Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
13 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 19,383 | 76.8¢ | $15.9K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 17,491 | 78.1¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,934 bets |
| Serega-pro0xcfb5…7d2d | No | 16,170 | 64.1¢ | $13.3K | — |
| 0xc615…e982 | No | 11,121 | 69.7¢ | $9.12K | New22 settled bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 10,469 | 78.2¢ | $8.58K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| Mr-Krabs0x8597…daee | No | 8,996 | 71.2¢ | $7.38K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 840 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 8,122 | 64.7¢ | $6.66K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 6,594 | 77.0¢ | $5.41K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 28,311 | 27.0¢ | $5.1K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| mm4ker0x8c57…f939 | No | 5,735 | 73.5¢ | $4.7K | Proven+$4.56 per $100 · 367 bets |
| Pondermint0x8633…a08d | Yes | 20,492 | 29.3¢ | $3.69K | Proven+$3.85 per $100 · 680 bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | No | 4,391 | 72.9¢ | $3.6K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Noname3330x6c17…6a7e | No | 4,380 | 74.2¢ | $3.59K | Proven+$4.18 per $100 · 460 bets |
| Trumpchi0xf7b3…eeb2 | No | 3,985 | 74.2¢ | $3.27K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 472 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 3,889 | 71.2¢ | $3.19K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| DaveyP0xea5e…ac9e | Yes | 16,421 | 48.2¢ | $2.96K | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 3,570 | 77.7¢ | $2.93K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| agagyu0x2136…ee56 | No | 3,400 | 79.1¢ | $2.79K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 178 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 14,544 | 22.5¢ | $2.62K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 3,000 | 68.8¢ | $2.46K | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 2,850 | 65.0¢ | $2.34K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| aannggg0xf39f…83bf | No | 2,804 | 76.6¢ | $2.3K | New0 settled bets |
| endlesssss0xb4fc…a926 | No | 2,403 | 69.9¢ | $1.97K | Losing−$2.86 per $100 · 1,067 bets |
| BloodyMummer0xffb0…fa37 | No | 2,234 | 58.3¢ | $1.83K | — |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 2,135 | 71.0¢ | $1.75K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| cripes30x8454…331a | No | 2,000 | 58.5¢ | $1.64K | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 2,770 bets |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 2,000 | 76.0¢ | $1.64K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 406 bets |
| KyleG1230xdcbb…4721 | No | 2,000 | 55.0¢ | $1.64K | — |
| 6idontknow1234513340xf6c9…1c13 | Yes | 8,784 | 41.1¢ | $1.58K | — |
| BlindAndDeaf0x40a6…133c | No | 1,912 | 79.1¢ | $1.57K | New39 settled bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 1,504 | 79.7¢ | $1.23K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| VibeyQuant0x1f85…a51b | No | 1,500 | 78.0¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$3.09 per $100 · 1,520 bets |
| expomax0x1e6a…9841 | Yes | 6,337 | 24.1¢ | $1.14K | New72 settled bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 6,232 | 26.1¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | No | 1,350 | 80.6¢ | $1.11K | Proven+$5.65 per $100 · 2,690 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 1,327 | 80.3¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| yen4u0xf0d5…c665 | No | 1,310 | 79.8¢ | $1.07K | Losing−$5.26 per $100 · 1,977 bets |
| HorribleWork0x7804…7025 | Yes | 5,913 | 20.6¢ | $1.06K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,375 bets |
| PhoenixWager0xb3d7…7504 | No | 1,200 | 80.1¢ | $984 | — |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 1,111 | 58.0¢ | $911 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| Drunken-Mentat0x588c…1bf4 | No | 1,100 | 77.3¢ | $902 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 676 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 4,989 | 30.7¢ | $898 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| melganis0x0bfb…26a7 | No | 1,061 | 57.8¢ | $870 | Proven+$4.74 per $100 · 2,886 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 1,000 | 76.1¢ | $820 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 1,000 | 78.3¢ | $820 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 1,000 | 76.0¢ | $820 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| jesus9110x8c8a…e62a | Yes | 4,105 | 24.5¢ | $739 | — |
| lukas110x5c27…1555 | No | 889 | 77.7¢ | $729 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 3,942 | 27.2¢ | $710 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 3,733 | 23.0¢ | $672 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| TylerTurden0x69ea…15cd | No | 788 | 74.4¢ | $646 | Proven+$4.26 per $100 · 940 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 777 | 76.6¢ | $637 | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,971 bets |
| AnonSequitur0xd7ee…0e97 | No | 768 | 81.6¢ | $630 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 739 | 77.7¢ | $606 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| kaninkungen0xa6f7…8545 | No | 716 | 75.5¢ | $587 | — |
| BasedJonStewart0xc094…97a1 | Yes | 3,258 | 44.1¢ | $586 | Proven+$12.90 per $100 · 192 bets |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | No | 700 | 76.0¢ | $574 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 4,600 bets |
| VdBellen0x3f23…27cb | Yes | 3,000 | 24.7¢ | $540 | — |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 638 | 79.7¢ | $523 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 631 | 84.0¢ | $517 | — |
| fart120xd934…8caa | No | 626 | 80.5¢ | $513 | — |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 605 | 76.4¢ | $496 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| wobajack0x433a…71e7 | Yes | 2,697 | 33.0¢ | $485 | — |
| MKIsabella0xe7a3…e60a | Yes | 2,500 | 37.5¢ | $450 | — |
| D33pCynic0x55db…2031 | Yes | 2,500 | 34.0¢ | $450 | New52 settled bets |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 2,383 | 21.1¢ | $429 | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 465 bets |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 517 | 77.7¢ | $424 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,308 | 19.2¢ | $416 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,295 bets |
| OrbitSugarFree0x890d…15ac | No | 500 | 81.6¢ | $410 | New74 settled bets |
| Palmfrog0xe6ed…07ea | Yes | 2,078 | 24.5¢ | $374 | New52 settled bets |
| easierthanmanifold0xe151…a852 | Yes | 1,900 | 25.7¢ | $342 | — |
| 0xc93a…d30d | Yes | 1,848 | 25.9¢ | $333 | — |
| gemblue0xe2a8…9df1 | Yes | 1,656 | 29.7¢ | $298 | — |
| maritime63070x5c29…358e | Yes | 1,500 | 24.9¢ | $270 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 117 bets |
| 0xb1b8…465a | Yes | 1,477 | 24.4¢ | $266 | New28 settled bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 1,220 | 18.0¢ | $220 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| puravida0x80a4…22cc | Yes | 1,200 | 37.8¢ | $216 | Proven+$2.23 per $100 · 2,750 bets |
| Bravo4140xcd96…9ee4 | Yes | 1,139 | 30.2¢ | $205 | Proven+$10.64 per $100 · 153 bets |
| pizda10xc485…c2a2 | Yes | 1,042 | 48.0¢ | $188 | — |
| TeemuPukki0xc254…3f73 | Yes | 1,000 | 25.0¢ | $180 | Positive+$1.78 per $100 · 1,561 bets |
| Fafa130x6967…84bf | Yes | 1,000 | 40.0¢ | $180 | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 227 bets |
| 7Embers0xd67d…9caf | Yes | 928 | 23.2¢ | $167 | — |
| great-cuttle-ketchup0x247d…c55a | Yes | 877 | 24.7¢ | $158 | — |
| 0x4605…3600 | Yes | 835 | 22.7¢ | $150 | — |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 816 | 43.0¢ | $147 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| Yupionso0xe17f…9d41 | Yes | 764 | 27.0¢ | $138 | New76 settled bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 735 | 23.8¢ | $132 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| mini-man0xc902…cd14 | Yes | 725 | 35.1¢ | $130 | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 225 bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 723 | 24.3¢ | $130 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| RiskyWhisky0x64df…ab80 | Yes | 700 | 24.7¢ | $126 | — |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 639 | 29.5¢ | $115 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| 0x2814…5596 | Yes | 604 | 41.4¢ | $109 | — |
| BondSolo0x9995…d0d3 | Yes | 573 | 28.7¢ | $103 | — |
| unsc0x3112…09a8 | Yes | 548 | 26.9¢ | $99 | New65 settled bets |
| Morholt0x88c9…7e55 | Yes | 500 | 20.6¢ | $90 | — |
| bravewarriorrrrrr0xa032…2090 | Yes | 500 | 22.2¢ | $90 | — |
| 0xa62f…dc2b | Yes | 500 | 23.0¢ | $90 | — |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 500 | 23.0¢ | $90 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| simulacrum30x2843…b3d2 | Yes | 489 | 43.7¢ | $88 | Losing−$4.40 per $100 · 2,572 bets |
| JiacangSui30xd7c2…5827 | Yes | 488 | 40.9¢ | $88 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.