Market · 238 of 327 outcomes
Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 13:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Bears, 1 on Falcons. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telekinesis880xe44b…6e0a | Falcons | 50 | 53.7¢ | $27 | — |
| bretonpicks0x5ab6…aa36 | Bears | 50 | 50.7¢ | $23 | Losing−$5.15 per $100 · 324 bets |
| ThTiki0xf524…cd0b | Falcons | 10 | 52.7¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Bears | 10 | 47.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PoorStamfordian0x7f8d…4a45 | Falcons | 5 | 50.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Falcons | 4 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 18,452 bets |
Shares = Bears minus Falcons for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
315 more outcomes in this event.