 | 68.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x0c2c…dce3 | No | 59 | 33.9¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x6706…2341 | Yes | 27 | 74.0¢ | $18 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 27 | 74.6¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| NothingEverHappens120x407d…efcd | No | 50 | 29.0¢ | $17 | — |
| MahdiGhavi0x34ce…0b77 | Yes | 25 | 76.0¢ | $17 | — |
| surfteats0x6de1…e4a4 | Yes | 22 | 75.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x7f6d…f6f6 | No | 41 | 34.2¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x6d84…4c02 | No | 33 | 30.1¢ | $11 | — |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | No | 32 | 30.0¢ | $11 | — |
| thunderquack0x07fd…ad26 | No | 32 | 31.0¢ | $11 | — |
| KayaTibet0x9247…02fb | No | 29 | 24.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x377f…e8f9 | No | 29 | 35.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x461e…ec51 | Yes | 13 | 79.0¢ | $8 | — |
| dexproxy10xe743…e7d7 | Yes | 13 | 71.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x6597…1548 | No | 21 | 24.0¢ | $7 | — |
| po-ly28-test-user60x53f8…5ce0 | Yes | 11 | 67.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 533 bets |
| Fjsicyensoxgevq0x5d4f…ce53 | Yes | 10 | 77.0¢ | $7 | — |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | Yes | 10 | 73.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x822c…a06a | Yes | 10 | 73.3¢ | $6 | — |
| letmecookit0x0c78…d53f | No | 18 | 28.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ppppvv0x9675…1732 | Yes | 8 | 72.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x4284…4162 | Yes | 7 | 73.0¢ | $5 | — |
| FishAria0x2b0f…1456 | No | 10 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Serenewoodc0x68a5…a2f5 | No | 10 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| DonaldTangcc0xa692…e814 | No | 10 | 31.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Fafnirscales0xcc43…7c45 | No | 10 | 31.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,249 bets |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 26.0¢ | $3 | — |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 25.0¢ | $3 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 23.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.83 per $100 · 2,915 bets |
| blue-robot0x74f0…0e43 | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LeninLenin0x7e92…c6ed | No | 10 | 30.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 26.0¢ | $3 | — |
| liuruijin0x88b3…bad4 | No | 10 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.