Market · 11 of 14 outcomes
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Thunder, 0 on Pacers. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rrrr1122330x7658…b9f8 | Pacers | 3,987 | 51.6¢ | $2.09K | — |
| 0x5b62…d87f | Thunder | 1,000 | 50.0¢ | $475 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,028 bets |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Thunder | 864 | 50.0¢ | $410 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 132,532 bets |
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Thunder | 782 | 49.0¢ | $371 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 70,660 bets |
| 0xfb07…e2cc | Thunder | 602 | 49.0¢ | $286 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 5,746 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Thunder | 500 | 51.1¢ | $237 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Pacers | 407 | 50.2¢ | $214 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 188,595 bets |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow0x224f…514a | Thunder | 200 | 50.0¢ | $95 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 13,060 bets |
| BYTasb10x288e…c02d | Thunder | 198 | 50.5¢ | $94 | Losing−$43.65 per $100 · 236 bets |
| CAcap0xd619…c461 | Thunder | 183 | 50.3¢ | $87 | — |
| HEWEI166680x2983…4eb2 | Pacers | 151 | 50.8¢ | $79 | — |
| Dredgerton0x068c…582e | Thunder | 125 | 52.2¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 1,963 bets |
| yuyakowako0x6b1d…a01a | Thunder | 67 | 53.2¢ | $32 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Thunder | 48 | 50.0¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Pacers | 42 | 50.2¢ | $22 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 14,791 bets |
| HillT0x29d2…6429 | Pacers | 40 | 51.2¢ | $21 | Losing−$1.79 per $100 · 119 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Thunder | 38 | 50.7¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Pacers | 25 | 50.5¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 9,266 bets |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Thunder | 25 | 50.0¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 65,590 bets |
| 0xyogo0x8317…a446 | Thunder | 15 | 51.0¢ | $7 | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 122 bets |
| LazyMas0x7a94…a328 | Pacers | 12 | 51.2¢ | $6 | — |
| hh9823650x872a…82cb | Thunder | 9 | 52.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xd863…b7e2 | Pacers | 6 | 50.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1eea…af80 | Thunder | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 14,296 bets |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Thunder | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 42,745 bets |
| Req90x4384…62c5 | Thunder | 5 | 55.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 1,781 bets |
| 0x1d48…22e7 | Pacers | 4 | 51.7¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.62 per $100 · 454 bets |
| 0x9f4e…bf94 | Thunder | 4 | 53.5¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Thunder minus Pacers for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.