Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xrc0x4004…c40b | No | 1,030 | 90.1¢ | $958 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 340 bets |
| JCK20240x06fd…eec4 | No | 907 | 91.7¢ | $844 | — |
| v.l0x2a18…169f | No | 666 | 90.1¢ | $620 | — |
| Hermnann0x3285…f63d | No | 415 | 96.5¢ | $386 | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 327 | 96.4¢ | $304 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| kennsu0xacbb…7178 | No | 280 | 92.4¢ | $261 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | No | 258 | 34.1¢ | $240 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| 0x4d53…7536 | No | 200 | 85.0¢ | $186 | — |
| 0xa596…1d4c | No | 200 | 83.2¢ | $186 | — |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 170 | 67.0¢ | $158 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| 0x0385…7ffa | No | 162 | 92.9¢ | $151 | — |
| 0x2377…4186 | No | 161 | 93.8¢ | $150 | — |
| wohenku0x7437…de1a | No | 126 | 86.6¢ | $117 | — |
| 0x15af…4533 | No | 123 | 86.0¢ | $114 | — |
| Tingo20260xc1d3…0d96 | No | 123 | 86.4¢ | $114 | — |
| xixixixixiix0xec41…1134 | No | 117 | 80.0¢ | $109 | — |
| lenny48780x753c…e3ad | No | 108 | 92.8¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 175 bets |
| traderjamesl0x6bd1…c349 | No | 104 | 96.2¢ | $97 | — |
| kjaskdaskdadsd0x405b…755c | No | 100 | 86.0¢ | $93 | — |
| 0x27e1…8ec1 | No | 98 | 94.5¢ | $91 | — |
| 0xda0f…2a19 | No | 89 | 91.0¢ | $83 | — |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 848 | 3.3¢ | $59 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| Caelum-Galyon0x588d…563d | Yes | 795 | 6.7¢ | $55 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 58 | 96.5¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| muskelonovna0x9cdb…886f | No | 58 | 96.2¢ | $54 | — |
| everybodyknowshi0xfadc…698b | No | 57 | 96.3¢ | $53 | — |
| certifiedgroyper0x453c…efe1 | No | 56 | 96.7¢ | $52 | — |
| harryshpric0x0ace…58de | No | 55 | 96.3¢ | $51 | New16 settled bets |
| iyoway0x4d1a…b441 | No | 54 | 92.5¢ | $50 | — |
| shurshuik0xd43e…a9ac | No | 54 | 96.2¢ | $50 | — |
| semyonkolomovfdrych0x2b41…791c | No | 52 | 96.7¢ | $48 | — |
| reigokoiv45260x3c45…0b91 | No | 52 | 96.2¢ | $48 | — |
| igoria0x9184…a2c0 | No | 50 | 96.2¢ | $47 | — |
| EstebanCeviche0x9b31…398e | No | 50 | 40.0¢ | $47 | — |
| vins04710x4c2c…7478 | No | 47 | 96.2¢ | $44 | — |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | Yes | 477 | 10.3¢ | $33 | — |
| KLccKris0xf4fb…7481 | Yes | 438 | 23.5¢ | $30 | — |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 32 | 93.4¢ | $29 | — |
| BrukyChen0xfd7c…f4ad | Yes | 402 | 11.2¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xc01a…54dd | No | 30 | 96.4¢ | $28 | — |
| dsdsef330x33b0…c635 | No | 29 | 90.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xf040…d11f | No | 28 | 90.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x79ff…c9a3 | Yes | 369 | 19.0¢ | $26 | — |
| herewe0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | 364 | 11.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.13 per $100 · 179 bets |
| helenashar0x505e…7dda | No | 24 | 96.4¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 24 | 81.2¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| chyang0x0be0…3e2c | No | 23 | 93.0¢ | $21 | — |
| mroxqgerce0xe623…f7de | No | 22 | 92.3¢ | $20 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 265 | 4.3¢ | $18 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| Myeie0x3b17…96c9 | Yes | 255 | 17.1¢ | $18 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | No | 19 | 86.9¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 240 | 12.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| wAng130x798b…e349 | No | 18 | 96.0¢ | $17 | — |
| 0x9346…e146 | Yes | 238 | 7.8¢ | $17 | — |
| TRHU0x1e44…8d50 | No | 16 | 96.3¢ | $15 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 200 | 16.4¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 159 | 6.2¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| 0x1133…8695 | No | 11 | 93.0¢ | $10 | — |
| EricTime0x90f8…c12b | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $10 | — |
| wjy45280x07db…1711 | No | 10 | 96.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Clarence3330xee4f…b168 | Yes | 139 | 7.5¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf4fe…f6e7 | No | 10 | 88.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x5213…8312 | No | 10 | 92.0¢ | $9 | — |
| hfhfhgfh0x6b82…50d6 | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xc1a6…3a86 | Yes | 127 | 8.1¢ | $9 | — |
| Bull690x7313…9915 | Yes | 125 | 12.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Bomzhkolyadun0xebaa…abac | Yes | 117 | 4.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf746…411c | Yes | 110 | 4.7¢ | $8 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 101 | 6.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| yuanzhang0xa8c3…7dd2 | Yes | 100 | 14.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 1651989890x2721…325b | Yes | 85 | 10.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$6.24 per $100 · 810 bets |
| Baichuanz0x6152…da09 | Yes | 83 | 6.2¢ | $6 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 66 | 18.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0xd867…842f | Yes | 63 | 5.0¢ | $4 | — |
| WINMALE0x9081…4774 | Yes | 57 | 6.2¢ | $4 | — |
| brianchw0x0269…fb00 | Yes | 50 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| jiudubishu0x4e52…44e7 | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xad0d…13a7 | Yes | 40 | 9.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc4f1…1ec9 | Yes | 40 | 13.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 36 | 5.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x5120…d51e | Yes | 30 | 3.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe367…26df | Yes | 30 | 16.5¢ | $2 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 30 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| JOESP900x011c…116f | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc124…f81b | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $2 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 28 | 3.6¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| youguessedit670x4b45…3489 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8bfc…b070 | Yes | 20 | 15.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf2dd…06c3 | Yes | 17 | 5.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3f6e…759c | Yes | 16 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Agecanonix0xe068…c5ea | Yes | 15 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | 14 | 21.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Italiancabin0xea4d…c654 | Yes | 13 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x8954…b8e4 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa9b7…5070 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4693…25ae | Yes | 8 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| fshuqian0x47a2…4241 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb10e…bb37 | Yes | 8 | 13.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e5d…850c | Yes | 8 | 13.1¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.