Market · 4 of 6 outcomes
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Ducks, 0 on Flames. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Flames | 310 | 60.0¢ | $184 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 70,660 bets |
| MoneyFile0x1958…b24e | Ducks | 400 | 41.2¢ | $162 | Proven+$7.01 per $100 · 185 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Flames | 122 | 58.5¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| 0x3613…79e1 | Ducks | 50 | 44.2¢ | $20 | — |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Flames | 30 | 60.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 86,608+ bets · updating |
| justanogdataguy0xea54…524a | Flames | 12 | 57.0¢ | $7 | — |
| alex-ss0x2ffe…056b | Ducks | 12 | 44.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf854…8e03 | Ducks | 9 | 44.2¢ | $4 | — |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Flames | 5 | 62.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 9,266 bets |
| 0xa697…59d5 | Ducks | 7 | 39.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 46,543 bets |
| RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53 | Flames | 5 | 57.0¢ | $3 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Flames | 5 | 59.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 132,532 bets |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Ducks | 5 | 42.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 42,745 bets |
| fizzwont0x3003…30f5 | Ducks | 5 | 44.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.44 per $100 · 1,006 bets |
| 0xfbe3…6599 | Flames | 2 | 62.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x76df…d9fe | Ducks | 2 | 44.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Ducks minus Flames for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.