Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 5,037 | 97.3¢ | $4.98K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 969 | 88.3¢ | $959 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AlexLiu0x6cd5…f2cf |
| No |
| 50 |
| 94.5¢ |
| $49 |
| Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 641 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 32 | 96.1¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| spx110xff36…e757 | Yes | 3,000 | 11.7¢ | $32 | Proven+$10.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 30 | 44.9¢ | $30 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2 shares each side · Show
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