Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,900 | 85.0¢ | $2.35K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| pink110x97d1…18ef | No | 1,538 | 78.0¢ | $1.25K | New67 settled bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 696 | 81.4¢ | $564 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,685 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 500 | 85.0¢ | $405 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| enri.hl0xa91e…09e0 | Yes | 1,396 | 18.5¢ | $265 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 136 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 284 | 76.3¢ | $230 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| OneLastHurrah0x7803…9e91 | No | 260 | 83.1¢ | $211 | Losing−$5.07 per $100 · 741 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $190 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| ithinkthisisgod0xf1ff…5b03 | Yes | 700 | 15.0¢ | $133 | — |
| PMplayer0x174b…5a55 | Yes | 500 | 14.0¢ | $95 | Losing−$17.89 per $100 · 173 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 446 | 25.0¢ | $85 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 75 | 74.9¢ | $61 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| rocky420140xbb9f…557b | Yes | 299 | 24.0¢ | $57 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 294 | 22.2¢ | $56 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 68 | 82.5¢ | $55 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 20.4¢ | $55 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 275 | 22.8¢ | $52 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0x867a…16fc | No | 51 | 78.0¢ | $42 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 49 | 81.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 160 | 23.0¢ | $30 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 27 | 78.0¢ | $22 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 108 | 14.0¢ | $21 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| LMAOQQ0x34a9…3b89 | Yes | 100 | 22.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Kati.shi0x61f0…529e | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$4.70 per $100 · 261 bets |
| Yishtabach-Shemo0x9986…27ae | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 100 | 17.5¢ | $19 | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| Crayon0xc95c…5e0b | No | 20 | 85.7¢ | $16 | — |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | Yes | 83 | 19.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$14.85 per $100 · 244 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 55 | 23.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| 0xe7f9…4b09 | Yes | 54 | 19.5¢ | $10 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 50 | 16.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$2.02 per $100 · 982 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 50 | 14.0¢ | $10 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $8 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 38 | 14.9¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 28 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 26 | 26.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 25 | 25.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| MarySmithPro0xa738…424a | Yes | 21 | 14.0¢ | $4 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 5 | 68.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.04 per $100 · 3,277 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 21 | 24.0¢ | $4 | — |
| romanew-cryp0xbd91…6262 | Yes | 18 | 20.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.04 per $100 · 3,574 bets |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 17 | 19.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 14,400 bets |
| 0xac4e…e799 | Yes | 14 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Lolly990x498b…c8a5 | Yes | 14 | 14.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbbf6…d2e8 | Yes | 12 | 26.0¢ | $2 | New32 settled bets |
| Orval10x435f…5bd5 | Yes | 11 | 45.0¢ | $2 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 7,608 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | Yes | 10 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | Yes | 10 | 26.0¢ | $2 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | Yes | 10 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Conpink0xc8cd…ed53 | Yes | 8 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| CapyOnChain0x2d78…f923 | Yes | 7 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | Yes | 6 | 26.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Bloodveil0xf6d4…37aa | No | 1 | 79.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Welcome20260x1073…d8ba | No | 1 | 74.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 6 | 14.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| Cheburashka70x5839…78f9 | Yes | 5 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| rinsler0x612b…e141 | Yes | 5 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sfdelrisco0x4388…c5b7 | Yes | 5 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 1 | 75.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 1 | 78.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| effortravioli0x774d…8b08 | Yes | 1 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6729…d586 | Yes | 1 | 22.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.19 per $100 · 231 bets |
| b570x4865…904d | Yes | 0 | 23.0¢ | $0 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 0 | 25.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| pat070x6e99…edca | Yes | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,811 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.