Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 381 | 97.2¢ | $370 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 365 | 96.7¢ | $354 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| SteppeKasandra0xa291…1c8b | No | 106 | 94.1¢ | $103 | — |
| GTOrski10xb3af…84fc | No | 84 | 97.1¢ | $81 | New31 settled bets |
| jasperchaz0x16ed…d748 | No | 16 | 96.2¢ | $15 | — |
| hesigone0xd815…4afa | No | 15 | 96.0¢ | $15 | — |
| 7576770x7b98…5cfa | No | 11 | 97.3¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,528 bets |
| unsleepy00x413f…7928 | No | 11 | 99.0¢ | $11 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 10 | 95.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 300 | 5.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 201 | 5.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Ioannis090xd01d…ee2f | No | 5 | 96.9¢ | $5 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 125 | 2.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 4bukedang0x0546…c0ce | Yes | 114 | 5.2¢ | $3 | — |
| 98390xc244…c06f | Yes | 100 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb253…2d38 | No | 2 | 96.8¢ | $2 | — |
| tallboy0xace9…79d6 | No | 2 | 95.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AeronShin0x7cf6…5685 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Carson.0xbf32…a17b | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Skwaterbrook0x03fe…4838 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dengyu10xbdfe…e39e | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mrblarg640x2482…fd45 | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 3383838330x9a1d…8986 | No | 1 | 99.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 29 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| FrankSchaamvader0xaea5…25ff | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x177f…16f9 | Yes | 15 | 6.8¢ | $0 | — |
| perkele0xcec6…a1a6 | Yes | 14 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 12 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 252,392+ bets · updating |
| jeli80x1f9f…825b | Yes | 11 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 10 | 6.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | Yes | 7 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| atnkan0xa72c…ced0 | Yes | 6 | 16.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 29Tesrsss0x1016…c866 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 1 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ggwellplayista0x35e1…f41d | No | 0 | 93.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.75 per $100 · 141 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 0 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.