Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No | 1,741 | 59.3¢ | $1.37K | Positive+$2.44 per $100 · 5,624 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | No | 180 | 48.6¢ | $141 | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| OrangeApple0xd6f4…ef6a | Yes | 400 | 35.1¢ | $86 | — |
| Bobic0xe1e2…9629 | No | 100 | 57.2¢ | $79 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | No | 97 | 60.0¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,797 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 329 | 39.7¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,881 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 307 | 41.0¢ | $66 | Losing−$7.75 per $100 · 16,321 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 69 | 67.7¢ | $54 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| JesusFK0x268f…bbd7 | Yes | 250 | 40.0¢ | $54 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 60 | 46.2¢ | $47 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 50 | 81.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 50 | 72.0¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | No | 50 | 73.9¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 180 | 41.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$3.66 per $100 · 14,690 bets |
| 0x42b9…1ed0 | No | 48 | 77.9¢ | $38 | — |
| 0xd10a…b9cd | No | 34 | 81.0¢ | $26 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 103 | 29.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 100 | 40.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| extractive-manatee0xf9f2…5cba | Yes | 100 | 53.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$6.30 per $100 · 4,487 bets |
| SuSuDORIS0xfadb…5645 | Yes | 100 | 26.0¢ | $22 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 79 | 34.7¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 72 | 35.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 67 | 31.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 63 | 29.3¢ | $14 | — |
| leadernew0x9c2d…1b16 | Yes | 60 | 41.0¢ | $13 | — |
| hfv0xe102…71df | Yes | 60 | 41.0¢ | $13 | — |
| leonard530xe80e…4fcd | No | 16 | 58.0¢ | $12 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 42 | 32.4¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0x20e4…fa78 | No | 8 | 65.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 24 | 54.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 7,275 bets |
| justanotherlukk0x7651…4dcc | Yes | 23 | 45.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 20 | 65.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| 0x2ae4…5f09 | Yes | 20 | 65.0¢ | $4 | — |
| EHA0x4bbe…abc6 | Yes | 20 | 56.2¢ | $4 | New71 settled bets |
| Yushki0x6592…0cc2 | Yes | 20 | 62.0¢ | $4 | — |
| infinsai0x7ecc…6c37 | Yes | 20 | 22.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 1,264 bets |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | Yes | 20 | 51.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x4ca9…7aa1 | Yes | 16 | 43.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$44.87 per $100 · 160 bets |
| crescidentialsuite0xd25d…4540 | No | 3 | 60.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 7 | 34.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| permafriedorxanned0x53e1…de89 | No | 1 | 68.1¢ | $1 | — |
| omnibus-8339d50x8339…fd49 | No | 1 | 80.8¢ | $1 | — |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 3 | 44.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 1 | 30.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 9,895 bets |
| pat070x6e99…edca | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| hitunfar0xb980…73b0 | Yes | 1 | 34.7¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 0 | 27.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| greedcash0x8ff1…996c | Yes | 0 | 60.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x16e7…2599 | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x5296…d82c | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xc8c5…26e9 | No | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| tacor0x033b…5fd4 | Yes | 0 | 37.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.88 per $100 · 202 bets |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | Yes | 0 | 30.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.