Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 546 | 84.5¢ | $500 | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 1,784 bets |
| InsolentBret0x0a87…3e26 | No | 101 | 87.2¢ | $93 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 373 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | Yes | 350 | 6.2¢ | $30 | New69 settled bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 31 | 84.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| revol0x5a0d…c6be | No | 18 | 83.5¢ | $16 | Proven+$12.69 per $100 · 229 bets |
| OLOTH0x8de6…2938 | No | 18 | 91.1¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 1,145 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 17 | 94.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 118 | 9.6¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 124,511+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,656 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 78 | 15.4¢ | $7 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 40 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| zgmzgm0x95b7…c651 | Yes | 30 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| iwishthisworks0x51a1…2335 | Yes | 30 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| MP12610xdc4b…b8af | Yes | 27 | 15.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 20 | 16.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | 14 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| 0xb198…18fc | Yes | 12 | 8.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 0 | 16.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 89.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,209 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 90.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| xixihaha0090xf17d…6f86 | No | 0 | 79.6¢ | $0 | — |
| brra0x9435…91fd | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.