Market
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| adsfzv0x175b…fdcf | Kraken | 0 | 63.2¢ | $0 | — |
| RN10x2005…75ea | Capitals | 1,019 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 256,043 bets |
| ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319 | Capitals | 638 | 12.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.28 per $100 · 109,004 bets |
| MoneyFile0x1958…b24e | Capitals | 625 | 45.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 181 bets |
| TattyBojangles0x2d0b…1c94 | Capitals | 225 | 45.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$6.21 per $100 · 234 bets |
| overtimemarkets.xyz-singles0x9311…7c73 | Capitals | 169 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcd62…5bb3 | Capitals | 114 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fizzwont0x3003…30f5 | Capitals | 83 | 46.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.19 per $100 · 1,002 bets |
| 0x32ee…6c29 | Capitals | 50 | 45.2¢ | $0 | — |
| stkomeghivott0x42a1…a8e9 | Capitals | 50 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.26 per $100 · 20,871 bets |
| dumm4y0x48b9…abe2 | Capitals | 30 | 45.2¢ | $0 | — |
| NordhavenCap0x91fe…c1c6 | Capitals | 22 | 31.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$13.47 per $100 · 4,164 bets |
| IWillSurvive45780x9a91…7cbc | Capitals | 13 | 13.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf854…8e03 | Capitals | 9 | 45.2¢ | $0 | — |
| oo2oo0xdc8a…f1ab | Capitals | 5 | 40.2¢ | $0 | — |
| dwedwd0xb4cd…c041 | Capitals | 3 | 40.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Capitals minus Kraken for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.