Market · 216 of 328 outcomes
Spread: Commanders (-10.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Commanders, 1 on Giants. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Painfulvoid0xd696…8a49 | Giants | 35,820 | 74.6¢ | $26.3K | Losing−$3.21 per $100 · 5,645 bets |
| 0xbc43…96d3 | Commanders | 79,448 | 26.0¢ | $21.1K | Proven |
Shares = Commanders minus Giants for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Giants | 26,286 | 74.6¢ | $19.3K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 68,590 bets |
| updatefrover0xb9d8…c227 | Giants | 11,944 | 74.6¢ | $8.78K | New18 settled bets |
| Bagwell3060x9c76…c926 | Giants | 5,000 | 74.6¢ | $3.67K | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 20,125 bets |
| slimjoe0x5e30…acbf | Giants | 189 | 74.6¢ | $139 | Break-even+$0.42 per $100 · 33,087 bets |