Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 40,289 | 61.5¢ | $27.2K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| bimbytodd20x81c8…0738 | Yes | 20,673 | 35.5¢ | $6.72K | — |
| 0x49F2060x49f2…d7b4 | No | 6,361 | 65.5¢ | $4.29K | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 6,226 | 68.4¢ | $4.2K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| placerv20x00d1…c8a4 | No | 5,987 | 54.5¢ | $4.04K | New36 settled bets |
| KoloJones0xa7a6…8117 | Yes | 10,516 | 43.7¢ | $3.42K | — |
| Mi-pucio0x4103…1c17 | Yes | 9,101 | 54.3¢ | $2.96K | New1 settled bet |
| Certify01480xf44d…60af | Yes | 6,141 | 42.2¢ | $2K | Proven+$3.65 per $100 · 113 bets |
| qizhan10xcb84…4fbc | No | 1,983 | 70.0¢ | $1.34K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 674 bets |
| neetbets0x4526…7a45 | No | 1,949 | 56.0¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$4.13 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 3,000 | 41.0¢ | $975 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 2,140 bets |
| Mangy620xcc50…df9b | Yes | 2,236 | 37.6¢ | $727 | Proven+$6.67 per $100 · 342 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,075 | 68.0¢ | $726 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| 0x87120xa676…1c22 | No | 1,000 | 59.0¢ | $675 | Break-even−$0.99 per $100 · 424 bets |
| ansatz0x5fa4…cd4e | No | 1,000 | 58.5¢ | $675 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 849 | 68.7¢ | $573 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,286 bets |
| Ohcrap0x8212…5933 | Yes | 1,464 | 37.4¢ | $476 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 472 bets |
| rickyvaughn0x32d1…b949 | Yes | 1,445 | 39.0¢ | $470 | — |
| Willie10xc22e…54eb | Yes | 1,378 | 48.3¢ | $448 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,169 | 38.2¢ | $380 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,423 bets |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 1,108 | 36.1¢ | $360 | Losing−$7.17 per $100 · 1,170 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 1,064 | 38.0¢ | $346 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 500 | 50.4¢ | $338 | — |
| HULK0xb1a2…57fe | No | 480 | 55.0¢ | $324 | — |
| Roserage0x06e2…da96 | Yes | 967 | 51.7¢ | $314 | — |
| Performance0x17c1…3799 | No | 461 | 71.2¢ | $311 | New22 settled bets |
| 0x11c1…83af | Yes | 920 | 43.5¢ | $299 | — |
| shorgio0xa093…5d29 | No | 406 | 54.0¢ | $274 | — |
| 0x6bdb…4496 | No | 400 | 60.8¢ | $270 | — |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | Yes | 824 | 42.2¢ | $268 | Losing−$8.63 per $100 · 872 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 795 | 35.2¢ | $258 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| LongShot-Louie0xbfbb…dc2b | No | 371 | 54.7¢ | $251 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 607 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 736 | 42.9¢ | $239 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,043 bets |
| 0x1da8…aa05 | No | 349 | 60.5¢ | $236 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 348 | 55.2¢ | $235 | Losing−$2.91 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| haixing0xb8f5…7137 | No | 326 | 60.0¢ | $220 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 320 | 64.4¢ | $216 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| Tarl0xc970…0666 | No | 295 | 59.3¢ | $199 | — |
| Zenitoro0xb710…fe3e | Yes | 610 | 32.8¢ | $198 | — |
| 0x3052…232a | Yes | 603 | 43.2¢ | $196 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 549 | 33.0¢ | $178 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | No | 248 | 71.0¢ | $168 | — |
| PwnedUrChoice0x5b31…b2f0 | No | 246 | 54.0¢ | $166 | New82 settled bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 243 | 64.7¢ | $164 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,237 bets |
| Brummer0x370a…baac | Yes | 502 | 44.0¢ | $163 | — |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | 500 | 57.0¢ | $163 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 240 | 63.7¢ | $162 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| MiaoAlpha0x5231…ca59 | No | 230 | 48.9¢ | $155 | New38 settled bets |
| semantics0x8dcf…5668 | No | 218 | 60.9¢ | $147 | Losing−$3.35 per $100 · 235 bets |
| 0x38a5…5eb9 | Yes | 417 | 48.0¢ | $135 | — |
| MeNoDatNutReelMuni0x06d0…059a | No | 200 | 53.0¢ | $135 | Break-even−$0.74 per $100 · 730 bets |
| fuckpm0xa821…0bc8 | No | 200 | 68.0¢ | $135 | — |
| 0xb986…4b60 | No | 200 | 68.5¢ | $135 | — |
| 0x9deb…8108 | No | 185 | 54.0¢ | $125 | — |
| 0xcc50…97ef | No | 182 | 55.0¢ | $123 | — |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | Yes | 374 | 46.9¢ | $122 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| firstforge0x132e…c724 | No | 180 | 61.0¢ | $121 | Losing−$7.29 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| Rrrrrb0x89be…f988 | Yes | 373 | 49.5¢ | $121 | — |
| webot-ai0xc2a5…0ce9 | No | 167 | 72.0¢ | $113 | New25 settled bets |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 165 | 58.4¢ | $111 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Lowkey670x2710…54a3 | Yes | 298 | 48.0¢ | $97 | — |
| EEbets0xe4ae…93ec | Yes | 292 | 36.0¢ | $95 | — |
| 0x8351…9beb | Yes | 282 | 44.3¢ | $92 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| 0x39bf…bda8 | Yes | 278 | 36.0¢ | $90 | — |
| Simon4s0xe8a6…644b | Yes | 275 | 37.8¢ | $89 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 131 | 57.8¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 126 | 59.0¢ | $85 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| SammyF160x5fc7…baa4 | Yes | 257 | 39.0¢ | $83 | — |
| DrunkenGuessingElephant0xa49f…3408 | No | 116 | 69.0¢ | $78 | — |
| bonkeydonkey0xc9a6…3133 | Yes | 232 | 43.1¢ | $75 | — |
| edmondan0x4005…4cd5 | Yes | 217 | 46.0¢ | $71 | — |
| HangingChad420x71b6…1f27 | Yes | 215 | 34.6¢ | $70 | — |
| Jaffe0xe1a6…0ac6 | Yes | 213 | 47.0¢ | $69 | — |
| 0x0f1c…3a66 | Yes | 208 | 45.7¢ | $67 | — |
| JackStraw0x2bae…2e92 | Yes | 200 | 48.0¢ | $65 | — |
| Hazaswine0x32b6…2f9f | Yes | 200 | 43.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 452 bets |
| Coldonn1010xe6fd…8bc3 | Yes | 192 | 44.8¢ | $62 | — |
| zhizhuj0x26ac…4aac | No | 90 | 67.0¢ | $61 | — |
| simulacrum30x2843…b3d2 | Yes | 181 | 49.3¢ | $59 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 2,572 bets |
| Theshahoflongisland0xa772…797a | Yes | 173 | 46.1¢ | $56 | — |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | No | 71 | 74.0¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 1,527 bets |
| rocky420070x6b17…03b2 | Yes | 139 | 31.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 9,818 bets |
| throat-goat0x1e34…b86f | Yes | 120 | 43.0¢ | $39 | — |
| paperboy0x1a89…edda | Yes | 118 | 51.0¢ | $38 | — |
| bobobetting0xe643…4be2 | Yes | 114 | 44.0¢ | $37 | — |
| VainceV0xe01b…fa88 | No | 55 | 55.0¢ | $37 | — |
| Riedl0x5350…2002 | Yes | 110 | 44.7¢ | $36 | — |
| ItaiB0x82b6…5a2e | Yes | 108 | 28.0¢ | $35 | — |
| alpacafarmer130x9320…49c6 | Yes | 106 | 47.5¢ | $35 | — |
| Yutaknows0xc2ae…fbf2 | Yes | 102 | 46.9¢ | $33 | — |
| Bruno.delcol0x1cea…181d | Yes | 102 | 49.0¢ | $33 | — |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 47 | 64.2¢ | $32 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | No | 42 | 64.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 9,048 bets |
| gadoutsi0xdcd3…8dc9 | No | 37 | 54.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 37 | 67.3¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| 0xc048…27d0 | No | 33 | 75.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 33 | 66.3¢ | $22 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| JStrats0x5c3e…8741 | No | 30 | 70.0¢ | $20 | — |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 28 | 52.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.