Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 12,493 | 93.7¢ | $11.6K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 5,876 | 91.4¢ | $5.44K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 5,833 | 92.6¢ | $5.4K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,933 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 3,453 | 93.4¢ | $3.19K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,040 bets |
| Everestpredictions0xceca…3f67 | No | 2,143 | 94.0¢ | $1.98K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 817 bets |
| WillBeQuant0xc6be…a0f3 | No | 1,659 | 87.9¢ | $1.53K | Proven+$3.41 per $100 · 682 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 600 | 93.5¢ | $555 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 555 | 93.0¢ | $513 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 6,670 | 9.0¢ | $500 | — |
| enri.hl0xa91e…09e0 | Yes | 6,251 | 12.8¢ | $469 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 136 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 473 | 92.0¢ | $437 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 300 | 92.0¢ | $278 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 3,000 | 9.0¢ | $225 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| ToTheWindow0xdf90…41f0 | Yes | 2,524 | 6.7¢ | $189 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 2,000 | 6.0¢ | $150 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | 1,861 | 6.0¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,568 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 150 | 88.0¢ | $139 | — |
| 0x67d0…db7a | Yes | 1,438 | 12.8¢ | $108 | — |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | Yes | 1,338 | 7.4¢ | $100 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 103 | 87.9¢ | $96 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 100 | 95.0¢ | $93 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| 0x325f…fd42 | Yes | 1,231 | 7.3¢ | $92 | New93 settled bets |
| noib0x187f…5fee | No | 98 | 86.8¢ | $91 | Positive+$5.43 per $100 · 215 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 893 | 8.0¢ | $67 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,255 bets |
| 0xd673…2305 | No | 65 | 93.0¢ | $60 | — |
| ZilkerSniper0x3d01…ccfb | Yes | 740 | 6.0¢ | $56 | Losing−$3.79 per $100 · 327 bets |
| Belfart0xecb8…205f | Yes | 722 | 8.3¢ | $54 | — |
| vadret0xe6d0…5b15 | No | 52 | 88.4¢ | $48 | — |
| regregr0xcbe2…b059 | No | 51 | 89.4¢ | $48 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 51 | 93.3¢ | $47 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| 0xOTd0x79a8…bb66 | No | 50 | 95.0¢ | $46 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 505 | 4.7¢ | $38 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 500 | 8.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Vodka-0x7842…4d91 | Yes | 500 | 9.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | Yes | 500 | 5.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 400 | 12.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 309 | 10.5¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 4,762 bets |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 299 | 6.6¢ | $22 | — |
| LuckyPunch990x3169…21b4 | Yes | 279 | 6.5¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 566 bets |
| sanlitou2026p10x7a8e…89d8 | No | 21 | 96.0¢ | $19 | — |
| EndofBeginning880x7828…381b | No | 20 | 89.2¢ | $18 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 240 | 6.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| whaleP10x5b1d…8895 | No | 18 | 91.5¢ | $17 | — |
| Yishtabach-Shemo0x9986…27ae | Yes | 200 | 6.0¢ | $15 | — |
| trader-8fff01810x8fff…0482 | Yes | 186 | 6.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 15 | 94.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | Yes | 179 | 8.0¢ | $13 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 167 | 12.7¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| balabalababalabala0x2779…239a | Yes | 150 | 13.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x3762…3fb5 | No | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| SlavaRUKNY0x8d64…5deb | No | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 11 | 95.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Seer-U0x635d…43f8 | No | 10 | 91.0¢ | $9 | — |
| l5wrGYrLGv0xb5c4…cb3b | No | 7 | 95.0¢ | $6 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 71 | 8.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 66 | 13.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| BrownElijahr0xac26…ea37 | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| fort1k-kk0xd572…6270 | Yes | 63 | 8.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9c2a…7678 | Yes | 62 | 6.5¢ | $5 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 9.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| itsKey0x95c2…485b | Yes | 50 | 9.0¢ | $4 | — |
| JakeBeez0x25b9…3058 | Yes | 50 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $4 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 50 | 17.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| brianmok0x4108…17b1 | No | 4 | 94.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 44 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| 0xe7f9…4b09 | Yes | 40 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4 | Yes | 36 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| MarySmithPro0xa738…424a | Yes | 33 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | Yes | 30 | 6.1¢ | $2 | — |
| EsliEs0xf06b…f629 | Yes | 30 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Orval10x435f…5bd5 | Yes | 30 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| CT-test0x5ad6…d276 | Yes | 28 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | Yes | 25 | 12.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4732…838e | Yes | 25 | 6.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 23 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 21 | 17.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | 20 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8ec6…09ad | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd011…e928 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcb67…cb63 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf395…2ffb | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| osmych0x7008…2fdd | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | Yes | 9 | 9.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| Hochul3250x5284…27f5 | Yes | 6 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nibblemaxxing0xc50c…3017 | No | 0 | 79.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 95.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 91.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,453 bets |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | No | 0 | 81.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x80fe…d375 | No | 0 | 93.9¢ | $0 | — |
| angb8100x9a14…1c26 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.