Market
Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xee13…10f8 | No | 61 | 95.0¢ | $59 | — |
| Guanaco2840xe593…5b06 | No | 8 | 99.0¢ | $7 | — |
| VenomR1der99X0xef28…e07e | No | 4 | 98.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Quinra91L0x1e5a…28b5 | No | 3 | 99.0¢ | $3 | — |
| CosmicDreamer420x4955…3db1 | No | 3 | 99.2¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 48 | 19.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| tweetmaster0xe215…1c22 | Yes | 17 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj0xc88a…7e26 | Yes | 8 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 3 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 3 | 0.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 76dgdf0x93bc…c5be | Yes | 1 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.