Market · 9 of 29 outcomes
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe617…f251 | No | 10,348 | 96.8¢ | $10K | Break-even−$0.85 per $100 · 1,612 bets |
| nelbal84860x8c44…fcd4 | No | 7,415 | 69.5¢ | $7.17K | Positive+$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 6,667 | 97.0¢ | $6.44K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| earshot.zenith0x743b…b802 | No | 6,257 | 74.1¢ | $6.05K | — |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 5,803 | 76.1¢ | $5.61K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,952 bets |
| jcsberger0xadaf…3da0 | No | 4,347 | 94.6¢ | $4.2K | New39 settled bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 3,944 | 96.8¢ | $3.81K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Esports20260x9c4b…8a81 | No | 3,659 | 74.1¢ | $3.54K | — |
| stpocin0xe3b2…7d94 | No | 3,563 | 49.4¢ | $3.44K | — |
| .FiveDollarFootlong0x90a0…7e0a | No | 3,155 | 28.4¢ | $3.05K | — |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 2,823 | 81.5¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| mikecoin10x34b0…d620 | No | 2,500 | 93.0¢ | $2.42K | — |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | No | 2,000 | 82.0¢ | $1.93K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| rhinogiraffe0x7aed…df39 | No | 1,603 | 85.2¢ | $1.55K | — |
| sqaolkytrpoi0xd6dd…98ee | No | 1,569 | 72.1¢ | $1.52K | Proven+$5.99 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 1,364 | 63.6¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 1,349 | 93.0¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| chinesedushen0x79c5…a78e | No | 1,263 | 46.3¢ | $1.22K | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 1,128 | 96.4¢ | $1.09K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 989 | 89.6¢ | $956 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,032 bets |
| littlebird0x202b…971a | No | 835 | 29.3¢ | $807 | — |
| badkidsart0xc6c2…1b0d | No | 822 | 85.6¢ | $795 | — |
| Quirinus0x5494…faac | No | 797 | 62.7¢ | $770 | — |
| JoyBoy..0x1971…9afd | No | 600 | 96.6¢ | $580 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 492 | 94.0¢ | $475 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 13,746 | 61.8¢ | $460 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| abo7s0x6cb3…ca8b | No | 400 | 82.6¢ | $387 | — |
| 98Ddd05Cde45d05C4fC06f4093759FFDDFSFFSDDVF0xda91…9ffd | No | 372 | 77.2¢ | $360 | — |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 360 | 85.4¢ | $348 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| studmuffin69690xa8af…325e | No | 275 | 56.5¢ | $266 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 2,247 bets |
| 123454320xe2cd…3897 | No | 271 | 81.6¢ | $262 | — |
| Jonnybegood0x5211…bb10 | No | 241 | 83.6¢ | $233 | — |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 238 | 95.9¢ | $230 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| 0xzitu0x0435…cf1d | No | 236 | 27.3¢ | $228 | — |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 231 | 36.6¢ | $223 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,015 bets |
| StupidMonkeyyy0x67d6…245e | Yes | 6,468 | 9.8¢ | $217 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,106 bets |
| badwordusage0xc07c…517e | No | 210 | 42.5¢ | $203 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 200 | 94.8¢ | $193 | — |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 200 | 66.7¢ | $193 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| FishyAF0xa8d2…d6d2 | No | 200 | 49.0¢ | $193 | — |
| rajboy0xe81d…8f5d | No | 194 | 65.2¢ | $187 | — |
| acuellarF0xc7fb…8eb0 | No | 190 | 84.3¢ | $184 | Positive+$1.47 per $100 · 434 bets |
| gmeowcl0xd031…46b1 | No | 179 | 84.0¢ | $173 | — |
| tuzinapc0x230c…d36f | No | 168 | 66.1¢ | $162 | — |
| PoppingChairman0x96f9…1d08 | Yes | 4,620 | 74.7¢ | $155 | — |
| 0xhanxyz0x57c0…60c5 | Yes | 4,571 | 77.6¢ | $153 | New29 settled bets |
| zZzzZZzzz10x8cb5…8685 | Yes | 4,378 | 42.8¢ | $147 | Losing−$1.77 per $100 · 1,800 bets |
| bigheadL0x0bdb…d5fd | Yes | 4,150 | 64.0¢ | $139 | — |
| zzaqq20xd331…733c | Yes | 4,021 | 75.9¢ | $135 | Losing−$9.72 per $100 · 4,328 bets |
| zommarb0x1683…6906 | Yes | 3,910 | 39.7¢ | $131 | Losing−$2.82 per $100 · 1,779 bets |
| pcca0x79f2…18ff | Yes | 3,809 | 3.0¢ | $128 | — |
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | No | 123 | 81.6¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| comeNgetMe0x9f3a…3b17 | No | 119 | 84.5¢ | $115 | — |
| 0x94bf…3785 | No | 112 | 81.4¢ | $108 | — |
| 0xfc6c…919a | No | 110 | 85.5¢ | $106 | — |
| WindsonC0x76aa…c4f4 | Yes | 3,147 | 64.5¢ | $105 | New88 settled bets |
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 107 | 55.0¢ | $103 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 101 | 78.7¢ | $98 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Rucki660x01c1…7a52 | No | 100 | 96.5¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x81e7…7389 | No | 100 | 23.1¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 2,481 | 3.0¢ | $83 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 29,809 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 2,399 | 15.0¢ | $80 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | 2,366 | 10.8¢ | $79 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| ProfessionalPunter0x22e4…ef1c | Yes | 1,512 | 26.0¢ | $51 | Proven+$4.52 per $100 · 1,293 bets |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd0x5446…18f6 | Yes | 1,006 | 63.6¢ | $34 | — |
| 0x7577…8fb9 | Yes | 792 | 18.0¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 210 bets |
| hadarhaddad0x1946…6367 | Yes | 724 | 2.8¢ | $24 | — |
| Its2LateWhenYouSeeMe0x9b79…fbda | Yes | 646 | 29.3¢ | $22 | — |
| reizo0xc81c…e454 | Yes | 636 | 71.3¢ | $21 | — |
| SamTrems0xc3d7…b8cf | Yes | 595 | 37.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 0x1668…43d5 | Yes | 570 | 34.9¢ | $19 | — |
| DeezNutz690x25fa…408e | Yes | 550 | 70.1¢ | $18 | — |
| criollo0x82fc…565c | Yes | 517 | 15.0¢ | $17 | — |
| charliealmanack0xa3a3…c2f9 | Yes | 500 | 26.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$10.37 per $100 · 180 bets |
| 1651989890x2721…325b | Yes | 487 | 47.5¢ | $16 | Losing−$6.24 per $100 · 810 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 404 | 19.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| jumpthechasm0xe169…d7af | Yes | 390 | 38.0¢ | $13 | — |
| no-cry-in-casino0x8506…10ea | Yes | 386 | 72.0¢ | $13 | — |
| piyasayapici0x69cd…d48d | Yes | 383 | 20.0¢ | $13 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 380 | 15.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| Shijiebeiii0xbb59…6ca3 | Yes | 379 | 33.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x151a…0ece | Yes | 375 | 73.4¢ | $13 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 344 | 6.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$11.88 per $100 · 5,339 bets |
| risingbread0x82fb…3094 | Yes | 320 | 37.8¢ | $11 | — |
| niubeee0x7bbb…ad2e | Yes | 309 | 38.5¢ | $10 | — |
| moneylovesmee0x7310…b69e | Yes | 291 | 42.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x46a1…2736 | Yes | 250 | 17.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 710 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 232 | 7.6¢ | $8 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 225 | 43.2¢ | $8 | — |
| patrasq0x48c1…4f71 | Yes | 224 | 54.5¢ | $8 | — |
| akum40xe393…8364 | Yes | 217 | 16.8¢ | $7 | — |
| sfaizi30x9f8c…1366 | Yes | 215 | 28.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Terrence19920xc094…c8d4 | Yes | 212 | 2.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 201 | 2.9¢ | $7 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| dogepepeshiba0xdb4e…47f0 | Yes | 200 | 2.9¢ | $7 | — |
| uptoright0x131d…1bb7 | Yes | 200 | 54.1¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 200 | 7.5¢ | $7 | — |
| terrieq0x6acc…dacf | Yes | 200 | 74.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Yumeko10x9ef7…18e7 | Yes | 200 | 3.1¢ | $7 | — |
| echo0213010x5a9c…c336 | Yes | 189 | 43.0¢ | $6 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.