Market
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1b40…230c | Thunder | 5 | 49.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.58 per $100 · 2,016 bets |
| QWUERHAIUKSJNFSNCF0xd70b…dcb1 | Hawks | 1,689 | 54.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6557…0999 | Hawks | 1,209 | 48.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cometrue0080x15fb…e26a | Hawks | 182 | 56.2¢ | $0 | — |
| xionssh0x789f…3e7d | Hawks | 74 | 53.0¢ | $0 | — |
| poshposh0xc4fe…601f | Hawks | 59 | 18.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 95,726 bets |
| BrickThrower0x1b44…d8de | Hawks | 37 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Hawks | 35 | 51.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 21,970 bets |
| yyyrl0xda77…683f | Hawks | 33 | 13.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.13 per $100 · 86,840+ bets · updating |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Hawks | 30 | 54.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,381 bets |
| 0xakwz0x91e6…0a20 | Hawks | 30 | 13.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Jxtoas0xa9f5…937f | Hawks | 26 | 14.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.42 per $100 · 58,728+ bets · updating |
| stkomeghivott0x42a1…a8e9 | Hawks | 14 | 54.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.92 per $100 · 21,661 bets |
| ulos0x7517…0353 | Hawks | 13 | 54.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.68 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| 0xdbdd…a5de | Hawks | 10 | 51.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.42 per $100 · 106,826+ bets · updating |
| santen0xb0bd…7250 | Hawks | 10 | 53.2¢ | $0 | — |
| vr-piru0xc353…30a8 | Hawks | 9 | 53.2¢ | $0 | — |
| crashhh0x1ce9…7115 | Hawks | 5 | 53.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.51 per $100 · 2,705 bets |
| RadioFreeZerg0x5210…bd53 | Hawks | 5 | 57.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ezp-gk-160x621e…8e10 | Hawks | 5 | 57.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.21 per $100 · 6,457 bets |
| dentleightadman0xd9c9…6686 | Hawks | 4 | 57.2¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Hawks minus Thunder for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.