Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No | 51,225 | 70.3¢ | $46.9K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| zve3da0xc948…33a1 | No | 19,929 | 85.3¢ | $18.2K | New44 settled bets |
| aannggg0xf39f…83bf | No | 16,456 | 87.5¢ | $15.1K | New0 settled bets |
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 14,203 | 63.6¢ | $13K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| ppacific0x7338…e149 | No | 11,663 | 91.7¢ | $10.7K | — |
| xoua0xda3f…c282 | No | 10,000 | 89.0¢ | $9.15K | — |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | No | 9,807 | 91.5¢ | $8.97K | New88 settled bets |
| How.Dare.You0x4bbe…2cf3 | No | 9,704 | 69.7¢ | $8.88K | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 1,350 bets |
| LPTT0xb5f2…f61a | No | 8,532 | 74.4¢ | $7.81K | — |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 7,436 | 89.6¢ | $6.8K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| Bartalamif0x9780…bbef | No | 6,966 | 71.8¢ | $6.37K | — |
| vladius30x2cf7…294a | No | 6,773 | 73.9¢ | $6.2K | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 472 bets |
| marketminder0x2272…7f10 | No | 6,080 | 90.5¢ | $5.56K | — |
| yurii040319770x994b…5077 | No | 4,710 | 79.5¢ | $4.31K | — |
| eastpak0x06ac…79ec | No | 4,689 | 83.0¢ | $4.29K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 297 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 4,566 | 67.1¢ | $4.18K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 3,718 | 90.2¢ | $3.4K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| andr0x85c4…33cb | No | 3,142 | 73.2¢ | $2.87K | — |
| novgan0x85ab…821e | No | 3,084 | 68.0¢ | $2.82K | — |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 2,974 | 79.8¢ | $2.72K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| AAVVAA0xb2c4…43e8 | Yes | 27,818 | 34.2¢ | $2.36K | — |
| Gambler19680x7a61…af24 | No | 2,515 | 25.0¢ | $2.3K | Proven+$24.29 per $100 · 1,950 bets |
| taincap0x0a41…492a | No | 2,506 | 75.0¢ | $2.29K | — |
| winelavkakz0x6959…5575 | No | 2,250 | 88.0¢ | $2.06K | — |
| helico0xc4f1…bda0 | Yes | 23,123 | 11.7¢ | $1.97K | — |
| iurii0x069f…b749 | No | 2,089 | 47.9¢ | $1.91K | — |
| Tconor0xd6b5…8723 | No | 2,069 | 71.0¢ | $1.89K | — |
| valar9990xc7a7…42b8 | No | 1,985 | 86.0¢ | $1.82K | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 1,747 | 86.0¢ | $1.6K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 1,669 | 32.4¢ | $1.53K | — |
| StasPanda0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | 15,256 | 18.0¢ | $1.3K | Losing−$5.33 per $100 · 1,249 bets |
| ihorkh0x7c32…d4be | No | 1,388 | 72.0¢ | $1.27K | — |
| Dinosaurus070x4304…ac42 | No | 1,370 | 73.0¢ | $1.25K | — |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 1,333 | 71.4¢ | $1.22K | — |
| Giovanni-Giorgio0x3b5d…f2c1 | Yes | 13,843 | 15.7¢ | $1.18K | — |
| Warszawa0xa265…a9df | No | 1,223 | 45.9¢ | $1.12K | — |
| hellokitty1170x6f56…075d | No | 1,223 | 81.8¢ | $1.12K | — |
| jawadam0xa1f7…fa4d | No | 1,186 | 92.5¢ | $1.09K | — |
| RTM4k0xbe84…e34e | No | 1,180 | 73.7¢ | $1.08K | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 12,640 | 21.6¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,159 | 50.8¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| esych0x0726…a285 | No | 1,099 | 91.0¢ | $1.01K | — |
| 0x0421…4b4b | No | 1,074 | 76.4¢ | $983 | — |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 1,057 | 72.0¢ | $967 | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,042 | 85.0¢ | $954 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| Imbafer0x02a1…dd72 | No | 1,026 | 62.0¢ | $939 | Proven+$9.31 per $100 · 481 bets |
| ran0xde65…eea5 | No | 1,000 | 72.0¢ | $915 | — |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 1,000 | 67.7¢ | $915 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 914 bets |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 977 | 27.6¢ | $894 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| snoozer0x36f4…ab1e | Yes | 10,386 | 11.0¢ | $883 | — |
| 0x4c7f…f8f8 | Yes | 10,144 | 17.8¢ | $862 | New1 settled bet |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate0x7365…64da | Yes | 10,007 | 23.4¢ | $851 | Proven+$12.92 per $100 · 1,201 bets |
| issuewish0xda0d…fb82 | No | 902 | 67.8¢ | $826 | — |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 900 | 69.0¢ | $824 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| foxi000xe648…cf1f | Yes | 9,673 | 37.6¢ | $822 | — |
| 0x2cc1…ae6f | No | 888 | 81.1¢ | $813 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 859 | 70.0¢ | $786 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| negator5120x1df2…cdf4 | No | 850 | 84.1¢ | $778 | — |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | Yes | 8,974 | 14.3¢ | $763 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| noname-0x0e4f…b706 | No | 800 | 87.7¢ | $732 | — |
| alpaca0x5da5…e620 | Yes | 7,911 | 22.7¢ | $672 | — |
| mtg20160xddae…f0ff | Yes | 7,477 | 33.3¢ | $636 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 6,388 | 39.2¢ | $543 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| 0x1d1f…6f8d | Yes | 6,341 | 23.9¢ | $539 | New65 settled bets |
| HOD-Capital0xfdfa…7fa8 | Yes | 5,155 | 19.2¢ | $438 | New4 settled bets |
| 17560xafc0…5087 | Yes | 5,143 | 37.7¢ | $437 | — |
| kojristugdnjkl0x81ed…02ad | Yes | 3,364 | 18.9¢ | $286 | — |
| ihor-ihor0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | 3,187 | 29.3¢ | $271 | — |
| Joe-Biden0x8b5a…00f2 | Yes | 3,168 | 27.0¢ | $269 | Proven+$16.39 per $100 · 383 bets |
| 0xa2cf…7c8e | Yes | 3,000 | 25.0¢ | $255 | — |
| 0x071b…d08d | Yes | 2,744 | 36.4¢ | $233 | New8 settled bets |
| alexludoman0xe117…b4e7 | Yes | 2,604 | 13.5¢ | $221 | — |
| inev0xcdde…f383 | Yes | 2,500 | 20.0¢ | $213 | — |
| BigBoiBettin0x48ee…008c | Yes | 2,318 | 24.8¢ | $197 | Positive+$19.61 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Agony8240xa546…4788 | Yes | 1,931 | 22.0¢ | $164 | — |
| santanika0xc450…6b80 | Yes | 1,750 | 28.2¢ | $149 | — |
| Hazya0xe795…6068 | Yes | 1,719 | 12.5¢ | $146 | — |
| 0x02af…e93d | Yes | 1,512 | 33.1¢ | $129 | — |
| Copezilla0x9f08…73a8 | Yes | 1,500 | 25.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| isekai.fan0x700a…de0c | Yes | 1,500 | 25.0¢ | $128 | — |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 1,500 | 25.5¢ | $127 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| 0xd359…d361 | Yes | 1,478 | 34.0¢ | $126 | New90 settled bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 1,420 | 8.0¢ | $121 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| 0xa97e…24ff | Yes | 1,357 | 32.0¢ | $115 | — |
| bigmaw0x5ff8…973d | Yes | 1,182 | 11.0¢ | $100 | — |
| narikela0x0380…4d8a | Yes | 1,173 | 15.0¢ | $100 | — |
| 0x2106…fa73 | Yes | 1,155 | 28.0¢ | $98 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,141 | 40.4¢ | $97 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96040x8a98…1b92 | Yes | 1,095 | 28.7¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 1,882 bets |
| 0xc32f…9627 | Yes | 1,058 | 27.9¢ | $90 | — |
| PolyJaguar0xc18b…3917 | Yes | 1,050 | 10.8¢ | $89 | Positive+$11.33 per $100 · 989 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 1,000 | 32.0¢ | $85 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,258 bets |
| Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a60x2a32…0188 | Yes | 1,000 | 30.0¢ | $85 | — |
| HysonB0xc2f7…aef9 | Yes | 1,000 | 32.9¢ | $85 | — |
| Denis990xc6a2…d076 | Yes | 1,000 | 25.0¢ | $85 | New72 settled bets |
| asl1100xab46…2296 | Yes | 979 | 30.1¢ | $83 | — |
| 0xblocked0x347b…c9bc | Yes | 979 | 25.9¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 12,117 bets |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | Yes | 942 | 20.0¢ | $80 | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 405 bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | Yes | 935 | 70.0¢ | $79 | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| HaakonBA0xf140…1472 | Yes | 909 | 33.0¢ | $77 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.