Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | No | 1,061 | 74.2¢ | $960 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 180 | 62.7¢ | $163 | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 151 | 69.4¢ | $137 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | No | 105 | 59.2¢ | $95 | Proven+$2.95 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 79 | 63.2¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| 0x42b9…1ed0 | No | 65 | 74.0¢ | $59 | — |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 535 | 10.7¢ | $51 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 54 | 89.0¢ | $49 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 40 | 65.5¢ | $36 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 24 | 90.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 20 | 69.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.92 per $100 · 7,460 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 186 | 26.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 172 | 31.4¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| leonardmelissa0xc9ae…58be | No | 17 | 76.0¢ | $16 | — |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 100 | 41.0¢ | $10 | — |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | 100 | 45.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.29 per $100 · 4,457 bets |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 90 | 9.0¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 79 | 23.5¢ | $8 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 72 | 26.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.65 per $100 · 14,566 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 68 | 40.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 5560sfcn58d60x4c81…7bda | No | 7 | 81.6¢ | $6 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 51 | 11.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 50 | 11.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 3,292 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 40 | 25.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.71 per $100 · 4,954 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 40 | 26.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | Yes | 40 | 9.0¢ | $4 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 40 | 24.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 11.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| burge1460x3187…1df4 | Yes | 25 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.50 per $100 · 508 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 45.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Oneark0x43d3…2f08 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| crescidentialsuite0xd25d…4540 | No | 1 | 91.4¢ | $1 | — |
| hih9990xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | 9 | 40.0¢ | $1 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | Yes | 7 | 20.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 2,791 bets |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | 6 | 12.5¢ | $1 | — |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | 3 | 11.7¢ | $0 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 0 | 72.0¢ | $0 | — |
| StevieKiwi0xe9f3…c4a6 | Yes | 1 | 11.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 0 | 66.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0b4d…35bc | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.