Market · 19 of 20 outcomes
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Cavaliers, 1 on Magic. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xcxrnbplus0x37d0…2121 | Cavaliers | 717 | 41.9¢ | $305 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Magic | 433 | 67.1¢ | $249 | Losing−$8.72 per $100 · 137,798+ bets · updating |
| stkomeghivott0x42a1…a8e9 | Magic | 100 | 60.5¢ | $57 | Losing−$10.73 per $100 · 19,622 bets |
| 0x228b…af4c | Magic | 92 | 59.0¢ | $53 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 32,373+ bets · updating |
| tatkamatv780x0ac5…f963 | Magic | 58 | 59.6¢ | $33 | — |
| www511zwin0x9368…f390 | Cavaliers | 70 | 40.2¢ | $30 | New13 settled bets |
| pedroBala0x1df2…89a0 | Magic | 40 | 60.5¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 15,987 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Magic | 31 | 60.0¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Magic | 31 | 60.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 36,574+ bets · updating |
| 0x5317…9a3b | Magic | 27 | 60.0¢ | $16 | Break-even+$0.67 per $100 · 9,275 bets |
| meep130x648c…ca8a | Cavaliers | 25 | 42.2¢ | $11 | — |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Magic | 8 | 62.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 148,817 bets |
| ValiBB0x9cb4…8285 | Cavaliers | 8 | 39.0¢ | $3 | — |
| youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8 | Magic | 0 | 62.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,710 bets |
Shares = Cavaliers minus Magic for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.