Market · 14 of 27 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Cleveland Guardians money sits with 1 account that holds just as much Tampa Bay Rays. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Cleveland Guardians, 1 on Tampa Bay Rays. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pwaddler0x1d1a…0df6 | Tampa Bay Rays | 137,184 | 62.2¢ | $83K | Losing−$3.66 per $100 · 1,129 bets |
| mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d | Cleveland Guardians | 139,477 | 39.0¢ | $55.1K |
Shares = Cleveland Guardians minus Tampa Bay Rays for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x16bb…8492 | Tampa Bay Rays | 64,271 | 61.2¢ | $38.9K | Losing−$1.86 per $100 · 1,634 bets |
| monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409 | Cleveland Guardians | 54,760 | 40.0¢ | $21.6K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 903 bets |
| abura20250x8fba…d08a | Cleveland Guardians | 13,500 | 40.0¢ | $5.33K | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 1,094 bets |
| 65123953145978840x796f…00f6 | Cleveland Guardians | 12,472 | 40.0¢ | $4.93K | Losing−$1.19 per $100 · 8,472 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | Tampa Bay Rays | 8,079 | 61.2¢ | $4.89K | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| 0x81f0…cbb1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 5,344 | 61.2¢ | $3.23K | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 282 bets |
| 0x200c…a466 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2,746 | 62.2¢ | $1.66K | New40 settled bets |
| AreteM0xbd5c…8ae8 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2,417 | 61.2¢ | $1.46K | — |
| 0x4c07…6200 | Tampa Bay Rays | 2,377 | 62.2¢ | $1.44K | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 151 bets |
| dv-pm0x56ac…d77e | Tampa Bay Rays | 1,852 | 61.2¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$1.57 per $100 · 6,648 bets |
| pltrkr1110xf5a3…9e12 | Cleveland Guardians | 2,500 | 40.0¢ | $988 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 957 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Cleveland Guardians | 2,381 | 39.0¢ | $941 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| DEX.33440xcf67…7784 | Tampa Bay Rays | 1,260 | 61.2¢ | $762 | — |
| 0x5811…0976 | Cleveland Guardians | 1,379 | 40.0¢ | $545 | Break-even−$0.34 per $100 · 13,946 bets |
| 0xabf5…cfeb | Cleveland Guardians | 1,000 | 42.2¢ | $395 | — |
| TraderXI0xebe6…9278 | Cleveland Guardians | 1,000 | 39.0¢ | $395 | — |
| youcanbuythisbot0xfe67…a2e8 | Tampa Bay Rays | 524 | 61.2¢ | $317 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,710 bets |
| 0x84ce…6c4a | Tampa Bay Rays | 500 | 61.2¢ | $303 | — |
| sharpnochase0x7a33…dd0f | Tampa Bay Rays | 500 | 61.2¢ | $302 | — |
| MacroStratFirm0xe090…727f | Tampa Bay Rays | 426 | 62.2¢ | $258 | — |
| stackingsats0x7a88…41cc | Tampa Bay Rays | 417 | 59.0¢ | $252 | Losing−$3.18 per $100 · 819 bets |
| 0xdb69…c773 | Tampa Bay Rays | 340 | 61.2¢ | $206 | — |
| flyy20260x0b40…b77a | Tampa Bay Rays | 300 | 61.2¢ | $182 | — |
| yuyakowako0x6b1d…a01a | Tampa Bay Rays | 295 | 62.2¢ | $179 | Losing−$1.61 per $100 · 607 bets |
| 0xa697…59d5 | Cleveland Guardians | 340 | 39.8¢ | $134 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 46,326 bets |
| evildexter0x8dcb…8b68 | Tampa Bay Rays | 221 | 61.2¢ | $134 | — |
| moneyline70x49c5…3de7 | Cleveland Guardians | 310 | 39.0¢ | $122 | Losing−$1.60 per $100 · 13,769 bets |
| xp66660xb390…642b | Tampa Bay Rays | 167 | 61.2¢ | $101 | — |
| godsikov0xd72d…0dbb | Tampa Bay Rays | 167 | 61.2¢ | $101 | — |
| 0xdd85…cd25 | Cleveland Guardians | 232 | 42.2¢ | $92 | — |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Tampa Bay Rays | 149 | 61.2¢ | $90 | Proven+$5.31 per $100 · 57,031 bets |
| Lee1230x66cd…2589 | Tampa Bay Rays | 148 | 61.2¢ | $90 | — |
| machine-hazard0x7e28…625c | Tampa Bay Rays | 131 | 62.2¢ | $79 | — |
| 0x7d0e…4f01 | Cleveland Guardians | 200 | 39.5¢ | $79 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 23,978 bets |
| bafanglaicaiya0x2a0c…89cc | Cleveland Guardians | 180 | 42.2¢ | $71 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Cleveland Guardians | 178 | 39.4¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 64,078+ bets · updating |
| 0xabb3…e0d0 | Tampa Bay Rays | 113 | 62.6¢ | $68 | — |
| lurkr0x34a3…f04f | Cleveland Guardians | 156 | 42.2¢ | $62 | — |
| antec0x8935…7daa | Tampa Bay Rays | 100 | 60.0¢ | $61 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 77,724+ bets · updating |
| LeLynxMalynx0x200f…7a96 | Tampa Bay Rays | 99 | 60.0¢ | $60 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 58,311+ bets · updating |
| 0xdbd6…01ab | Cleveland Guardians | 141 | 42.6¢ | $56 | — |
| q-v30xb040…2f3a | Tampa Bay Rays | 90 | 62.1¢ | $55 | — |
| Granyslapr0x85b3…33ef | Cleveland Guardians | 125 | 41.2¢ | $49 | — |
| HRJHTHRRR0xe1bc…ddb7 | Cleveland Guardians | 120 | 42.2¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x19a1…2fa0 | Tampa Bay Rays | 72 | 62.2¢ | $44 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Cleveland Guardians | 101 | 40.0¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xa54f…1bdb | Tampa Bay Rays | 66 | 62.5¢ | $40 | — |
| funnyday0xd727…ecce | Cleveland Guardians | 100 | 42.2¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 11,350 bets |
| GC-P0x2d6a…8add | Cleveland Guardians | 94 | 39.3¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 62,276 bets |
| 0xf593…9553 | Cleveland Guardians | 93 | 40.0¢ | $37 | — |
| Sakan10x398f…30f2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 61 | 60.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$1.78 per $100 · 2,233 bets |
| Pheyul0x0554…1880 | Tampa Bay Rays | 60 | 61.2¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.70 per $100 · 210 bets |
| momoshii0x09a1…fd37 | Cleveland Guardians | 88 | 41.2¢ | $35 | — |
| 0x32f5…7db6 | Tampa Bay Rays | 50 | 61.2¢ | $30 | — |
| Stefnc0xd515…2c54 | Tampa Bay Rays | 50 | 61.2¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xe422…26b1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 50 | 61.2¢ | $30 | — |
| Usercoevi0x817c…b0c8 | Tampa Bay Rays | 49 | 62.2¢ | $30 | — |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Tampa Bay Rays | 48 | 60.0¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.40 per $100 · 29,533 bets |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Cleveland Guardians | 65 | 50.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 18,038 bets |
| 0xfa74…dfb4 | Tampa Bay Rays | 33 | 50.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Joedaly0x3372…1914 | Tampa Bay Rays | 33 | 62.2¢ | $20 | — |
| manvsrice420x489d…f6e3 | Cleveland Guardians | 50 | 39.0¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.62 per $100 · 28,235 bets |
| NM-P0xcf73…0215 | Cleveland Guardians | 50 | 39.5¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 62,113 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Cleveland Guardians | 49 | 41.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 32,447 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Tampa Bay Rays | 29 | 61.5¢ | $18 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | Tampa Bay Rays | 26 | 61.2¢ | $16 | — |
| Iv0danov0xaa89…ccd2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 61.2¢ | $15 | — |
| johncrumble0xf919…b958 | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 59.0¢ | $15 | — |
| Calmaestonks0xe481…d138 | Cleveland Guardians | 38 | 39.0¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 7,185 bets |
| bonjourneedahug0xaf83…2852 | Tampa Bay Rays | 25 | 61.9¢ | $15 | — |
| MTiCrew0xba70…b8db | Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 62.2¢ | $15 | — |
| 1688888881680x87e8…2ef1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 61.2¢ | $15 | — |
| todamooon0x9e63…7e29 | Cleveland Guardians | 37 | 42.2¢ | $14 | — |
| TheRomanProcurator0x3e1a…4d5c | Tampa Bay Rays | 24 | 61.2¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 13,728 bets |
| mnjhgy70xe015…f5e1 | Tampa Bay Rays | 23 | 61.2¢ | $14 | — |
| SECTAISOUTH0x7d41…475b | Tampa Bay Rays | 20 | 61.2¢ | $12 | — |
| paulaoofc0xa772…8686 | Cleveland Guardians | 30 | 41.2¢ | $12 | — |
| LitquidPM0xf8c8…7c4c | Cleveland Guardians | 30 | 40.0¢ | $12 | — |
| FraneSelak0x35e7…8331 | Cleveland Guardians | 25 | 40.0¢ | $10 | — |
| sdfer4ddew0xb263…bb32 | Cleveland Guardians | 23 | 42.2¢ | $9 | — |
| best-bet0x6f22…d57c | Cleveland Guardians | 21 | 42.2¢ | $8 | — |
| =3=0x4108…a80d | Cleveland Guardians | 20 | 40.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.25 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| ahms0x3e6b…8a98 | Cleveland Guardians | 19 | 39.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.60 per $100 · 27,520 bets |
| sandtiger0x6ef5…def2 | Cleveland Guardians | 19 | 40.0¢ | $7 | — |
| kostyatech0x357a…951e | Cleveland Guardians | 15 | 40.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 5,985 bets |
| de3ddxw20xa604…a67b | Cleveland Guardians | 15 | 42.2¢ | $6 | — |
| LaHabao0x86ac…b49d | Cleveland Guardians | 13 | 41.2¢ | $5 | — |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Cleveland Guardians | 13 | 40.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| 0x6204…50a2 | Cleveland Guardians | 10 | 42.4¢ | $4 | — |
| j.cob0x708f…73b2 | Cleveland Guardians | 8 | 41.2¢ | $3 | — |
| wahjaz0xc00f…f35c | Cleveland Guardians | 8 | 41.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0993…5047 | Cleveland Guardians | 6 | 39.0¢ | $2 | — |
| carelia0x3da8…be26 | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 40.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.75 per $100 · 14,341 bets |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 40.0¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| 0x0ef6…7bf5 | Cleveland Guardians | 5 | 42.0¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 16 shares each side · Show
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