Market · 15 of 17 outcomes
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb552…b70c | Thunder | 552 | 53.0¢ | $284 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 7,306 bets |
| Ming19970x715b…920f | Thunder | 386 | 53.1¢ | $199 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Hawks | 406 | 48.0¢ | $197 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| paopao8880x7b9f…5e45 | Hawks | 292 | 51.2¢ | $142 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Hawks | 240 | 49.0¢ | $116 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| 0x187b…8848 | Thunder | 200 | 51.4¢ | $103 | — |
| pol66980xb39b…9826 | Hawks | 171 | 50.2¢ | $83 | — |
| dv-pm0x56ac…d77e | Thunder | 60 | 52.2¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.57 per $100 · 6,648 bets |
| keysthetrader0x7b00…2ec2 | Hawks | 60 | 51.2¢ | $29 | — |
| CAcap0xd619…c461 | Hawks | 56 | 49.0¢ | $27 | — |
| KingSheep0x340c…b592 | Thunder | 35 | 53.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Hawks | 20 | 51.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.32 per $100 · 21,893 bets |
| DiazVictora0xbc9b…897e | Thunder | 17 | 54.2¢ | $9 | — |
| 24342352350x9188…7d45 | Hawks | 17 | 47.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x7a52…cb93 | Thunder | 13 | 53.8¢ | $7 | — |
| BYTasb10x288e…c02d | Thunder | 10 | 51.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$43.81 per $100 · 226 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Hawks | 10 | 50.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| 0xec3b…7348 | Hawks | 9 | 51.2¢ | $4 | — |
| jade040xab6f…1216 | Thunder | 8 | 53.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Req90x4384…62c5 | Hawks | 5 | 48.0¢ | $2 | — |
| yangting0x0ca8…dddd | Thunder | 2 | 52.2¢ | $1 | — |
| muyuyang0x829f…ccfd | Thunder | 2 | 52.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x604a…d9ad | Thunder | 2 | 53.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Hawks minus Thunder for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.