Market · 13 of 13 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Pacers, 3 on Thunder. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Thunder | 877 | 74.0¢ | $653 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 132,184 bets |
| Muqiang62150x6691…5a83 | Thunder | 553 | 72.0¢ | $412 | — |
| jaijiajaijai0xa2fc…b1b4 | Thunder | 521 | 75.5¢ | $388 | — |
| treediagramm0x4cf8…043d | Thunder | 492 | 75.0¢ | $367 | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Thunder | 465 | 74.2¢ | $346 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 188,151 bets |
| Zzzz870x2117…5c26 | Thunder | 431 | 73.4¢ | $321 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 9,541 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Thunder | 420 | 74.4¢ | $313 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| CAcap0xd619…c461 | Thunder | 416 | 76.0¢ | $310 | — |
| Kuntro20xf6ee…0e41 | Thunder | 400 | 75.0¢ | $298 | — |
| Ming19970x715b…920f | Pacers | 1,160 | 26.8¢ | $296 | — |
| Mr.Machines0x8314…0f1e | Pacers | 1,000 | 24.8¢ | $255 | Proven+$2.96 per $100 · 2,657 bets |
| delmore0x8a0c…3d4d | Pacers | 595 | 26.2¢ | $152 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Thunder | 172 | 76.9¢ | $128 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| horse20260x37de…f512 | Pacers | 500 | 28.0¢ | $127 | — |
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Thunder | 170 | 72.0¢ | $126 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 70,615 bets |
| 0x018e…5c3d | Thunder | 153 | 73.2¢ | $114 | — |
| wert12120x6ab2…c81c | Thunder | 130 | 76.9¢ | $97 | — |
| 0x1e4b…0a04 | Thunder | 108 | 72.0¢ | $81 | — |
| 0x187b…8848 | Pacers | 300 | 31.3¢ | $77 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Pacers | 300 | 22.0¢ | $77 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| leqe0x1b77…6ba1 | Thunder | 100 | 76.9¢ | $75 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | Pacers | 287 | 35.0¢ | $73 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| 0x7249…f5da | Thunder | 93 | 73.4¢ | $69 | Losing−$10.97 per $100 · 1,510 bets |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | Pacers | 200 | 29.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,356 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Pacers | 195 | 24.0¢ | $50 | Losing−$17.39 per $100 · 7,322 bets |
| tiaamony0x29d7…eae8 | Thunder | 57 | 75.5¢ | $43 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Thunder | 56 | 71.9¢ | $42 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | Thunder | 41 | 72.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Vogelzang0xf464…5076 | Thunder | 40 | 76.0¢ | $30 | — |
| Laijiajun0xa367…faa9 | Thunder | 39 | 77.9¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xcd06…7b11 | Thunder | 37 | 70.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Pacers | 105 | 30.7¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| leflaive0xdc9f…905b | Pacers | 100 | 26.0¢ | $26 | — |
| user00000000x9ffa…864c | Pacers | 88 | 29.7¢ | $23 | Losing−$7.47 per $100 · 3,565 bets |
| walawaladude0x61cc…5b11 | Thunder | 28 | 72.4¢ | $21 | — |
| f14422d54cf4c20xaaac…8069 | Pacers | 80 | 26.2¢ | $20 | — |
| 3er8720x2df7…7f76 | Pacers | 78 | 33.4¢ | $20 | — |
| iluvsportslol234340x8345…d5e0 | Thunder | 27 | 72.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$8.68 per $100 · 238 bets |
| rayvanmechelen0xcc37…c4ea | Thunder | 27 | 75.0¢ | $20 | Proven+$5.63 per $100 · 2,339 bets |
| 0x2077…8161 | Thunder | 25 | 72.5¢ | $19 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Pacers | 67 | 30.3¢ | $17 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 65,590 bets |
| grepxd30x9ba2…d8c2 | Pacers | 60 | 33.1¢ | $15 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Thunder | 20 | 74.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Pacers | 58 | 27.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x99d5…9622 | Thunder | 19 | 75.0¢ | $14 | — |
| sentrio0xdb83…1e50 | Pacers | 53 | 26.0¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 78,733 bets |
| MeistersApprenticeship0xdc4f…9804 | Thunder | 18 | 74.6¢ | $13 | — |
| 0xdd3b…cea6 | Pacers | 50 | 25.7¢ | $13 | — |
| manbyka0xb340…d76c | Pacers | 47 | 25.9¢ | $12 | — |
| chaeri0x61f6…e497 | Thunder | 16 | 69.1¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.98 per $100 · 36,052 bets |
| friddz0xc4d0…aab1 | Thunder | 15 | 66.8¢ | $11 | — |
| Galaktor0xc406…4deb | Pacers | 44 | 25.9¢ | $11 | — |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Pacers | 43 | 23.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Pacers | 43 | 24.9¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,975 bets |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Thunder | 14 | 75.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 9,266 bets |
| Deliles0x9663…5b70 | Thunder | 14 | 72.0¢ | $10 | — |
| xp66660xb390…642b | Pacers | 40 | 25.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Not.a0xe838…cba0 | Pacers | 40 | 27.0¢ | $10 | — |
| WalkerArthur0x7b24…2f18 | Thunder | 13 | 77.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xbfd7…f0bf | Thunder | 12 | 70.1¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 87,265+ bets · updating |
| palich0xe6b8…9223 | Pacers | 36 | 24.9¢ | $9 | — |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Thunder | 11 | 72.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 14,791 bets |
| chianes24710x9000…e260 | Pacers | 30 | 29.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x59da…1880 | Pacers | 30 | 34.9¢ | $8 | New94 settled bets |
| KaiMy0x9bc0…9556 | Pacers | 28 | 25.9¢ | $7 | — |
| LuckyLoo0x52d9…fb1a | Thunder | 10 | 70.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.39 per $100 · 85,236 bets |
| FraneSelak0x35e7…8331 | Pacers | 25 | 28.5¢ | $6 | — |
| scottnba0xbd01…4f8f | Pacers | 25 | 26.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ilovegd0xa251…7587 | Pacers | 24 | 25.9¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc0d0…9c39 | Thunder | 8 | 73.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Pacers | 22 | 24.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 21,970 bets |
| piepi0xd37a…2358 | Pacers | 21 | 28.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 63,672 bets |
| 0x1002…fa94 | Thunder | 7 | 50.0¢ | $5 | — |
| crossfire10x00d2…fe64 | Pacers | 20 | 31.6¢ | $5 | — |
| dumm4y0x48b9…abe2 | Pacers | 20 | 31.1¢ | $5 | — |
| zhixing9990xef65…f32f | Pacers | 20 | 25.9¢ | $5 | — |
| moneypoli0xf2da…9385 | Pacers | 20 | 25.9¢ | $5 | — |
| ddd1410xfa68…ba5d | Pacers | 20 | 29.0¢ | $5 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Pacers | 19 | 27.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Thunder | 6 | 76.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.21 per $100 · 84,469+ bets · updating |
| JaquelineWats130xafc2…700b | Pacers | 15 | 25.9¢ | $4 | — |
| ab-star0x421c…8707 | Thunder | 5 | 70.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Req90x4384…62c5 | Thunder | 5 | 72.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 1,781 bets |
| t2k0x7beb…b59b | Thunder | 5 | 76.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xyogo0x8317…a446 | Thunder | 5 | 75.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 122 bets |
| botmy0xbce1…197a | Thunder | 5 | 66.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x6204…50a2 | Pacers | 13 | 31.2¢ | $3 | — |
| spjxl0xbf28…fee3 | Pacers | 12 | 25.9¢ | $3 | — |
| test420690x88ca…2efb | Pacers | 11 | 43.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3340…13c8 | Pacers | 10 | 25.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$3.55 per $100 · 3,417 bets |
| RobinsonKylee0x4481…3ce0 | Pacers | 10 | 34.1¢ | $3 | — |
| EliDanesh0x0d39…13cd | Thunder | 3 | 70.1¢ | $2 | — |
| doperator0xc6ba…b46d | Pacers | 5 | 24.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Pacers minus Thunder for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.