69%+

How these markets fit together

Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to 99.2¢ right now.

Decided by

Taiwan Semiconductor's gross profit margin for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official earnings materials.§1

Value exactly between

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket.§6

Reported as range

If the metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range is used.§7

Metric omitted

If official earnings materials for the quarter are released but do not include the metric, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.§4

No materials released

If the company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to the lowest bracket.§5

Counted

The gross profit margin as reported in the company's official earnings materials; the most numerically precise version reported.§10

Source

Taiwan Semiconductor's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings.§8

Closes

Oct 15, 2026 · 13:30 UTC

Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.