Market · 3 of 6 outcomes
Flames vs. Ducks
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Over, 1 on Under. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xe5f0…dc1d | Over | 10,662 | 46.2¢ | $4.74K | Losing−$9.81 per $100 · 4,372 bets |
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Under | 7,080 | 55.0¢ | $3.93K | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 70,723 bets |
| 0xa697…59d5 | Under | 2,029 | 55.0¢ | $1.13K | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 46,804 bets |
| 0x5811…0976 | Under | 1,352 | 55.0¢ | $750 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 14,037 bets |
| yuyakowako0x6b1d…a01a | Under | 139 | 55.2¢ | $77 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 614 bets |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Under | 125 | 56.7¢ | $69 | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 11,306+ bets · updating |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Over | 116 | 44.6¢ | $52 | Losing−$1.39 per $100 · 16,483 bets |
| Kaprizov0xca42…9d8a | Over | 54 | 46.0¢ | $24 | — |
| lolinaka0x4ef0…62e0 | Under | 37 | 55.2¢ | $21 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Under | 35 | 57.2¢ | $19 | — |
| 0xf593…9553 | Over | 42 | 46.0¢ | $19 | — |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Under | 32 | 55.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 86,608+ bets · updating |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Under | 23 | 54.6¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 65,590 bets |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Under | 20 | 50.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 18,452 bets |
| 0x044c…9818 | Over | 20 | 50.0¢ | $9 | — |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Under | 11 | 56.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.13 per $100 · 32,879 bets |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Under | 10 | 57.2¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 14,791 bets |
| WebSirius0xb77e…f4fe | Over | 10 | 47.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x0abd…695a | Under | 7 | 57.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 6,213 bets |
| thebiggest670x9937…4e38 | Under | 4 | 55.0¢ | $2 | — |
| davegecafe0xd296…4dfa | Over | 4 | 46.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Under | 3 | 55.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x13f5…e9a7 | Under | 2 | 56.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.18 per $100 · 5,375 bets |
Shares = Over minus Under for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.