Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 92,718 | 90.9¢ | $86.7K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Jfownsk0x886f…95aa | No | 22,500 | 84.8¢ | $21K | — |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c | No | 20,000 | 75.0¢ | $18.7K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 2,013 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 19,492 | 73.2¢ | $18.2K | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | No | 16,706 | 90.4¢ | $15.6K | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 1,170 bets |
| 0x92ff…94ce | No | 12,842 | 92.0¢ | $12K | New20 settled bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 12,180 | 85.3¢ | $11.4K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 11,428 | 77.3¢ | $10.7K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,392 bets |
| back-in-whack0x5235…c04a | No | 7,160 | 88.6¢ | $6.69K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 888 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 6,953 | 90.7¢ | $6.5K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No | 5,000 | 83.0¢ | $4.67K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Lord-Of-Democracy0xe22d…635d | No | 5,000 | 89.4¢ | $4.67K | — |
| degenerace0xfca7…5d82 | No | 4,683 | 80.2¢ | $4.38K | New42 settled bets |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | No | 4,568 | 89.5¢ | $4.27K | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| 0x9631…89a1 | No | 4,039 | 94.0¢ | $3.78K | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 306 bets |
| WindTakeMeNorth0xbbea…e2b0 | No | 3,459 | 90.3¢ | $3.23K | Proven+$15.66 per $100 · 205 bets |
| BrightStars0xc84f…e0c5 | Yes | 48,887 | 9.5¢ | $3.18K | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 325 bets |
| 0x25db…28de | Yes | 45,697 | 8.1¢ | $2.97K | Losing−$3.27 per $100 · 439 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 45,149 | 12.4¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| sladky0x5e4c…de5b | No | 3,000 | 76.7¢ | $2.8K | New98 settled bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 2,222 | 68.0¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| Russel230x8966…5d80 | No | 2,091 | 84.6¢ | $1.96K | — |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | No | 2,055 | 86.9¢ | $1.92K | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 2,000 | 86.5¢ | $1.87K | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,853 | 80.0¢ | $1.73K | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| totalfeast0x88cb…8162 | No | 1,723 | 91.0¢ | $1.61K | — |
| eastpak0x06ac…79ec | No | 1,708 | 88.9¢ | $1.6K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 298 bets |
| Wolandemor0x256c…e7d1 | No | 1,400 | 70.0¢ | $1.31K | — |
| 24816326412825651210240x630b…3339 | No | 1,264 | 87.0¢ | $1.18K | New34 settled bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 1,200 | 85.1¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| bettingonwar0xaff4…de3c | No | 1,124 | 85.5¢ | $1.05K | — |
| 0x0f9f…0ad6 | No | 1,099 | 91.0¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$2.56 per $100 · 197 bets |
| testament-availability-ocean-centaur0x5106…2bac | No | 1,007 | 74.5¢ | $941 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 1,000 | 89.5¢ | $935 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| nohormuz0x440a…351d | No | 1,000 | 83.0¢ | $935 | — |
| MaxVision0x5be9…9106 | No | 1,000 | 93.0¢ | $935 | Positive+$9.90 per $100 · 197 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $935 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No | 1,000 | 85.0¢ | $935 | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| Strawbridge0xbac9…91fe | No | 1,000 | 89.0¢ | $935 | — |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 1,000 | 91.0¢ | $935 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 14,247 | 10.5¢ | $926 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| Maru.lucky.nala.lenu0x392a…262d | No | 840 | 71.0¢ | $785 | Losing−$1.59 per $100 · 306 bets |
| 0x0293…9f09 | No | 800 | 91.0¢ | $748 | — |
| 0x729a…c966 | No | 800 | 89.5¢ | $748 | Losing−$3.03 per $100 · 513 bets |
| tony12345670x3497…ad57 | Yes | 11,024 | 18.1¢ | $717 | — |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 730 | 76.0¢ | $683 | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| knrad0x4d01…1645 | No | 700 | 70.0¢ | $655 | Positive+$2.87 per $100 · 1,296 bets |
| tajir0x7bb3…2682 | Yes | 10,000 | 17.0¢ | $650 | Proven+$18.55 per $100 · 186 bets |
| coali100x7bc1…8db4 | Yes | 9,960 | 25.0¢ | $647 | Positive+$4.11 per $100 · 400 bets |
| tehkai0xa429…368a | No | 600 | 90.5¢ | $561 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 483 bets |
| momo5130xcdf8…b8ea | No | 600 | 90.3¢ | $561 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 704 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | No | 560 | 85.2¢ | $524 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| retrogeci.w0xe7dd…a02a | No | 550 | 91.0¢ | $514 | Proven+$4.51 per $100 · 212 bets |
| Ross19830xd1e1…69a6 | Yes | 7,911 | 8.8¢ | $514 | — |
| CDReves0x3bf2…70a4 | No | 529 | 85.2¢ | $495 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 7,500 | 8.0¢ | $488 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 767 bets |
| FishermansFiend0x3a59…6c6f | No | 511 | 87.3¢ | $478 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 177 bets |
| Legacy.crypto0x9dfb…e887 | No | 500 | 91.0¢ | $468 | — |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 6,896 | 11.0¢ | $448 | New65 settled bets |
| ppxtu0xfb57…0a46 | Yes | 6,700 | 14.0¢ | $436 | New85 settled bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 5,705 | 15.0¢ | $371 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 5,249 | 13.6¢ | $341 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| MineYours0xe096…be8e | Yes | 5,086 | 10.0¢ | $331 | — |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 5,012 | 10.0¢ | $326 | Proven+$5.59 per $100 · 870 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 4,394 | 11.6¢ | $286 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| Cungly0x5ccf…79d7 | Yes | 4,000 | 9.0¢ | $260 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 1,627 bets |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 3,000 | 13.0¢ | $195 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| filaretou0x5a77…f859 | Yes | 2,500 | 12.0¢ | $162 | Positive+$9.16 per $100 · 727 bets |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 2,500 | 13.5¢ | $162 | Positive+$4.33 per $100 · 1,101 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 2,440 | 13.8¢ | $159 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| Nikog800x4ea6…3b78 | Yes | 2,400 | 30.0¢ | $156 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 2,223 | 10.8¢ | $144 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 263,521+ bets · updating |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | Yes | 2,205 | 6.1¢ | $143 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 2,000 | 11.6¢ | $130 | Positive+$3.98 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| SaturnStormCube0xad52…11ac | Yes | 2,000 | 10.5¢ | $130 | Proven+$5.83 per $100 · 3,598 bets |
| OkieDokiePeon0x9ddf…2c83 | Yes | 1,921 | 8.5¢ | $125 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,178 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 1,741 | 13.0¢ | $113 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 1,534 | 12.6¢ | $100 | Proven+$18.69 per $100 · 273 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 1,500 | 11.6¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| 0xca82…e1f2 | Yes | 1,437 | 13.9¢ | $93 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,350 | 14.5¢ | $88 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 1,347 | 19.1¢ | $88 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| old-six60xd584…8107 | Yes | 1,300 | 14.2¢ | $85 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 1,208 | 14.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 1,028 | 15.0¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| 0xd0f8…6b50 | Yes | 960 | 21.0¢ | $62 | Proven+$11.40 per $100 · 266 bets |
| laccsv20xe691…3cae | Yes | 959 | 12.8¢ | $62 | New11 settled bets |
| Oajfkdojdndlxojx0x726a…200c | Yes | 905 | 28.4¢ | $59 | — |
| Andypro0xa2a8…8466 | Yes | 882 | 22.5¢ | $57 | — |
| fekjljr0x2d85…cbb5 | Yes | 726 | 13.8¢ | $47 | — |
| 0xb502…30b9 | Yes | 667 | 15.0¢ | $43 | — |
| hiramibol0xf078…d5fd | Yes | 631 | 13.0¢ | $41 | — |
| AlanYagami-T0xe3d1…d312 | Yes | 600 | 11.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 151 bets |
| wangchu390x170d…064c | Yes | 551 | 25.2¢ | $36 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 525 | 17.0¢ | $34 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,713 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | Yes | 510 | 9.0¢ | $33 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | Yes | 444 | 10.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,434 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 441 | 24.9¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| 420210x0d42…f124 | Yes | 423 | 18.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 9,218 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 400 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.