Market · 14 of 15 outcomes
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Thunder, 0 on Pacers. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pol66980xb39b…9826 | Pacers | 1,117 | 54.2¢ | $698 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Thunder | 1,644 | 49.5¢ | $617 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 132,596 bets |
| HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d | Pacers | 804 | 49.4¢ | $502 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 70,700 bets |
| hi774c0x21f3…35e3 | Thunder | 1,072 | 47.0¢ | $402 | Break-even+$0.42 per $100 · 13,938 bets |
| delmore0x8a0c…3d4d | Pacers | 472 | 54.2¢ | $295 | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Pacers | 332 | 51.1¢ | $207 | Positive+$3.92 per $100 · 189,978 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Thunder | 500 | 49.6¢ | $187 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 29,906 bets |
| SunlineTicker0x4df3…788f | Pacers | 287 | 60.8¢ | $179 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 16,381 bets |
| 0x17b9…9bf6 | Pacers | 205 | 54.8¢ | $128 | Losing−$10.24 per $100 · 458 bets |
| ff668680x4680…7d3d | Pacers | 204 | 50.2¢ | $128 | Losing−$17.79 per $100 · 204 bets |
| ValiBB0x9cb4…8285 | Pacers | 156 | 57.2¢ | $97 | — |
| LuckyLoo0x52d9…fb1a | Pacers | 127 | 49.0¢ | $79 | Positive+$3.39 per $100 · 85,236 bets |
| sentrio0xdb83…1e50 | Pacers | 124 | 49.0¢ | $77 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 78,733 bets |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Pacers | 110 | 51.2¢ | $69 | — |
| CAcap0xd619…c461 | Thunder | 182 | 51.0¢ | $68 | — |
| leflaive0xdc9f…905b | Pacers | 100 | 55.0¢ | $62 | — |
| 0x29ee…c540 | Pacers | 92 | 58.2¢ | $57 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Thunder | 148 | 40.5¢ | $56 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Thunder | 139 | 45.9¢ | $52 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Pacers | 79 | 50.7¢ | $49 | — |
| HighIQDegens0x1e81…ae48 | Thunder | 121 | 43.6¢ | $45 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 808 bets |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Thunder | 119 | 41.0¢ | $45 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 65,590 bets |
| HxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxHxH0xfe70…7533 | Thunder | 100 | 50.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x658b…ad0f | Pacers | 57 | 54.2¢ | $35 | — |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Thunder | 82 | 45.3¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 160,116+ bets · updating |
| 0x5b62…d87f | Thunder | 62 | 50.0¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,028 bets |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Thunder | 61 | 43.2¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 14,791 bets |
| iWasEnough0x2160…4c78 | Pacers | 30 | 51.2¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 9,266 bets |
| 0x5079…e560 | Pacers | 26 | 54.2¢ | $17 | — |
| doglover45710x67af…61ee | Pacers | 25 | 60.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 82,899 bets |
| duangduangmm0x78b3…65a1 | Thunder | 36 | 40.4¢ | $14 | — |
| xp66660xb390…642b | Pacers | 19 | 54.2¢ | $12 | — |
| XiJinProfit0x5fa6…03eb | Thunder | 23 | 44.0¢ | $9 | — |
| FraneSelak0x35e7…8331 | Thunder | 18 | 45.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Txajana0x2559…053b | Pacers | 8 | 62.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Zareks0xdd4e…1483 | Thunder | 13 | 39.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xyogo0x8317…a446 | Thunder | 10 | 49.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 122 bets |
| 0xd863…b7e2 | Thunder | 7 | 40.7¢ | $3 | — |
| das19830x935d…a898 | Thunder | 6 | 42.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xdc60…6c08 | Thunder | 5 | 40.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$13.38 per $100 · 426 bets |
| crashhh0x1ce9…7115 | Thunder | 5 | 42.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$5.51 per $100 · 2,705 bets |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | Thunder | 5 | 50.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 42,745 bets |
| Req90x4384…62c5 | Thunder | 5 | 46.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 1,781 bets |
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Thunder | 5 | 46.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 21,970 bets |
| 0x56a2…182d | Pacers | 2 | 51.2¢ | $1 | New36 settled bets |
| Nninini0x7481…279f | Pacers | 2 | 54.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x418d…1274 | Pacers | 2 | 55.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0e7c…365d | Thunder | 3 | 40.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.52 per $100 · 102 bets |
| youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8 | Thunder | 2 | 46.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,710 bets |
| oumeibaby0x7187…4859 | Thunder | 2 | 51.2¢ | $1 | — |
| FPBA10x237f…e76e | Thunder | 2 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Thunder minus Pacers for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.