Market · 3 of 5 outcomes
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 1,633 | 78.8¢ | $1.48K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,632 bets |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 180 | 53.9¢ | $163 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | No | 100 | 58.2¢ | $91 | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| HIM.HE0xc104…f24f | No | 96 | 76.1¢ | $87 | — |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 78 | 67.1¢ | $71 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,521 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 510 | 19.2¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 49 | 58.4¢ | $44 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0xfd04…237f | No | 43 | 48.2¢ | $39 | — |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 309 | 11.5¢ | $29 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 28 | 64.3¢ | $25 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 215 | 20.0¢ | $20 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 201 | 9.7¢ | $19 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| BlueBase-5680x6c43…fb9b | Yes | 105 | 45.2¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.94 per $100 · 2,404 bets |
| EHA0x4bbe…abc6 | Yes | 100 | 46.0¢ | $10 | New71 settled bets |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | 100 | 46.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$6.30 per $100 · 4,487 bets |
| needleladder0x4462…bfdf | Yes | 87 | 10.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x4ca9…7aa1 | Yes | 85 | 23.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$46.85 per $100 · 161 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 80 | 30.0¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,024 bets |
| 0x42b9…1ed0 | No | 8 | 71.1¢ | $7 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 70 | 40.6¢ | $7 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 50 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 40 | 10.5¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | Yes | 40 | 16.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 36 | 31.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | 28 | 49.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 23 | 42.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 22 | 32.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 21 | 13.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| blaqnorth0x02b6…e113 | Yes | 20 | 12.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 4,332 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 20 | 34.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 51.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 14,006 bets |
| Fluo0x2b34…b202 | Yes | 20 | 43.0¢ | $2 | — |
| D2222222220x8998…2707 | No | 2 | 91.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x11b7…4b0f | No | 2 | 69.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 4,466 bets |
| crescidentialsuite0xd25d…4540 | No | 1 | 79.8¢ | $1 | — |
| time64.c0x09e7…f4a4 | Yes | 10 | 30.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | No | 1 | 73.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2b73…174e | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 5 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Petty.Bourgeoise0x0a79…1cd5 | Yes | 3 | 32.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.50 per $100 · 146 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 1 | 32.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 1 | 39.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| KZzzsj0x7c3f…ff8d | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | — |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| timeistmoney0xf0ed…87b1 | No | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 21.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| hih9990xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | 0 | 35.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.