Market · 14 of 20 outcomes
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Hawks, 1 on Thunder. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Thunder | 224 | 51.2¢ | $125 | Losing−$3.32 per $100 · 21,893 bets |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH0xfe70…7533 | Hawks | 99 | 50.0¢ | $44 | — |
| HighIQDegens0x1e81…ae48 | Hawks | 89 | 45.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$3.72 per $100 · 776 bets |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Hawks | 73 | 50.5¢ | $32 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 13,728 bets |
| Lidongo0x9e15…7531 | Thunder | 46 | 51.0¢ | $26 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Hawks | 50 | 48.6¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| 0xbfd7…f0bf | Hawks | 41 | 50.2¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 58,650+ bets · updating |
| LongQQQW0x9a45…c92d | Hawks | 40 | 47.0¢ | $18 | Proven+$3.92 per $100 · 732 bets |
| Hooolaaa0x14b3…5da9 | Thunder | 25 | 54.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Han880x46a3…1476 | Thunder | 25 | 55.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Hawks | 29 | 55.1¢ | $13 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xa990…dc90 | Thunder | 19 | 55.0¢ | $10 | — |
| WaySheGoes0x0380…4943 | Thunder | 18 | 56.2¢ | $10 | — |
| iluvsportslol234340x8345…d5e0 | Thunder | 17 | 56.2¢ | $9 | Proven+$8.68 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Thunder | 15 | 56.2¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Thunder | 11 | 54.2¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53 | Thunder | 10 | 47.0¢ | $6 | — |
| user00000000x9ffa…864c | Thunder | 10 | 53.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$7.47 per $100 · 3,565 bets |
| 0x2077…8161 | Thunder | 9 | 54.2¢ | $5 | — |
| currybrother0x99c7…de56 | Thunder | 9 | 55.2¢ | $5 | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Hawks | 8 | 55.1¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.96 per $100 · 187,097 bets |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Thunder | 5 | 56.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 8,204 bets |
| 0x3340…13c8 | Thunder | 5 | 53.2¢ | $3 | — |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Hawks | 5 | 47.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 42,480 bets |
| Req90x4384…62c5 | Hawks | 5 | 50.2¢ | $2 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Hawks | 5 | 55.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd863…b7e2 | Hawks | 4 | 55.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Thunder | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 64,078+ bets · updating |
| 0xdc60…6c08 | Thunder | 2 | 56.5¢ | $1 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 426 bets |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Hawks | 2 | 47.0¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| mirabu0x8968…c3c1 | Hawks | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Hawks minus Thunder for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.