Market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 01:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x51ce…44c1 | Magic | 800 | 50.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Magic | 300 | 47.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| CAcap0xd619…c461 | Magic | 114 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LuckyLoo0x52d9…fb1a | Magic | 105 | 45.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.39 per $100 · 84,301 bets |
| 0xe953…7bca | Magic | 100 | 48.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Magic | 59 | 47.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poshposh0xc4fe…601f | Magic | 15 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 79,048+ bets · updating |
| stkomeghivott0x42a1…a8e9 | Magic | 15 | 34.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.26 per $100 · 20,871 bets |
| 0x45e6…a1ec | Magic | 10 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Windows11-Winner0xf530…68ed | Magic | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xyogo0x8317…a446 | Magic | 5 | 48.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0xa85b…eb0e | Magic | 5 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 8,007 bets |
Shares = Cavaliers minus Magic for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.